The Baltic Sentinel

The Baltic Sentinel The Baltic Sentinel: A Tallinn-based defense journal covering NATO's northeast developments.

In the Baltic, time is often the margin of victory. That is why Sweden's hardening Gotland was necessary — and why, para...
25/09/2025

In the Baltic, time is often the margin of victory. That is why Sweden's hardening Gotland was necessary — and why, paradoxically, it may have made its neighbors more valuable targets.

Harden Gotland and you do not change Russia’s aims; you change its menu.

If a Russian jet were downed over Tallinn Bay, Moscow would likely respond with denial, disinformation, diplomatic chara...
22/09/2025

If a Russian jet were downed over Tallinn Bay, Moscow would likely respond with denial, disinformation, diplomatic charade, and further incursion attempts disguised as ‘rescue’ operations. NATO must be prepared to manage the aftermath of the shootdown.

If a Russian jet were downed over Tallinn Bay, Moscow would likely respond with denial, disinformation, diplomatic charade, and further incursion attempts disguised as ‘rescue’ operations. NATO must be prepared to manage the aftermath of the shootdown.

Russia has not carried out such a blatant air incursion as that of Sept 19 near Tallinn since before Estonia joined NATO...
21/09/2025

Russia has not carried out such a blatant air incursion as that of Sept 19 near Tallinn since before Estonia joined NATO. Its recent prodding at NATO airspace is tied to struggles on the Ukrainian front, says former Estonian Air Force Chief Jaak Tarien.

Former Estonian Air Force Chief on Russian Airspace Incursion: Last Time Moscow Took Similar Steps Was Before Estonia Joined NATO

Mykola Bielieskov, Research Fellow at the National Institute for Strategic Studies in Kyiv, told us that the Ukraine war...
18/09/2025

Mykola Bielieskov, Research Fellow at the National Institute for Strategic Studies in Kyiv, told us that the Ukraine war equation has shifted slightly — the U.S. has gone from backer to mediator — but the fundamental problem persists, as Europe remains stuck in crisis management and Putin sees no reason to stop.

Mykola Bielieskov on Ukraine’s War Equation: Small Shifts, Same Deadlock

Satellite images prove that it takes mere months for Russia to establish an attack drone base from zero.
15/09/2025

Satellite images prove that it takes mere months for Russia to establish an attack drone base from zero.

Alongside its full-scale aggression against Ukraine, Russia is also developing aviation infrastructure near the Baltic states and Finland. Satellite imagery proves that it takes mere months for Russia to establish an attack drone base from zero.

NATO responds to Russia's drone strikes in Poland with operation Eastern Sentry. As of today, all Baltic nations and Pol...
12/09/2025

NATO responds to Russia's drone strikes in Poland with operation Eastern Sentry. As of today, all Baltic nations and Poland have instituted partial no-fly zones at their eastern borders to facilitate drone defense operations.

NATO will respond to Wednesday’s incident, when Russian drones entered Polish airspace, with a new mission called Operation Eastern Sentry, announced Secretary General Mark Rutte alongside General Alexus G. Grynkewich, Supreme Allied Commander of European Forces.

Polish journalists: Poland anticipated the September 10 Russian drone provocation. If NATO’s response is weak, it could ...
11/09/2025

Polish journalists: Poland anticipated the September 10 Russian drone provocation. If NATO’s response is weak, it could happen again in the Baltics.

The shock among Poles over last night’s drone incident is enormous, admits Bartosz T. Wieliński, deputy editor-in-chief of their major nationwide newspaper Gazeta Wyborcza.

Poland 🇵🇱 started building its own Shahed-type drones — and they fly quite far.
08/09/2025

Poland 🇵🇱 started building its own Shahed-type drones — and they fly quite far.

A locally made Shahed-type drone called PLargonia was unveiled at the MSPO 2025 international defense industry exhibition in Poland.

A European donation will deliver a record number of Estonian THeMIS unmanned ground vehicles to Ukraine. The first dispa...
02/09/2025

A European donation will deliver a record number of Estonian THeMIS unmanned ground vehicles to Ukraine. The first dispatches are due this year.

Milrem Robotics, an Estonian ground robotics company founded in 2013, has signed its largest-ever order for THeMIS military unmanned ground vehicles (UGVs) to be delivered to Ukraine.

Shooting down a war drone that entered Baltic airspace in peacetime could be a recipe for disaster, according to former ...
29/08/2025

Shooting down a war drone that entered Baltic airspace in peacetime could be a recipe for disaster, according to former Estonian Air Force Commander.

On August 24, a Ukrainian attack drone landed and exploded in Southern Estonia. “Most likely, the Ukrainians are trying to design and program their strike systems in such a way that they don’t hit friendly countries,” says Jaak Tarien, former Air Force commander and retired brigadier general.

Although the Finnish–Russian border has been closed for nearly two years, dozens of people have still managed to enter F...
29/08/2025

Although the Finnish–Russian border has been closed for nearly two years, dozens of people have still managed to enter Finland with special permits.

Although the Finnish–Russian border has been closed for nearly two years, dozens of people have still managed to enter Finland in the meantime with special permits.

Russia’s 6th Air Defense Army, opposite Estonia, is creating a drone unit capable of launching up to 300 attack drones p...
27/08/2025

Russia’s 6th Air Defense Army, opposite Estonia, is creating a drone unit capable of launching up to 300 attack drones per day. The gap between Russia’s drone posture near the Baltics and the ability to counter this threat is widening at an alarming pace.

Russia’s 6th Air Defense Army, opposite Estonia, is creating a new drone unit capable of launching up to 300 attack drones per day. The gap between Russia’s drone posture near the Baltics and the Baltic States’ ability to counter this threat is widening at an alarming pace.

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