27/07/2025
Peter Obi’s rise in Nigerian politics has been nothing short of remarkable. In 2023, I watched him ignite a national movement, one powered not by godfathers or oil money, but by the raw energy of young people desperate for something different. He ran on promises of prudence, integrity, and transformation. And for once, those words felt real.
I admire Obi’s discipline. He talks less and does more. His time as Anambra governor proved that. Budget surplus. Investments in education and health. No flamboyance. No long convoys. No godfather nonsense. Nigerians noticed. I noticed. His lifestyle alone separates him from the pack. He doesn’t talk about cutting costs. He lives it.
His message of accountability and performance, laid out in that 7 point agenda, struck a nerve. It’s not often you hear a politician talk about real metrics. Reporting systems. Deliverables. That’s rare here. Too rare.
But what stood out most was his bond with the youth. The Obidient movement is no accident. It’s born out of frustration, neglect, and the trauma we all remember. I saw young Nigerians pour their hope into him. Not because he was perfect. But because he was different. Because he listened. Because he represented a Nigeria that could finally work.
He also did something many thought impossible. He reached out beyond his party. He tried to build bridges. That coalition with Atiku, El-Rufai, and others through the ADC wasn’t a bad move. I saw it as strategic. Together, they claimed over half the votes in 2023. More than Tinubu’s 37 percent. That’s no small feat.
Even more impressive, he never resorted to ethnic or religious dog whistles. He spoke to everyone. Muslims. Christians. Northerners. Southerners. He promised a four year term, not a throne. And he respected zoning. That’s political maturity.
But let me be honest. I believe Obi made some key mistakes. And if he repeats them, 2027 might slip away again.
The Obidient movement, as powerful as it is, is also limited. Most of it lives on Twitter and in urban centers. Lagos. Abuja. Port Harcourt. But real political power in Nigeria is still held in rural areas. In the North. In places where internet isn’t shaping the narrative. In 2023, Obi won hearts online. But he lost polling units offline. That must change.
His outreach to Muslim voters during Ramadan was a good gesture. But a gesture is not a strategy. One visit won’t undo decades of religious mistrust. He needs more than symbolism. He needs consistent presence and policy.
The coalition with ADC sounds nice on paper. But it’s messy. Obi says he’s still with Labour. Yet he aligns with ADC leaders. Voters are confused. Who is he really riding with? And then there’s Atiku. Still dreaming of the presidency. If that coalition doesn’t sort its leadership structure fast, it could collapse. Or worse, betray Obi completely. That warning from Festus Keyamo? I take it seriously.
There’s also the issue of promises. Obi said he could fix Nigeria in two years. That’s not realistic. We’ve been broken for too long. I get the urgency. But Nigerians are tired of sweet words. What we need is honest timelines. Clear steps. Deliverables we can track. Not magic tricks.
He also faces a ruthless political class. They tried to shut him down in 2023. Voter suppression. Rigging allegations. Court battles. If he doesn’t build stronger legal firepower and electoral monitoring systems, they’ll do it again. And this time, he might not recover.
His anti corruption image took a dent with the Pandora Papers. It wasn’t illegal. But optics matter. If he doesn’t own that story, his opponents will rewrite it for him.
Then there’s the North. The presidency is still largely decided there. Obi’s 2023 running mate was Datti Baba Ahmed. A solid pick. But not enough. The North still saw him as an outsider. And his constant appearances at Pentecostal churches, while genuine, made some Muslims uneasy. That perception, fair or not, must be addressed.
Even his biggest strength — the Obidients — can become a problem. They are loyal. Fiercely. But they don’t play well with others. Talk of Obi being Atiku’s running mate? They reject it outright. They call every other politician corrupt. That kind of rigidity could isolate Obi. Coalitions need compromise. And if he can’t control the extremes of his base, he risks becoming a prisoner of their idealism.
So what must Obi do now?
He must go grassroots. Step out of the cities. Into the rural North. Into the villages. Speak their language. Eat their food. Listen. Understand. He needs local influencers. Religious leaders. Farmers. Teachers. Let them carry his message. Not hashtags. Not influencers. Real people.
He also needs to clarify his political base. Is he Labour? Is he ADC? What is his path to the ballot? People need to know. And if he wants to lead the coalition, he must demand transparent primaries. Let Nigerians decide, not backroom deals. Atiku wants relevance. Fine. Give him a role. But Obi must lead.
His promises must be sharper. Realistic. Instead of saying he’ll fix Nigeria in two years, he should focus on key wins. Like reducing insecurity by half. Or doubling school enrollment. Or improving electricity reliability. Those are trackable. Achievable. Believable.
On election security, he must build a legal army now. Not in 2026. Train observers. Use tech to track votes. Partner with civic groups. And stay ahead of the game. Because the old guard will come with tricks.
He must also teach his supporters political patience. Idealism is good. But politics is messy. He should open dialogue with the Obidient leaders. Aisha Yesufu. Rinu. Others. Help them see the bigger picture. Nigeria needs a coalition. And coalitions mean give and take.
To win the North, Obi must speak to their needs. Banditry. Poverty. Desertification. Education. If he offers solid policies there, and chooses a credible Muslim running mate, he could surprise many. Even El Rufai, controversial as he is, has political weight. That kind of alliance could shift the field.
Lastly, he must manage his image. The APC and PDP will come hard. He must stay ahead. Release policy briefs. Speak frequently. Disclose finances. Show receipts. Let the people know he’s not hiding anything. And don’t just appeal to the youth. Win over the elders. The businessmen. The skeptics. Show them he’s not just a protest candidate. He’s ready to govern.
Peter Obi changed Nigerian politics in 2023. He gave people hope. Real hope. But if hope is all he offers again in 2027, it might not be enough. Now is the time to evolve. To sharpen strategy. To build bridges. To lead with heart and with skill.
Because 2027 is not just another election.
It’s a fight for Nigeria’s soul.
And I hope Obi is ready.
I'm Richmond Amadi making a common sense