29/07/2025
With Chelseaโs four owners โ Clearlake, Todd Boehly, Hansjรถrg Wyss and Mark Walter โ contributing ยฃ1,500,000,000 to Chelsea FC the last three years, a debt free club in 2022, it begs the question how United possibly could compete only getting $300m from Ineos and being 1bn in debt.
But while Ineos is the largest MUFC shareholder, the Glazer siblings combined for a bigger stake. Can Ineos or anyone else be expected to support the club financially under these circumstances?
I am an expert on one thing only, Public M&A. Pick up a Chambers or Legal 500 publication over top lawyers in Europe, I am in there (in this fairly narrow field).
Here are my comments:
๐บ๐ฝ๐๐ ๐๐ค๐ข๐ฅ๐๐ฃ๐๐๐จ ๐๐๐ฃ ๐๐๐๐ค๐ข๐, ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฉ ๐ฌ๐ ๐๐๐ก๐ก, โ๐ช๐ฃ๐๐๐ง๐๐๐ฅ๐๐ฉ๐๐ก๐๐ฏ๐๐โ. The Cambridge dictionary puts it perfectly: โIf a business is undercapitalized, it has less money than it needs in order to work effectively or to grow.โ
Even if we wouldnโt use the word regularly โ we all to a certain degree think that Manchester United is โundercapitalizedโ.
United is not alone in that. An Airline company like British Airways or Lufthansa can find themselves undercapitalized after having its fleet parked on the ground during Covid. A car manufacturer like Tesla can find itself undercapitalized when it needs to ramp-up Model Y production and the building of gigafactories, or a Nokia can suddenly find its mobile phone business being hopelessly behind iPhone.
๐บ๐๐๐๐ฉ ๐๐ค๐๐จ ๐ ๐๐ค๐ข๐ฅ๐๐ฃ๐ฎ ๐๐ค, ๐ฉ๐๐๐ฉ ๐๐จ ๐ช๐ฃ๐๐๐ง๐๐๐ฅ๐๐ฉ๐๐ก๐๐ฏ๐๐? It is not uncommon for companies to issue new shares to strengthen the financials โ even if they have a diverse ownership (more than one owner).
Both British Airways and Lufthansa issued new shares during 2020, for about a total of ยฃ4bn, for the above reason. Tesla issued shares for the above reasons for $12 billion. Nokia issued shares for a billion.
๐บ๐๐๐๐ฉ ๐๐ค๐๐จ ๐๐ฉ ๐ฉ๐๐ ๐ ๐๐ค๐ง ๐ ๐๐ค๐ข๐ฅ๐๐ฃ๐ฎ ๐ฉ๐ค ๐๐จ๐จ๐ช๐ ๐ข๐ค๐ง๐ ๐จ๐๐๐ง๐๐จ? It is a resolution that the shareholders of the company must make.
๐บ๐ฝ๐ช๐ฉ ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฉ โ ๐ฉ๐๐๐จ ๐ฌ๐ค๐ง๐ ๐จ ๐๐๐ฃ๐ ๐๐ ๐๐ก๐ก ๐จ๐๐๐ง๐๐๐ค๐ก๐๐๐ง๐จ ๐๐๐ซ๐ ๐ข๐ค๐ฃ๐๐ฎ, ๐๐ช๐ฉ ๐๐ ๐ฉ๐๐๐ฎ ๐๐ค๐ฃโ๐ฉ โ ๐ฌ๐๐ฎ ๐ฌ๐ค๐ช๐ก๐ ๐จ๐๐๐ง๐๐๐ค๐ก๐๐๐ง๐จ ๐๐ซ๐๐ง ๐๐๐ง๐๐ ๐ฉ๐ค ๐จ๐๐ก๐ก ๐ฃ๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐๐๐ง๐๐จ ๐ฉ๐ค ๐จ๐ค๐ข๐๐ค๐ฃ๐ ๐๐ก๐จ๐?
