Discernable

05/05/2026

Every line below is statistically true. The only variable is which one you'll let me say:

1. Men are, on average, more physically capable than women.
2. Women are, on average, kinder than men.
3. Inequality in vocation selection is a feature, not a bug.
4. Paralympians are less capable than Olympians.
5. Asian kids are academically smarter than white kids. Their pen*ses are also smaller.

Stereotypes are useful because they're accurate. When you meet a stranger and have no other information, the population-level claim is the best prediction you have.

The moment you have individuating information about the person in front of you though, the prior gets overwritten by local data.

Your Asian friend may be the tallest, strongest, least academic, biggest-pen*sed man you know. But the stereotype hasn't been falsified. It's been overridden by better information for a single case.

Refusing the stereotype in the first place doesn't protect anyone. It just makes you operationally blind.

Why are we training everyone to refuse statistical thinking on the grounds that it might be bigoted? Racist?

And hey, if you're stuck in a stereotype, become an outlier. It's within your ability. You can be the data that overrides it.

Can We Admit That Low IQ People Exist?There are different classes of people. Different cognitive bands. Different capabi...
04/05/2026

Can We Admit That Low IQ People Exist?

There are different classes of people. Different cognitive bands. Different capabilities. Some are smarter, some are simpler. They tend to congregate into groups.

Saying this out loud makes you a monster, but I'm saying it because we all know it’s true.

And it is: IQ distributions are bell curves. The middle of the curve, the part most of us live in, sits between roughly 85 and 115. About two-thirds of people are in there. The other third splits into the tails. One tail noticeably below the middle, one tail noticeably above. The shape of the curve is not contested. The honesty about what it means is contested.

I worked this out at Meatstock - a meat festival that tours Australia, and a ‘Demolition Derby’ at a rural racetrack. I’m talking about authentic events, in rural environments. Not your typical urban show where the country comes to the city. A different sort of human goes to these rural shows.

Meatstock came to Lardner Park, an hour and a half southeast of Melbourne. It’s an open plains area, the kind of paddock that runs cattle eleven months of the year and trade shows on the twelfth. The Sydney version of Meatstock runs at Olympic Park: modern, urban, and surrounded by professionals living in medium density townhouses.

The Melbourne version runs in a paddock, and the crowd it draws is not the crowd that turns up at Olympic Park. I rolled in wearing a 2XU tracksuit, thinking I was toning down my usual edgy athleisure style (Lululemon etc).

I thought leaving the Volvo XC40 at home and taking the Ford Ranger with the bull bar and all terrains was not just a wise weather and terrain choice but would also help me fit in. To appear less of a city slicker.

Turns out, my tracksuit was too nice, my car was too shiny, and my brain was too high functioning.

The thing is, I am not a city slicker. I farm. I run cattle. I spend all day tensioning barbed wire. I scrape cow poo off my face after it flings off tractor tyres and into my eyes.

I know more about welding, farming, fencing and machinery than most people who walked past me at Meatstock and Destruction Derby.

Many of them were neckbeards with a caravan. Their bodies screamed the evidence of a lifetime of sedentary video gaming and TV watching, not trades or farming. They must love meat as much as I do!

Despite my efforts at dressing down, it wasn’t enough to fit in. I also had to translate myself:

A singer-songwriter was singing on stage, performing a country song with a presentation that contradicted her lyrics, a pretty obvious artistic move.

Sometimes her songs would back-to-back conflict with each other in psychological framing. Another fascinating insight inter her tapestry of personality and life experience.

Other times she’d make typical stage-remarks we are all used to: ‘you’re singing so well’, despite nobody singing.

Then she’d display remarkable authenticity and vulnerability by admitting to and owning errors wholeheartedly. What a captivating display of emotional and cognitive performance, tension and contradiction in real time!

I wondered why she would cover over some things, and expose others. Did she want to signal transparency? Or polish? Or both – and why? What drove her in those fleeting moments of micro-decision?

But I couldn't say a word about any of this. Not because the people around me would have disagreed. Because they would have been embarrassed.

Can you imagine if I turned to the friendly neckbeard in the VB shirt next to me and remarked on the cognitive dissonance of the performer, wondering whether she was experiencing a fluctuating confidence state as her set unfolded? Would he even understand the concept of cognitive dissonance?

Or was I simply revealing my prejudice, assuming his lower cognitive ability? It didn’t matter. I couldn’t take the chance.

