04/11/2025
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 17
Typhoon (KALMAEGI)
Issued at 8:00 PM, 04 November 2025
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 11:00 PM today.
“TINO” MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH AND IS NOW APPROACHING CUYO ISLANDS.
Location of Center (7:00 PM):
The center of Typhoon TINO was estimated based on all available data over the coastal waters of Magsaysay, Palawan (10.9°N, 121.3°E).
Intensity:
Maximum sustained winds of 130 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 180 km/h, and central pressure of 970 hPa
Present Movement:
Northwestward at 15 km/h
Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds:
Strong to typhoon-force winds extend outwards up to 300 km from the center
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT
TCWS No. 4
Wind threat: Typhoon-force winds
Warning lead time: 12 hours
Range of wind speeds: 118 to 184 km/h (Beaufort 12)
Potential impacts of winds: Significant to severe threat to life and property
Luzon:
The northernmost portion of Palawan (El Nido, Taytay, Araceli) including Calamian and Cuyo Islands
TCWS No. 3
Wind threat: Storm-force winds
Warning lead time: 18 hours
Range of wind speeds: 89 to 117 km/h (Beaufort 10 to 11)
Potential impacts of winds: Moderate to significant threat to life and property
Luzon:
The northern portion of Palawan (Dumaran, San Vicente, Roxas)
Visayas:
Aklan, Antique including Caluya Islands, the western portion of Capiz (Jamindan, Tapaz), and the western portion of Iloilo (Lambunao, Calinog, New Lucena, Oton, Pavia, Dueñas, Mina, Santa Barbara, Bingawan, Badiangan, Maasin, San Miguel, Cabatuan, Alimodian, Janiuay, Leon, Guimbal, Tigbauan, Igbaras, Tubungan, Miagao, San Joaquin)
TCWS No. 2
Wind threat: Gale-force winds
Warning lead time: 24 hours
Range of wind speeds: 62 to 88 km/h (Beaufort 8 to 9)
Potential impacts of winds: Minor to moderate threat to life and property
Luzon:
The western portion of Romblon (Santa Fe, Santa Maria, Looc, Alcantara, Odiongan, San Jose, Ferrol, San Andres, Calatrava, San Agustin), the southern portion of Oriental Mindoro (Bulalacao, Mansalay, Roxas, Bongabong), the southern portion of Occidental Mindoro (Magsaysay, San Jose, Rizal, Calintaan), and the central portion of Palawan (Puerto Princesa City)
Visayas:
The rest of Capiz, the rest of Iloilo, Guimaras, and the western portion of Negros Occidental ( Cadiz City, City of Victorias, Manapla, Enrique B. Magalona, Silay City, City of Talisay, Bacolod City, Bago City, Pulupandan, Valladolid, La Carlota City, Pontevedra, San Enrique, Hinigaran, Murcia, Cauayan, City of Sipalay, Candoni, Ilog, City of Kabankalan, Hinoba-An, City of Himamaylan, Binalbagan, Isabela, Moises Padilla, La Castellana)
TCWS No. 1
Wind threat: Strong winds
Warning lead time: 36 hours
Range of wind speeds: 39 to 61 km/h (Beaufort 6 to 7)
Potential impacts of winds: Minimal to minor threat to life and property
Luzon:
The southern portion of Quezon (San Francisco, San Andres), the southern portion of Marinduque (Torrijos, Buenavista, Gasan, Boac), the rest of Romblon, the rest of Oriental Mindoro, the rest of Occidental Mindoro including Lubang Island, the southern portion of Palawan (Aborlan, Quezon, Narra, Sofronio Española), and Masbate including Burias and Ticao Islands
Visayas:
Cebu including Bantayan Islands, Negros Oriental, and the rest of Negros Occidental
OTHER HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
Heavy Rainfall Outlook
Refer to Weather Advisory No. 13 issued at 5:00 PM today for the heavy rainfall outlook due to the Shear Line and TINO.
Link: tinyurl.com/wxadvisory
Severe Winds
The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction.
• Significant to severe impacts from typhoon-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 4.
• Moderate to significant impacts from storm-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No 3.
• Minor to moderate impacts from gale-force winds are possible within any of the localities where Wind Signal No. 2 is hoisted
• Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1.