In relation to new share issues by companies to raise capital, we talk about the โdilutive effectโ.
A share issue has โ no โ financial dilutive effect if the shares are issued at market value. Letโs say you and me own 50 shares each in the Swedish Rumble X conglomerate (very generously) valued to ยฃ100. Why should I agree to issue 50 more shares to you for ยฃ50? My ownership would be diluted from 50% to 33% (I would own 50 of 150 votes instead of 50 of 100 votes, with 1 vote per share). Because financially, I am not diluted. I go from owning 50% of something worth 100 to owning 33% of something worth 150. If I think the Swedish Rumble X conglomerate could grow faster with a fresh ยฃ50 burning a hole in my pocket that I could use to boost posts โ itโs beneficial for me too!
๐บ๐๐ค ๐๐ง๐ ๐ฎ๐ค๐ช ๐จ๐๐ฎ๐๐ฃ๐ ๐ฉ๐๐๐ฉ ๐ฌ๐ ๐๐๐ฃ ๐๐จ๐จ๐ช๐ข๐ ๐ฉ๐๐๐ฉ ๐ฉ๐๐ ๐๐ก๐๐ฏ๐๐ง๐จ ๐๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐๐ก๐ฎ ๐ฌ๐ค๐ช๐ก๐ ๐๐ก๐ก๐ค๐ฌ ๐๐ฃ๐๐ค๐จ ๐ฉ๐ค ๐๐ช๐ฎ ๐ฃ๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐๐๐ง๐๐จ ๐๐ค๐ง ๐๐ฃ๐ค๐ฉ๐๐๐ง ยฃ1๐๐ฃ? No, I canโt say that they would, nor that they wouldnโt. Nor can anyone else going on the information we have.
The Glazers own 69% of the votes and Ineos own 29% of the votes. If Ineos subscribe for more shares, the Glazers might fall under the 69% threshold. This might be important for them. Or not. We donโt know.
๐บ๐๐ค ๐๐ ๐ฎ๐ค๐ช ๐๐ค๐ฃโ๐ฉ ๐ ๐ฃ๐ค๐ฌ, ๐๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ค๐ฃ๐ ๐๐ก๐จ๐ ๐๐ค๐๐จ๐ฃโ๐ฉ ๐ ๐ฃ๐ค๐ฌ โ ๐ฌ๐๐ฎ ๐๐จ ๐ฉ๐๐๐จ ๐๐ฃ ๐๐จ๐จ๐ช๐?
That is just it โ this should be the first thing the clubโs representatives should be asked. Omar Berrada and Jim Ratcliffe are giving interviews.
Chelsea has spent ยฃ1,6bn on transfers the last 3 years while United has spent ยฃ730m. Clubs like Liverpool and City have wage bills that are ยฃ150-200m more expansive than Unitedโs โ per season. The differences between United and these clubs in this regard is in absolute terms as big as the difference between Norwich and Manchester United.
What is the plan? How can they not be asked this? ?
๐บ๐ฝ๐ช๐ฉ ๐จ๐๐ค๐ช๐ก๐๐ฃโ๐ฉ ๐ฌ๐ ๐๐๐ซ๐ ๐๐ฃ๐๐ค๐จ ๐ฉ๐๐ข๐? Sure โ if they have a plan that sounds reasonable. But while cutting costs of ยฃ50-60m per is certainly helpful โ it would take 10 years for that to add up to the difference between what we have spent the last 3 years and what Chelsea has spent the last 3 years.
And since Chelsea, Liverpool, City and Arsenal are able to invest more in their squad than we are in ours โ because Manchester United is very under-capitalized โ THEY end up earning more and more money each season, while we end up earning less money.
And we still havenโt talked about the 1bn in debt that United has. Ratcliffe is complaining on having to pay 80m for past signing this summer. But after 18 months of being owned by Ineos, our debt is just growing. In 2029, we will on July 1 pay cash for signing Cunha.
The stadium? It wonโt be finished before 2030 โ in the best of worlds.
What is the plan?