04/07/2026
๐ต๐ฑ๐ท๐บ - "Russia is planning an armed โprovocationโ on Polish soil to test NATO's resolve, the United States has warned.
Polish critical infrastructure could be targeted by missiles and drones or Russian soldiers could cross the border into NATO territory.
Washington has issued several warnings to Warsaw about the plot. The goal of the Russian provocation would be to escalate tensions and force Western allies to suspend aid to Ukraine. It could be launched in a matter of months.
Polish security sources have also not ruled out a more conventional attack, such as a small ground incursion of Russian soldiers across NATO's eastern [Baltic + Poland] flank.
Provocation scenarios could include a drone attack on critical infrastructure, such as power stations, or simulated air strikes that would force Poland to activate its air defence systems. Armed incursion involving Russian or Belarusian soldiers was conceivable. This could be presented by Russia as an accidental straying into Polish territory because of a GPS failure, or as a dubious rescue mission to retrieve a helicopter suffering from a malfunction," - Sources close to Karol Nawrocki, the Polish President, told the Polish outlet Onet.