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TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 9Severe Tropical Storm   (BUALOI)Issued at 11:00 AM, 25 September 2025Valid for broadcast ...
25/09/2025

TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 9
Severe Tropical Storm (BUALOI)
Issued at 11:00 AM, 25 September 2025
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 2:00 PM today.

OPONG MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA EAST OF EASTERN VISAYAS.

Location of Center (10:00 AM)
The center of Severe Tropical Storm OPONG was estimated based on all available data at 335 km East of Guiuan, Eastern Samar (11.1°N, 128.8°E).

Intensity
Maximum sustained winds of 110 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 135 km/h, and central pressure of 980 hPa

Present Movement
West northwestward at 25 km/h

Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds
Strong to storm-force winds extend outwards up to 430 km
from the center

TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT
TCWS No. 2
Wind threat: Gale-force winds
Luzon:
Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur,Catanduanes, Albay, Sorsogon, and the northern portion of Masbate(Aroroy, Baleno, City of Masbate, Mobo,Uson, Dimasalang, Palanas, Cataingan,Pio V. Corpuz) including Ticao and Burias Islands

Visayas:
Northern Samar, the northern and central portions of Eastern Samar (Can-Avid, Maslog, San Policarpo, Taft, Dolores, Jipapad, Oras, Arteche, Sulat, San Julian), the northern and central portions of Samar (San Jorge, San Sebastian, Villareal, Zumarraga, Matuguinao, Pinabacdao, Almagro, Calbayog City, Talalora, Jiabong, Pagsanghan, City of Catbalogan, Gandara, Motiong, Santo Niño, Tagapul-An, San Jose de Buan, Santa Margarita, Tarangnan, Calbiga, Daram, Paranas, Hinabangan), and the northern portion of Biliran (Almeria, Kawayan, Maripipi, Culaba)

Warning lead time: 24 hours
Range of wind speeds: 62 to 88 km/h (Beaufort 8 to 9)
Potential impacts of winds: Minor to moderate threat to life and property

TCWS No. 1
Wind threat: Strong winds
Luzon
The central and southern portions of Isabela (Alicia, San Mateo, Aurora, Ramon, Naguilian, Dinapigue, San Guillermo, Luna, City of Cauayan,Echague, Angadanan, Benito Soliven, City of Santiago, Reina Mercedes, San Agustin, San Manuel, Cabatuan, Gamu, San Isidro, Cordon, Jones, Burgos, San Mariano, Palanan), Quirino, Nueva Vizcaya, Ifugao, the southwestern portion of Mountain Province (Bauko, Sabangan, Tadian), Benguet, the southern portion of Ilocos Sur (Sugpon, Alilem), La Union, Pangasinan, Aurora, Nueva Ecija, Tarlac, Zambales, Bataan, Pampanga, Bulacan, Metro Manila, Rizal, Cavite, Batangas, Laguna, Quezon, Romblon, Marinduque, Occidental Mindoro, Oriental Mindoro, Calamian Islands, and the rest of Masbate

Visayas
The rest of Eastern Samar, the rest of Samar, the rest of Biliran, Leyte, Southern Leyte, thenorthern portion of Cebu (Daanbantayan, Medellin, City of Bogo, Tabogon, San Remigio, Borbon, Sogod, Tabuelan, Catmon, Tuburan, Carmen, Danao City, Asturias, Compostela) including Camotes and Bantayan Islands, the northern portion of Negros Occidental (City of Escalante, Toboso, Calatrava, Sagay City, Cadiz City, Manapla, City of Victorias, Enrique B. Magalona, Silay City, City of Talisay), the northern portion of Iloilo (San Dionisio, Batad, Balasan, Carles, Sara, Concepcion, Ajuy, Lemery, Barotac Viejo, San Rafael, Banate, Anilao, San Enrique, City of Passi, Bingawan, Calinog, Lambunao, Dueñas, Di**le), Capiz, Aklan, and the northern portion of Antique (Libertad, Pandan, Sebaste, Culasi, Tibiao, Barbaza, Bugasong, Laua-An, Caluya)

Mindanao
Siargao Island, Bucas Grande Islands, and Dinagat Islands

Warning lead time: 36 hours
Range of wind speeds: 39 to 61 km/h (Beaufort 6 to 7)
Potential impacts of winds: Minimal to minor threat to life and property

OTHER HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS

Heavy Rainfall Outlook

Refer to Weather Advisory No. 24 issued at 11:00 AM today for the heavy rainfall outlook due to Tropical Cyclone OPONG and the Southwest Monsoon.