Furthermore the surge of the Northeast Monsoon, shear line and the trough of TINO will also bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas not under Wind Signal (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds):
• Today: Cagayan Valley, Cordillera Administrative Region, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Central Luzon, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, Sarangani, Davao Occidental, and Davao Oriental.
• Tomorrow (05 November): Luzon, Western Visayas, Negros Island Region, Central Visayas, Biliran, Leyte, and Zamboanga Peninsula.
• Thursday (06 November): Ilocos Region, Batanes, Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, most of Cordillera Administrative Region, Central Luzon, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, and MIMAROPA.
Coastal Flooding
There is a high risk of life-threatening and damaging storm surge with peak heights exceeding 3.0 m within the next 24 hours over the low-lying or exposed coastal communities of Oriental Mindoro, Occidental Mindoro, Palawan, Capiz, Antique, Iloilo, Guimaras, and Negros Occidental. Refer to Storm Surge Warning No. 10 issued at 8:00 PM today for more details.
Link: tinyurl.com/storm-surge-warning
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
A Gale Warning is in effect over the western and southern seaboards of Southern Luzon and the western seaboards of Visayas. For more information, refer to Gale Warning No. 5 issued at 5:00 PM today.
Link: tinyurl.com/gale-warning
24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook
Up to very rough seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 6.0 m: The seaboards of northern Palawan including Calamian and Cuyo Islands; the western and southern seaboards of Occidental Mindoro; the southern seaboard of Oriental Mindoro
• Up to 5.0 m: The seaboard of Antique; the western seaboard of Aklan.
• Up to 4.5 m: The seaboard of Cagayancillo Islands; the southern seaboard of Iloilo; the western seaboards of Negros Occidental and Guimaras.
• Sea travel is risky for all types or tonnage of vessels. All mariners must remain in port or, if underway, seek shelter or safe harbor as soon as possible until winds and waves subside.
Up to rough seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 4.0 m: The seaboards of Cagayan, Isabela, Aurora, and Camarines Norte; the northern and eastern seaboard of Polillo Islands; the northern seaboards of Camarines Sur and Catanduanes; the southern seaboard of Romblon; the remaining seaboard of Aklan.
• Up to 3.5 m: The seaboards of Batanes, Ilocos Norte, and Ilocos Sur; the eastern seaboards of Catanduanes and Albay.
• Up to 3.0 m: The seaboards of La Union, Zambales, Kalayaan Islands; the eastern seaboards of Camarines Sur, Sorsogon, Eastern Samar, and Davao Oriental; the western seaboards of Pangasinan, Bataan, and the rest of mainland Palawan; the southwestern seaboard of Negros Oriental; the northern and eastern seaboards of Northern Samar; the remaining seaboard of Catanduanes.
• Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced of operating ill-equipped vessels.
Up to moderate seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 2.5 m: The seaboard of Zamboanga del Norte; the western seaboard of Masbate; the eastern seaboards of Oriental Mindoro, Dinagat Islands, Siargao and Bucas Grande Islands, and Surigao del Sur; the remaining seaboards of Quezon, Camarines Sur, Albay, Marinduque, and Romblon.
• Up to 2.0 m: The seaboard of Batangas, Northern Mindanao, and Davao Occidental; the remaining seaboards of Pangasinan, MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, Visayas, and Caraga Region.
Mariners of motorbancas and similarly sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions.
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
• Heavy rainfall, severe winds, and storm surge may still be experienced in localities outside the landfall point and the forecast confidence cone. Refer to hoisted Wind Signals and the “Other Hazards affecting Land Areas” section for more details. Furthermore, the track may still shift within the limit of the forecast confidence cone.
• TINO is forecast to pass close or make landfall over Cuyo Islands tonight then northern Palawan area by tomorrow (05 November) early morning. It is expected to emerge over the West Philippine Sea tomorrow morning and may exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility by tomorrow evening or Thursday (06 November) early morning.
• TINO is forecast to steadily re-intensify over the next days and may reach its peak intensity while over the West Philippine Sea.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 11:00 PM today.
DOST-PAGASA
Link: tinyurl.com/TCB-TinoPH
