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26/07/2025

*AHEAD 2027: PETER OBI'S POLITICAL DILEMMA*
*By Patrick Adeokhor*

As Nigeria approaches the 2027 presidential election, the political landscape is undergoing intense realignment and recalibration. The stage is once again being set for a major contest among the country's leading political actors. President Bola Ahmed Tinubu of the All Progressives Congress (APC), despite mounting economic hardship and accusations of regional imbalance; especially from the North, remains steadfast in pushing forward his controversial reform agenda. Tinubu’s approach, often seen as bold yet unpopular, raises a pressing question: if he fails to win re-election in 2027, can he still maintain political relevance, or will his dominance wane?

On the opposition front, a strategic coalition of political heavyweights within the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), including Alhaji Atiku Abubakar and Senator David Mark, is working to revive and reposition the party ahead of 2027. Their discussions reportedly include a possible merger with the African Democratic Congress (ADC) and a decision to zone the presidential ticket to the South; particularly the South East. This zoning move could be a deliberate attempt to lure Peter Obi back to the PDP, a party he left in 2022 to pursue his presidential ambition under the Labour Party (LP). Obi’s possible return has since become a focal point of political speculation, with many asking: will reuniting with the PDP offer him a stronger platform to clinch the presidency?

Professor Jerry Gana, a respected founding member of the PDP, recently confirmed that the party is actively reaching out to Obi and other former members in a bid to strengthen its base. Asked specifically about Obi, Gana simply said, “Why not?” A statement that reflects the PDP’s renewed openness to reconciliation and rebuilding. There are also whispers that FCT Minister Nyesom Wike is allegedly involved in behind-the-scenes lobbying to clear the path for Obi’s return. Cont'd

26/06/2025

2027: Political Realignments and the Battle for Relevance
By Patrick Adeokhor

Though 2027 may appear distant on the calendar, to Nigerian politicians, it is already around the corner. The political machinery is in motion. Behind the scenes and in public, alignments and realignments are underway. In the game of politics, there are no permanent friends or enemies—only permanent interests.

In recent developments, the South-South geo-political zone has witnessed a significant shift. The Governor of Delta State, along with his cabinet and former Governor Ifeanyi Okowa, have reportedly decamped from the major opposition party, the People’s Democratic Party (PDP), to join the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC). This move has sent shockwaves across the political landscape, raising questions about strategy, survival, and the quest for relevance.

Political analysts are busy with permutations: can these high-profile defections translate into electoral gains for President Bola Ahmed Tinubu in 2027? Can a ruling party under pressure, plagued with economic hardship, insecurity, and public dissatisfaction, hold on to power?
The suffering masses—those bearing the brunt of unpopular economic policies, rising inflation, widespread insecurity, and continuous attacks from killer herders in Benue, communal violence in Plateau, and insurgency in Borno—are beginning to question whether real change is possible within the current political framework.

More troubling for the Tinubu administration is the apparent discontent within the northern political bloc. Many in the North feel marginalized in federal appointments and may express their dissatisfaction at the polls. Speculations are mounting that the President may consider dropping Vice President Kashim Shettima from the 2027 ticket to avoid a repeat of the controversial Muslim-Muslim pairing that attracted nationwide criticism in 2023.

While no official announcement has been made, there are strong indications that the APC is alr

05/06/2025

*DESPERATION FOR POWER AHEAD OF 2027: OPPOSITION COALITION FACES INTERNAL CHALLENGES*
By Patrick Adeokhor

The formation of a political coalition by major opposition figures ahead of the 2027 general elections signals a strategic attempt to challenge President Ahmed Tinubu's re-election bid. This emerging alliance includes notable figures such as former Vice President Alhaji Atiku Abubakar of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), former Anambra State Governor and Labour Party presidential candidate Mr. Peter Obi, and other political heavyweights like Nasir El-Rufai and former Ekiti State Governor Kayode Fayemi.

The coalition, which draws parallels to the 2013 APC merger that led to the defeat of President Goodluck Jonathan in 2015, aims to consolidate opposition forces. However, internal disagreements and competing ambitions threaten its stability.
At the heart of the tension is the question of leadership and political equity. While Atiku Abubakar is pushing for a broad-based alliance under a unified opposition banner, Peter Obi’s supporters—popularly known as the 'Obidients'—are wary of any arrangement that places Obi in a subordinate role. Many within the Labour Party insist that their movement must not be reduced to a bargaining chip in a larger power struggle.

Labour Party loyalists argue that any viable coalition must be built on shared values such as transparency, competence, and a genuine commitment to national development. They view alliances built solely for electoral victory, without addressing foundational governance issues, as unsustainable.

Additionally, unresolved matters such as regional zoning, leadership rotation, and ideological alignment complicate negotiations. The North-South power balance remains a sensitive topic, particularly as many Southern stakeholders believe the presidency should remain in the South following Tinubu’s tenure.

While the opposition hopes to recreate the momentum of the APC's historic 2015 win, the political climate of

02/04/2022

AHEAD 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION
The cacophonic voices from our political clime ahead 2023 presidential election is pointing

08/02/2022

*AHEAD 2023: NATIONAL CONVENTION MAY MAKE OR MAR APC*
The governor Mai Mala Buni - led caretaker/extraordinary planning committee has a great role to play to foster peace and unity among members of the ruling All Progressive Congress (APC) ahead 2023 Presidential election in Nigeria.
The party is seemingly in disarray and it needs not only committed members but Patriotic Nigerians to bring sanity into the fold.
There is no doubt politics is all about interest. All the political zones across the enclave called Nigeria are fighting to protect their personal interest. No politician any where in the world that want to play a second fiddle. Therefore, the success of APC at the party's national convention slated for 26th of February, 2022 is a major determinant its success at the 2023 presidential race in Nigeria.
The national chairmanship position is zone to the north. The political bigwigs from the North who are in the race vying for the position of national chairman of the ruling party are: Former governor of Nasarawa State, Tanko Al Makura, former governor of Borno State, Ali Modu Sherrif, former governor of Zamfara State, Abdulaziz Yari, former governor of Benue State, Senator George Akume, former governor of Gombe State, Senator Danjuma Goje and a host of others.
These personalities' personal interest are primary to them than the interest of the party and that of the nation which is secondary. No wonder the battle is tough.
According to the political analyst, the only way to go to save the APC from this political debacle ahead 2023 presidential election, the political actors should come to a round table for horse trading and to agreed on consensus candidate before the national convention because outcome of the convention may be a double edge sword that is capable of making or mar the APC chances of winning the presidential election. The APC leadership should learn from 2014 PDP kind convention held in Abuja where some of the key actors staged

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