I believe the observation itself would have made him feel exposed. Stupid. Big words, big concepts, wholly inappropriate for the setting. So I held it all in.

The same thing happened at the Demolition Derby I attended in a similar rural setting. There appeared to be some kind of uniform enforcement because everyone was wearing all black. Black jeans, black shirts, the occasional heavy metal or beer logo. Not charcoal. Not grey. No colour, no stripes, no patterns. Just solid black. And all the same – black jeans and hoodies. Maybe the local Kmart didn’t stock any other style.

I overheard their conversations as we sat on the grass, with my highly paid and credentialed doctor friends, who attended with me. My wife heard them too, sitting in her classic sundress. We stuck out like we didn’t belong, because we didn’t. The banter I overheard proved as much.

The things they said around me were not stupid, just visceral. Simple and without abstraction. They were running at full capacity in their register, open and authentic with their friends and family. Direct, grounded, and fluent but certainly not abstract. Not cognitively challenging. Not at all curious, just statements of observation and fact. Never a question.

At both Meatstock and at Demolition Derby, I was the one shedding cognitive load to fit in and meet everyone where they were at. And I had to shed a lot.

This is the part nobody wants to admit. There are different classes. There are different cognitive bands. The people I was around genuinely could not have processed an abstraction about staging psychology or daytime-versus-nighttime audience framing, or fashion semiotics.

I was certain they didn’t notice their communal uniform and the group dynamics that it forces, especially when someone fails to comply. But I did.

Not because they are lazy or undereducated. They may be those things – I don’t know – but more critically is that a cognitive operation isn't one they run in their head. They run others. They run trucks, they run brisket pits, they run fencing rigs and chainsaws and welding gear.

They run social cues and hierarchies unconsciously, and probably claim them to be ‘self-evident’. Except they’re not self-evident.

Just like any other human group or class, they were taking part in a sociological ritual, their decision making shunted toward particular paths.

And here's the move most people make, and the move I refuse to make:
Most people, having admitted the cognitive gap, immediately reach for a balancing equation: ‘Sure, they can't think like me, a lawyer, but I can't milk a cow, so…’

This is a cheap admission. It's pity dressed as humility. It pretends the two capabilities are equivalent, that the ledger balances out, that nobody is actually behind on anything because we're all just specialists.

That’s not true. And that's not what I saw. I saw that they were genuinely behind in abstraction and cognitive depth. Genuinely.

And it doesn’t matter, but not for the weak reason I just explained some people reach for.

It doesn’t matter because their worth doesn't rest on it. Worth is not stored in cognitive horsepower. Worth is not stored in earning potential or vocabulary range or analytical capacity, or urban worldliness. It's stored somewhere else entirely. In being made, in being human, in being here.

The capability gap is real but the worth gap is not. The problem comes when you notice a capability difference and then erroneously conclude that you are ‘better’ than someone else.

That you are worth more than they are.
You’re not.

Once you can hold both ledgers separately, the whole tension relaxes. You can look at someone genuinely less cognitively able than you, poorer than you, less experienced than you, less aware than you, and still not need to flatter them, rebalance the ledger, or manufacture a counter-skill that proves they're really your equal.

In some domains, they are not your equal.

In fact, cumulatively, they might be objectively less useful than you. They may be less intelligent than you. They may be less valuable to the capitalist system than you. Their entire table of talents may be smaller than yours.

But that still doesn’t touch their dignity, moral worth, right to a vote and a voice (no matter how uneducated).

I really enjoyed Meatstock and the Demolition Derby. I enjoyed the conversations with stall holders and the guy who won the award for best mullet. Top bloke.

Sure, I had to park my brain for most of the day, but accepting that this was a realm I would never be understood in, and our minds would never meet, was a relief.

Maybe I’m smarter than them. I don’t know. Maybe they’re ‘physically’ smarter than me, at practical things. I don’t know.

It doesn’t matter. I’m not balancing the ledger anymore.

I’m telling the truth.

Low IQ people exist. So what?

It's a Good Day.
27/04/2026

It's a Good Day.

A bishop with a doctorate endorsed a book by a farmer with a hunch."Matthew Wong’s book on faith is timely and hugely re...
25/04/2026

A bishop with a doctorate endorsed a book by a farmer with a hunch.

"Matthew Wong’s book on faith is timely and hugely relevant...capturing the essence of faith is critical and Matthew navigates this with a readable and engaging argument. I highly commend this book though with a warning: don’t go on the roof of your house."