Severe Winds

The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction.

• Minor to moderate impacts from gale-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 2.
• Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1.

The highest Wind Signal that may be hoisted throughout the passage of OPONG is Wind Signal No. 4.

The Southwest Monsoon, both enhanced by NANDO and OPONG, will bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds):

• Today: Ilocos Region, Batanes, Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, Isabela, Zambales, Bataan, Palawan, Visayas (areas not under Wind Signal), Zamboanga del Norte, Misamis Occidental, Misamis Oriental, Camiguin, Caraga (areas not under Wind Signal), Davao del Sur, and Davao Oriental.
• Tomorrow (26 September): Batanes, Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Zamboanga del Norte, Palawan, Visayas (areas not under Wind Signal), Northern Mindanao, Caraga, Davao del Sur, and Davao Oriental.
• Saturday (27 September): Batanes, Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, Apayao, Abra, Kalinga, and Ilocos Region.

HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS

A Gale Warning is in effect over the eastern seaboard of Southern Luzon and Visayas. Refer to Gale Warning No. 1 issued at 8:00 AM today.

24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook

Up to very rough, high, or very high over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 11.0 m: The seaboards of Catanduanes; the eastern seaboards of Albay and Sorsogon; the northern and eastern seaboards of Northern Samar and Eastern Samar.
• Up to 6.0 m: The northern and eastern seaboards of Camarines Norte and Camarines Sur.
• Up to 5.0 m: The seaboards of Quezon, Marinduque, and Romblon; the remaining seaboards of Bicol Region, Northern Samar, and Eastern Samar.
• Sea travel is risky for all types or tonnage of vessels. All mariners must remain in port or, if underway, seek shelter or safe harbor as soon as possible until winds and waves subside.
Up to rough seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 4.0 m: The seaboards of Isabela, Aurora, Batangas, Oriental Mindoro, Samar, and Biliran; the northern seaboard of Leyte; the northern seaboards of Occidental Mindoro; the eastern seaboard of Dinagat Islands.
• Up to 3.5 m: The eastern seaboards of Cagayan including Babuyan Islands; the northern seaboards of Aklan and Capiz; the remaining seaboards Dinagat Islands.
• Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced of operating ill-equipped vessels.

Up to moderate seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 2.5 m: The seaboards of Batanes, Babuyan Islands, and Palawan; the remaining seaboards of Occidental Mindoro and Visayas.
• Mariners of motorbancas and similarly-sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions.

Coastal Inundation

There is a moderate to high risk of life-threatening storm surge with peak heights reaching 1.0 to 3.0 m within 36 hours over the low-lying or exposed coastal localities of Metro Manila, Central Luzon, CALABARZON, Occidental Mindoro including Lubang Island, Oriental Mindoro, Marinduque, Romblon, Bicol Region, Northern Samar, Eastern Samar, Samar, Biliran and Leyte. Refer to Storm Surge Warning No. 4 issued at 8:00 AM today for the details.

TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK

• It must be emphasized that heavy rainfall, severe winds, and storm surge may still be experienced in localities outside the landfall point and the forecast confidence cone. Refer to the hoisted Wind Signals (for direct wind threat of the tropical cyclone) and “Other Hazards affecting Land Areas” for more details. Furthermore, the track may still shift more to the north or to the south but within the limit of the forecast confidence cone.
• OPONG will continue moving west northwestward while approaching Eastern Visayas – Southern Luzon area. On the forecast track, it may pass close to Northern Samar or may make landfall over Bicol Region by tomorrow (26 September) morning or early afternoon and cross Southern Luzon throughout Friday. Afterwards, OPONG will emerge over the West Philippine Sea and exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility on Saturday (27 September) afternoon or evening.
• OPONG will continue to intensify while over the Philippine Sea and may reach typhoon category before making landfall over Bicol Region. However, due to marginally favorable environment, there is a possibility that OPONG may remain a severe tropical storm pre-landfall. Nevertheless, it is expected to weaken as it crosses the archipelago. Re-intensification is highly likely once OPONG emerges over the West Philippine Sea.

Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.

The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 2:00 PM today.

DOST-PAGASA

Weather Advisory No. 24For: Tropical Cyclone OPONG and Southwest MonsoonIssued at: 11 AM, 25 September 2025Heavy rainfal...
25/09/2025

Weather Advisory No. 24
For: Tropical Cyclone OPONG and Southwest Monsoon
Issued at: 11 AM, 25 September 2025

Heavy rainfall outlook due to Tropical Cyclone OPONG

Today to tomorrow noon (September 26)
(>200 mm):
Northern Samar, Eastern Samar, Samar, Biliran, Sorsogon, and Masbate
(100-200 mm):
Quezon, Catanduanes, Camarines Sur, Albay, Romblon, and Leyte
(50-100 mm):
Camarines Norte, Laguna, Batangas, Marinduque, Oriental Mindoro, Aklan, Capiz, Cebu, Bohol, Southern Leyte, Dinagat Islands, and Surigao del Norte

Tomorrow noon to Saturday noon (September 27)
(>200 mm):
Marinduque, Oriental Mindoro, Occidental Mindoro, and Batangas
(100-200 mm):
Cavite, Laguna, Quezon, Romblon, and Aklan
(50-100 mm):
Metro Manila, Rizal, Zambales, Bataan, Pampanga, Bulacan, Aurora, Isabela, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Capiz, and Masbate

Heavy rainfall outlook due to Southwest Monsoon

Today to tomorrow noon (September 26)
(50-100 mm):
Occidental Mindoro, Palawan, Antique, Iloilo, Guimaras, and Negros Occidental

Tomorrow noon to Saturday noon (September 27)
(100-200 mm):
Antique
(50-100 mm):
Palawan and Iloilo

Forecast rainfall may be higher in mountainous and elevated areas. Moreover, impacts in some areas may be worsened by significant antecedent rainfall.

The public disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. PAGASA Regional Services Divisions may issue Heavy Rainfall Warnings/Thunderstorm Advisories, and other severe weather information specific to their areas of responsibility as appropriate.

Unless significant changes occur, the next Weather Advisory will be issued at 5:00 PM today.

𝐅𝐨𝐫 𝐀𝐝𝐝𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐚𝐥 𝐈𝐧𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧: The key difference between a 𝐇𝐞𝐚𝐯𝐲 𝐑𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐟𝐚𝐥𝐥 𝐖𝐚𝐫𝐧𝐢𝐧𝐠 and a 𝐖𝐞𝐚𝐭𝐡𝐞𝐫 𝐀𝐝𝐯𝐢𝐬𝐨𝐫𝐲 lies in their forecast period, coverage areas, and accuracy.

A 𝐇𝐞𝐚𝐯𝐲 𝐑𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐟𝐚𝐥𝐥 𝐖𝐚𝐫𝐧𝐢𝐧𝐠 provides forecasts for the next three hours and applies up to the municipal level. It is more precise as it utilizes Doppler radar technology to track real-time rainfall intensity, making it highly effective for immediate decision-making in flood-prone areas. A 𝐖𝐞𝐚𝐭𝐡𝐞𝐫 𝐀𝐝𝐯𝐢𝐬𝐨𝐫𝐲, on the other hand, covers a 24-hour period but is issued only at the provincial level. It provides a broader outlook on potential weather disturbances but lacks the short-term accuracy of 𝐇𝐞𝐚𝐯𝐲 𝐑𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐟𝐚𝐥𝐥 𝐖𝐚𝐫𝐧𝐢𝐧𝐠𝐬.

For class suspensions or other official decisions, please refer to 𝐇𝐞𝐚𝐯𝐲 𝐑𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐟𝐚𝐥𝐥 𝐖𝐚𝐫𝐧𝐢𝐧𝐠𝐬 issued by the respective PAGASA Regional Services Divisions.

