03/06/2024
Please Remember before Election Day trading:-
• The actual poll results are way better than the exit polls. This is a low chance, as the exit polls have given a big majority to the NDA, and it is difficult to have better results than that
• The actual poll results are consistent with the exit polls, indicating that the market may be range-bound.
• There will be a surprise in which the actual poll results can be lower than exit polls. This may trigger a sell-off, as this is a complete shocker. Even if the NDA has a majority, if the margin of victory is small, the market may take it negatively. This is the territory of the impact of the highly improbable