
15/03/2025
The 2027 election.............
If the opposition unites and presents one candidate, Tinubu is a one term president. He is extremely unpopular in the North because of his wicked policies that brought hunger to Northners. El-Rufai will damage his second term bid not necessarily by being on the ballot against him, but by galvanizing opposition politicians to build Northern and Eastern coalition alliance between Hausa and Igbos to sn**ch power from APC.
The arithmetic is very clear. Two major tribes can win an election. That has already been proven by the past three elections.
Tinubu even with Northern governors working for him cannot beat Atiku in the North. Tinubu with Peter Obi as Atiku's VP cannot win in South East and South South, likewise he cannot be sure of Lagos because of Igbos dominance in the state. With Peter Obi in the team Tinubu cannot win Middle -Belt or North Central or Abuja. Last election has demonstrated the dominance of Igbos in those areas. In every state,after the indigene,Igbos are the most dominant ethnic group. Building alliance with them will definitely pay up. If you look at last election where Tinubu got 39%,an alliance of PDP and LP would have defeated him.
The Yoruba states can't mathematically give victory to Tinubu. Also rigging will not give victory. He may try, but rigging is only possible in state elections, when a candidate is unpopular.
An unpopular presidential candidate cannot rig election, you have to be at least a little popular to do it. Even the security agents are partisan and majority of them come from Hausa and Igbo he will work against him in the North.