NORTHERN LUZON PRSD
PAGASA-National Capital Region PRSD
Pagasa Southern Luzon
PAGASA Visayas PRSD
MINDANAO PRSD

DOST-PAGASA

TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 8Severe Tropical Storm   (BUALOI)Issued at 8:00 AM, 25 September 2025Valid for broadcast u...
25/09/2025

TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 8
Severe Tropical Storm (BUALOI)
Issued at 8:00 AM, 25 September 2025
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 11:00 AM today.

SEVERE TROPICAL STORM OPONG MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH WHILE OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA.

Location of Center (7:00 AM)
The center of Severe Tropical Storm OPONG was estimated based on all available data at 365 km East of Guiuan, Eastern Samar (10.9°N, 129.1°E).

Intensity
Maximum sustained winds of 110 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 135 km/h, and central pressure of 980 hPa

Present Movement
West northwestward at 20 km/h

Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds
Strong to storm-force winds extend outwards up to 450 km from the center

TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT
TCWS No. 2
Wind threat: Gale-force winds
Luzon:
The eastern and southern portions of Camarines Sur (Siruma, Tinambac, Lagonoy, Garchitorena, Caramoan, Presentacion, Goa, Tigaon, San Jose, Sagñay, Ocampo, Iriga City, Buhi, Nabua, Bato, Balatan, Baao, Bula, Calabanga, Bombon, Magarao, Naga City, Pili, Minalabac, San Fernando, Milaor, Gainza, Canaman, Camaligan), Catanduanes, Albay, Sorsogon, and the eastern portion of Masbate (Aroroy, Baleno, City of Masbate, Mobo, Uson, Dimasalang, Palanas, Cataingan, Pio V. Corpuz) including Ticao Burias Islands
Visayas:
Northern Samar, the northern and central portions of Eastern Samar (Can-Avid, Maslog, San Policarpo, Taft, Dolores, Jipapad, Oras, Arteche, Sulat, San Julian), the northern and central portions of Samar (San Jorge, San Sebastian, Villareal, Zumarraga, Matuguinao, Pinabacdao, Almagro, Calbayog City, Talalora, Jiabong, Pagsanghan, City of Catbalogan, Gandara, Motiong, Santo Niño, Tagapul-An, San Jose de Buan, Santa Margarita, Tarangnan, Calbiga, Daram, Paranas, Hinabangan), and the northern portion of Biliran (Almeria, Kawayan, Maripipi, Culaba)

Warning lead time: 24 hours
Range of wind speeds: 62 to 88 km/h (Beaufort 8 to 9)
Potential impacts of winds: Minor to moderate threat to life and property

TCWS No. 1
Wind threat: Strong winds
Luzon
The rest of Masbate, the rest of Camarines Sur, Camarines Norte, Marinduque, Romblon, Oriental Mindoro, Occidental Mindoro including Lubang Islands, Quezon including Polillo Islands, Rizal, Laguna, Batangas, Cavite, Aurora , Metro Manila, Bulacan, Nueva Ecija, Tarlac, Pampanga, Zambales, Bataan, the central and southern portions of Isabela (Alicia, San Mateo, Aurora, Ramon, Naguilian, Dinapigue, San Guillermo, Luna, City of Cauayan, Echague, Angadanan, Benito Soliven, City of Santiago, Reina Mercedes, San Agustin, San Manuel, Cabatuan, Gamu, San Isidro, Cordon, Jones, Burgos, San Mariano, Palanan), Quirino, Nueva Vizcaya, Ifugao, the southwestern portion of Mountain Province (Bauko, Sabangan, Tadian), Benguet, the southern portion of Ilocos Sur (Sugpon, Alilem), La Union, and Pangasinan

