03/01/2023
------------------------------------------------------------------
Why the Indian rupee fell 10% against the US dollar in 2022
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Direction: The article highlights the reasons behind the depreciation of the Indian Rupee and presents an outlook for 2023.
Context: The Indian rupee depreciated by around 10% against the US dollar in 2022.
Depreciation reduces the value of a country’s currency when compared with the currency of other countries (say $), measured by the exchange rate of the local currency (wrt $)
The performance of the Indian rupee in 2022:
----------------------------------------------
Worst-performing Asian currency in 2022:
----------------------------------------It witnessed a fall of around 10% against the US dollar, falling to a lifetime low of 83.2 the dollar.Compared to the rupee, the Chinese Yuan, Philippine Peso and Indonesian .Rupiah fell by around 9% and the South Korean Won and Malaysian Ringgit declined by nearly 7 and 6%, respectively.
Reason for this decline in India:
--------------------------------------The US Fed aggressively raised interest rates (by 425 basis points (bps) in 2022) in its fight against inflation, leading to a higher interest rate differential between the US and IndiaAs a result, investors pulled out money from the domestic market and started investing in the US market to take advantage of higher rates.For example, foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) pulled out Rs 1.34 lakh crore from the Indian markets in 2022, putting pressure on the rupee.The Russian invasion of Ukraine accentuated the FPI withdrawals with the global economic slowdown making inflows tougher.
Steps taken to arrest this decline:
-------------------------------------The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) heavily intervened in the foreign exchange (forex) market to defend the rupee.As a result, the country’s forex reserves have fallen by $70 billion ($562.81 billion as of December 23, 2022) since the beginning of 2022.However, the central bank is now starting to again build up its reserves and that would act as a buffer in times of uncertainty.
The outlook on the rupee for 2023: India remains the fastest-growing economy and Indian Rupee will recover
---------------------------------------------------------------------