18/09/2026
Is the United Kingdom beginning to come apart?
Brexit was supposed to restore British sovereignty. But could it ultimately strengthen the movements seeking to reshape the United Kingdom itself?
Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland are now led by parties that see their nations’ futures differently from Westminster — and increasingly look towards Europe when describing what might come next.
Yet their paths could hardly be more different. Scotland would need another legally agreed independence referendum before seeking EU membership. Wales still has much further to travel politically. Northern Ireland, meanwhile, already has a recognised constitutional route to reunification with an EU member state.
The Cardiff memorandum will not break up Britain. But it highlights how profoundly the constitutional debate has changed since Brexit.
Ten years ago, the question was whether Britain should remain in the European Union.
The next one may be whether the United Kingdom itself can remain united.
Read the full analysis:
https://centraleuropeanaffairs.com/2026/09/18/is-the-united-kingdom-beginning-to-come-apart/
Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland are now led by parties that see their future in Europe. But leaving the United Kingdom is one thing. Getting back into the European Union is another.