Visayas
The rest of Eastern Samar and the rest of Samar, the rest of Biliran, Leyte, Southern Leyte, the northern portion of Cebu (Daanbantayan, Medellin, City of Bogo, Tabogon, San Remigio, Borbon, Sogod, Tabuelan, Catmon, Tuburan, Carmen, Danao City, Asturias, Compostela) including Camotes Island and Bantayan Island, the northern portion of Negros Occidental (City of Escalante, Toboso, Calatrava, Sagay City, Cadiz City, Manapla, City of Victorias, Enrique B. Magalona, Silay City, City of Talisay), the northern portion of Iloilo (San Dionisio, Batad, Balasan, Carles, Sara, Concepcion, Ajuy, Lemery, Barotac Viejo, San Rafael, Banate, Anilao, San Enrique, City of Passi, Bingawan, Calinog, Lambunao, Dueñas, Di**le), Capiz, Aklan, the northern and central portions of Antique (Libertad, Pandan, Sebaste, Culasi, Tibiao, Barbaza, Bugasong, Laua-An) including Caluya and Calamian Islands

Mindanao
Siargao Island, Bucas Grande Islands, and Dinagat Islands

Warning lead time: 36 hours
Range of wind speeds: 39 to 61 km/h (Beaufort 6 to 7)
Potential impacts of winds: Minimal to minor threat to life and property

OTHER HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS

Heavy Rainfall Outlook

Refer to Weather Advisory No. 23 issued at 5:00 AM today for the heavy rainfall outlook due to Tropical Cyclone OPONG and the Southwest Monsoon.

Severe Winds

The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction.

• Minor to moderate impacts from gale-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 2.
• Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1.

The highest Wind Signal that may be hoisted throughout the passage of OPONG is Wind Signal No. 4.

The Southwest Monsoon, both enhanced by NANDO and OPONG, will bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds):

• Today: Ilocos Region, Batanes, Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, Isabela, Zambales, Bataan, Palawan, Visayas (areas not under Wind Signal), Zamboanga del Norte, Misamis Occidental, Misamis Oriental, Camiguin, Caraga (areas not under Wind Signal), Davao del Sur, and Davao Oriental.
• Tomorrow (26 September): Batanes, Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Zamboanga del Norte, Palawan, Visayas (areas not under Wind Signal), Northern Mindanao, Caraga, Davao del Sur, and Davao Oriental.
• Saturday (27 September): Batanes, Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, Apayao, Abra, Kalinga, and Ilocos Region.

HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS

Gale Warning will likely be issued today (25 September).

24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook

Up to very rough, high, or very high over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 11.0 m: The seaboards of Catanduanes; the eastern seaboards of Albay and Sorsogon; the northern and eastern seaboards of Northern Samar.
• Up to 5.0 m: The northern seaboards of Camarines Norte and Camarines Sur.
• Sea travel is risky for all types or tonnage of vessels. All mariners must remain in port or, if underway, seek shelter or safe harbor as soon as possible until winds and waves subside.
Up to rough seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 4.0 m: The northeastern seaboard of Eastern Samar.
• Up to 3.5 m: The remaining seaboard of Eastern Samar; the eastern seaboards of Cagayan, Isabela, Aurora, Dinagat Islands and Siargao Islands; the northern and eastern seaboards of Polillo Islands.
• Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced of operating ill-equipped vessels.

Up to moderate seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 2.5 m: The seaboards of Batanes and Babuyan Islands; the northeastern seaboard of Ilocos Norte.
• Mariners of motorbancas and similarly-sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions.

Coastal Inundation

There is a moderate to high risk of life-threatening storm surge with peak heights reaching 1.0 to 3.0 m within 36 hours over the low-lying or exposed coastal localities of Aurora, Zambales, Bataan, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, Occidental Mindoro including Lubang Island, Oriental Mindoro, Marinduque, Romblon, Bicol Region, Northern Samar, Eastern Samar, Samar, Biliran and Leyte. Refer to Storm Surge Warning No. 4 issued at 5:00 AM today for the details.

TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK

• It must be emphasized that heavy rainfall, severe winds, and storm surge may still be experienced in localities outside the landfall point and the forecast confidence cone. Refer to the hoisted Wind Signals (for direct wind threat of the tropical cyclone) and “Other Hazards affecting Land Areas” for more details. Furthermore, the track may still shift more to the north or to the south but within the limit of the forecast confidence cone.
• OPONG will continue moving west northwestward while approaching Eastern Visayas – Southern Luzon area. On the forecast track, it may pass close to Northern Samar or may make landfall over Bicol Region by tomorrow (26 September) morning or early afternoon and cross Southern Luzon throughout Friday. Afterwards, OPONG will emerge over the West Philippine Sea and exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility on Saturday (27 September) afternoon or evening.
• OPONG will continue to intensify while over the Philippine Sea and may reach typhoon category before making landfall over Bicol Region. It will then weaken as it crosses the archipelago, although it will likely remain as a typhoon or severe tropical storm during the passage. Re-intensification is highly likely once OPONG emerges over the West Philippine Sea.

Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.

The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 11:00 AM today.

DOST-PAGASA

TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 7Severe Tropical Storm   (BUALOI)Issued at 5:00 AM, 25 September 2025Valid for broadcast u...
24/09/2025

TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 7
Severe Tropical Storm (BUALOI)
Issued at 5:00 AM, 25 September 2025
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 8:00 AM today.

OPONG CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY WHILE MOVING WEST NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA.

Location of Center (4:00 AM): The center of Severe Tropical Storm OPONG was estimated based on all available data at 440 km East of Guiuan, Eastern Samar (10.9°N, 129.8°E).

Intensity: Maximum sustained winds of 110 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 135 km/h, and central pressure of 980 hPa

Present Movement: West northwestward at 20 km/h

Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds: Strong to storm-force winds extend outwards up to 450 km from the center

TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT
TCWS No. 2
Wind threat: Gale-force winds
Luzon
Catanduanes, the southern portion of Albay (Santo Domingo, Legazpi City, Camalig, Rapu-Rapu, Bacacay, Daraga, Jovellar, Manito), and Sorsogon
Visayas
Northern Samar, the northern and central portions of Eastern Samar (Can-Avid, Maslog, San Policarpo, Taft, Dolores, Jipapad, Oras, Arteche, Sulat, San Julian), and the northern and central portions of Samar (San Jorge, San Sebastian, Villareal, Zumarraga, Matuguinao, Pinabacdao, Almagro, Calbayog City, Talalora, Jiabong, Pagsanghan, City of Catbalogan, Gandara, Motiong, Santo Niño, Tagapul-An, San Jose de Buan, Santa Margarita, Tarangnan, Calbiga, Daram, Paranas, Hinabangan)
Warning lead time: 24 hours
Range of wind speeds: 62 to 88 km/h (Beaufort 8 to 9)
Potential impacts of winds: Minor to moderate threat to life and property

TCWS No. 1
Wind threat: Strong winds
Luzon
The rest of Albay, Masbate including Ticao Isl. and Burias Isl., Camarines Sur, Camarines Norte, Marinduque, Romblon, Oriental Mindoro, Occidental Mindoro including Lubang Islands, Quezon including Polillo Islands, Rizal, Laguna, Batangas, Cavite, Aurora , Metro Manila, Bulacan, Nueva Ecija, Tarlac, Pampanga, Zambales, Bataan, the central and southern portions of Isabela (Alicia, San Mateo, Aurora, Ramon, Naguilian, Dinapigue, San Guillermo, Luna, City of Cauayan, Echague, Angadanan, Benito Soliven, City of Santiago, Reina Mercedes, San Agustin, San Manuel, Cabatuan, Gamu, San Isidro, Cordon, Jones, Burgos, San Mariano, Palanan), Quirino, Nueva Vizcaya, Ifugao, the southwestern portion of Mountain Province (Bauko, Sabangan, Tadian), Benguet, the southern portion of Ilocos Sur (Sugpon, Alilem), La Union, and Pangasinan
Visayas
The rest of Eastern Samar and the rest of Samar, Biliran, Leyte, Southern Leyte, the northern portion of Cebu (Daanbantayan, Medellin, City of Bogo, Tabogon, San Remigio, Borbon, Sogod, Tabuelan, Catmon, Tuburan, Carmen, Danao City, Asturias, Compostela) including Camotes Isl. and Bantayan Isl., the northern portion of Negros Occidental (City of Escalante, Toboso, Calatrava, Sagay City, Cadiz City, Manapla, City of Victorias, Enrique B. Magalona, Silay City, City of Talisay), the northern portion of Iloilo (San Dionisio, Batad, Balasan, Carles, Sara, Concepcion, Ajuy, Lemery, Barotac Viejo, San Rafael, Banate, Anilao, San Enrique, City of Passi, Bingawan, Calinog, Lambunao, Dueñas, Di**le), Capiz, Aklan, the northern and central portions of Antique (Libertad, Pandan, Sebaste, Culasi, Tibiao, Barbaza, Bugasong, Laua-An) including Caluya Islands and Calamian Islands
Mindanao
Siargao Isl., Bucas Grande Isl., and Dinagat Isl.
Warning lead time: 36 hours
Range of wind speeds: 39 to 61 km/h (Beaufort 6 to 7)
Potential impacts of winds: Minimal to minor threat to life and property