— Bishop Dr Paul Barker, Anglican Diocese of Melbourne

The Weight of God is available now at https://discernable.io/believe

23/04/2026
Yes it is.
18/04/2026

Yes it is.

14/04/2026

This is worth hearing. If youve always blamed your genetics, your upbringing, your environment, your medical conditions...it still doesn't excuse you.

An identity led internal transformation overrides even the harshest medical diagnosis. I have the receipts to prove it.

If your live is out of control in terms of food, drugs, weight, habits, addictions... you are not stuck. You are not a victim. If you think there's no way out, youve believed a lie.

Identity wins every time. Even against biology. Habits are weak. Biology overrides them. But a human with a certain identity will not even be held back by broken biology.

Yes you might be stunted. Yes you might be at severe disadvantage. But you can still be more exceptional than the average human walking around in the western world. That's how low the bar is nowadays.

Do not settle for your diagnosis. Your brokenness. Your addictions.

Excavate something greater.

12/04/2026

Yeah, we all “have a part to play.” But when the ad tells you to “save fuel for our farmers”… mate, I am one of your farmers.

Here’s what I actually want you to do: fill up your jerry cans and look after your family. An extra 20L in a jerry can is literally a quarter of a tank in a modern SUV.

Australia burns something like 150–170 million L of fuel every single day. The vast bulk of that, especially diesel, goes to mining, freight trucks, trains, ships, and farm machinery.

One household jerry can doesn’t move the needle on the national supply. Not even close.

It’s theatre.

I’ll keep feeding you. You go top up your fuel and stop letting the government shame people for basic preparedness.

While writing my second book (on weight loss, identity transformation, and childhood trauma) I received an endorsement f...
10/04/2026

While writing my second book (on weight loss, identity transformation, and childhood trauma) I received an endorsement for my first book (The Weight of God).

It came from the Senior Pastor of Berwick Church of Christ, a church that started more than 150 years ago, when in 1869, a man's boot broke as he walked from Prahran to Pakenham in Victoria, Australia. He stopped at a cobbler's shop in Berwick, shared the gospel with the bootmaker, and baptised him in Cardinia Creek.

156 years later, that church is still going.

These paperback prints are launching next week. I'm getting positive feedback from those with an advanced copy.

Here is Ps Braam Botha:

"Matthew Wong has recovered something we have quietly lost in Christendom, that in Scripture, 'belief' is not merely agreeing with truth, but entrusting the full weight of our lives to the One who is true.

With clarity and courage, this book surgically exposes how easily faith can drift into mental assent, religious performance, or inherited tradition, while leaving the deeper question untouched: what are we actually standing on?

This is not just a theological insight, it is a pastoral one. I have seen too many sincere people carry a version of faith that never quite holds under the weight of real life, never survives critical thinking, and hardly ever leads to the potential of the resurrection breaking forth from our lives.

It will challenge you. It will clarify you. And, if you let it, it will lead you back to a faith that is not only believed, but lived."

My jerry cans are full and I'm not shutting up.Governments use classic scapegoat mechanics. The Australian PM needs a do...
07/04/2026

My jerry cans are full and I'm not shutting up.

Governments use classic scapegoat mechanics. The Australian PM needs a domestic villain to explain the fuel shortage without indicting the supply chain architecture he's responsible for.

"Hoarders" are perfect: diffuse, impossible to defend as a class, and the accusation itself makes anyone with jerry cans feel guilty enough to shut up.

Meanwhile, the government's own panic buying on the international stage (structurally identical behaviour at a larger scale) gets framed as "leadership."

He blames Iran. He blames Trump. He blames you. Notice who's missing from that list.

Here's the thing: it is logical for the government to panic buy fuel right now. Do it.

Would be even nicer if they got our production going again, or at least expanded our reserves, but right now? Yes. Panic buy on the world stage. Get us fuel.

It's also logical for Australians to panic buy.

It's not your responsibility to ensure the government makes it through this crisis. It's your responsibility to make sure your family makes it through.

I suggest you do in fact fill up your car, all the way, unnecessarily so. Maybe even that empty jerry can in the garage too.

P.S. I am a farmer responsible for more than 50 families and their food supply. If your first instinct is to attack me for "stealing fuel from farmers", you just did the PM's scapegoating for him, for free. He didn't even have to pay you. You are the cheapest political asset in the country.

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Melbourne, VIC

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