OTHER HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
Heavy Rainfall Outlook
Refer to Weather Advisory No. 23 issued at 5:00 AM today for the heavy rainfall outlook due to Tropical Cyclone OPONG and the Southwest Monsoon. Link: tinyurl.com/wxadvisory

Severe Winds
The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction.

• Minor to moderate impacts from gale-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 2.
• Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1.

The highest Wind Signal that may be hoisted throughout the passage of OPONG is Wind Signal No. 4.

The Southwest Monsoon, both enhanced by NANDO and OPONG, will bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds):

• Today: Ilocos Region, Batanes, Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, Isabela, Zambales, Bataan, Palawan, Visayas (areas not under Wind Signal), Zamboanga del Norte, Misamis Occidental, Misamis Oriental, Camiguin, Caraga (areas not under Wind Signal), Davao del Sur, and Davao Oriental.
• Tomorrow (26 September): Batanes, Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Zamboanga del Norte, Palawan, Visayas (areas not under Wind Signal), Northern Mindanao, Caraga, Davao del Sur, and Davao Oriental.
• Saturday (27 September): Batanes, Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, Apayao, Abra, Kalinga, and Ilocos Region.

HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
Gale Warning will likely be issued today (25 September).
24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook

Up to rough to very rough
• Up to 6.0 m: The northern and eastern seaboards of Catanduanes and Northern Samar; the eastern seaboards of Albay and Sorsogon
• Up to 4.0 m: The northeastern seaboard of Eastern Samar, the northern seaboards of Camarines Sur and Camarines Norte
• Up to moderate to rough seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 3.5 m: The remaining seaboard of Eastern Samar
• Up to 3.0 m: The eastern seaboard of Dinagat Islands
• Up to 2.5 m: The seaboards of Batanes and Babuyan Islands; the eastern seaboards of Cagayan Isabela, Aurora, Polillo Islands and Davao Oriental; the northern seaboard of Ilocos Norte
• Mariners of motorbancas and similarly-sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions.

Coastal Inundation
There is a moderate to high risk of life-threatening storm surge with peak heights reaching 1.0 to 3.0 m within 48 hours over the low-lying or exposed coastal localities of Aurora, Zambales, Bataan, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, Occidental Mindoro, Oriental Mindoro, Marinduque, Romblon, Bicol Region, Northern Samar, Eastern Samar, Samar, and Biliran. Refer to Storm Surge Warning No. 3 issued at 2:00 AM today for the details.

TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
• It must be emphasized that heavy rainfall, severe winds, and storm surge may still be experienced in localities outside the landfall point and the forecast confidence cone. Refer to the hoisted Wind Signals (for direct wind threat of the tropical cyclone) and “Other Hazards affecting Land Areas” for more details. Furthermore, the track may still shift more to the north or to the south but within the limit of the forecast confidence cone.
• OPONG is forecast to begin moving west northwestward while approaching Eastern Visayas – Southern Luzon area. On the forecast track, OPONG may make landfall over Bicol Region by tomorrow (26 September) afternoon or evening and cross Southern Luzon throughout Friday. Afterwards, it will continue moving generally west northwestward over the West Philippine Sea and exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility on Saturday (27 September) afternoon or evening.
• OPONG will continue to intensify while over the Philippine Sea and may reach typhoon category before making landfall over Bicol Region. It will then weaken as it crosses the archipelago, although it will likely remain as a typhoon or severe tropical storm during the passage. Re-intensification is highly likely once OPONG emerges over the West Philippine Sea.

Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.

The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 8:00 AM today.


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