03/11/2025
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 8
Typhoon (KALMAEGI)
Issued at 5:00 PM, 03 November 2025
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 8:00 PM today.
“TINO” SLIGHTLY INTENSIFIES AS IT MOVES TOWARDS EASTERN VISAYAS – CARAGA AREA.
Location of Center (4:00 PM):
The center of Typhoon TINO was estimated based on all available data including those from Guiuan Doppler Weather Radar at 170 km East Southeast of Guiuan, Eastern Samar (10.5°N, 127.2°E).
Intensity:
Maximum sustained winds of 130 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 160 km/h, and central pressure of 970 hPa
Present Movement:
Westward at 20 km/h
Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds:
Strong to typhoon-force winds extend outwards up to 300 km from the center
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT
TCWS No. 4
➣ Wind threat: Typhoon-force winds
➣ Warning lead time: 12 hours
➣ Range of wind speeds: 118 to 184 km/h (Beaufort 12)
➣ Potential impacts of winds: Significant to severe threat to life and property
VISAYAS:
The extreme southeastern portion of Eastern Samar (Guiuan), the southern portion of Leyte (Mahaplag, Abuyog, City of Baybay, Inopacan, Hilongos, Hindang, Bato, Matalom, Javier), Southern Leyte, Camotes Islands, and the northeastern portion of Bohol (Pres. Carlos P. Garcia, Getafe, Trinidad, Ubay, Bien Unido, Talibon)
MINDANAO:
Dinagat Islands, and Siargao and Bucas Grande Islands
TCWS No. 3
➣ Wind threat: Storm-force winds
➣ Warning lead time: 18 hours
➣ Range of wind speeds: 89 to 117 km/h (Beaufort 10 to 11)
➣ Potential impacts of winds: Moderate to significant threat to life and property
VISAYAS:
The southern portion of Eastern Samar (Mercedes, Lawaan, Balangiga, Giporlos, Quinapondan, Salcedo), the southern portion of Samar (Marabut), the central portion of Leyte (Tanauan, Palo, Tabontabon, Isabel, Merida, Palompon, Ormoc City, Dagami, Pastrana, Burauen, Albuera, Macarthur, La Paz, Mayorga, Dulag, Julita, Tolosa, Matag-Ob, Villaba, Kananga, Jaro), the northern and central portions of Cebu (Borbon, Sogod, Catmon, Carmen, Danao City, Compostela, Liloan, Lapu-Lapu City, Cordova, Consolacion, Mandaue City, Cebu City, Asturias, Balamban, Tuburan, Tabuelan, Tabogon, City of Talisay, City of Bogo, San Remigio, Medellin, Daanbantayan, Sibonga, City of Carcar, San Fernando, City of Naga, Minglanilla, Toledo City, Aloguinsan, Pinamungahan, Barili, Dumanjug) including Bantayan Islands, and the central and eastern portions of Bohol (San Miguel, Mabini, Buenavista, Inabanga, Danao, Dagohoy, Guindulman, Pilar, Alicia, Candijay, Anda, Jagna, Duero, Sierra Bullones, Carmen, Sagbayan, Clarin, Tubigon), the northern portion of Negros Oriental (Vallehermoso, Canlaon City, City of Guihulngan), the northern portion of Negros Occidental (Hinigaran, Moises Padilla, Isabela, La Castellana, Pontevedra, San Enrique, La Carlota City, Cadiz City, Bago City, Enrique B. Magalona, Toboso, Valladolid, Salvador Benedicto, Sagay City, Bacolod City, Murcia, City of Escalante, Calatrava, San Carlos City, Silay City, Pulupandan, City of Victorias, City of Talisay, Manapla), Guimaras, and the eastern portion of Iloilo (Concepcion, Barotac Nuevo, Ajuy, Iloilo City, Anilao, Barotac Viejo, Leganes, Zarraga, Dumangas, Banate)
MINDANAO:
The rest of Surigao del Norte
TCWS No. 2
➣ Wind threat: Gale-force winds s
➣ Warning lead time: 24 hours
➣ Range of wind speeds: 62 to 88 km/h (Beaufort 8 to 9)
➣ Potential impacts of winds: Minor to moderate threat to life and property
LUZON:
The southern portion of Masbate (Esperanza, Pio V. Corpuz, Placer, Balud, Cawayan), the southern portion of Romblon (San Jose, Santa Fe, Alcantara, Looc), and Cuyo Islands
VISAYAS:
The central portion of Eastern Samar (Can-Avid, City of Borongan, Taft, Llorente, Maydolong, Balangkayan, Sulat, San Julian, General Macarthur, Hernani), the central portion of Samar (San Sebastian, Santa Rita, Villareal, Zumarraga, Pinabacdao, Talalora, Jiabong, City of Catbalogan, Motiong, Calbiga, Daram, Paranas, Basey, Hinabangan, Santo Niño, Almagro, Tarangnan), the rest of Leyte, Biliran, the rest of Bohol, the rest of Cebu, and central portion of Negros Oriental (Tayasan, Manjuyod, City of Tanjay, Bais City, Mabinay, Bindoy, Ayungon, Jimalalud, La Libertad, Sibulan, San Jose, Amlan, Pamplona, City of Bayawan, Basay, Valencia, Dumaguete City, Bacong), the rest of Negros Occidental, Siquijor, Capiz, the rest of Iloilo, Aklan, and Antique
MINDANAO:
The northern portion of Surigao del Sur (Carrascal, Cantilan, Madrid, Carmen, Lanuza, Cortes, Tago, San Miguel, Marihatag, Cagwait, Bayabas, City of Tandag), the northern portion of Agusan del Sur (Sibagat), the northern portion of Agusan del Norte (Kitcharao, Jabonga, Santiago, Tubay, City of Cabadbaran, Remedios T. Romualdez, Magallanes), and Camiguin
TCWS No. 1
➣ Wind threat: Strong winds
➣ Warning lead time: 36 hours
➣ Range of wind speeds: 39 to 61 km/h (Beaufort 6 to 7)
➣ Potential impacts of winds: Minimal to minor threat to life and property
LUZON:
Albay, Sorsogon, the rest of Masbate including Ticao and Burias Islands, the southern portion of Quezon (San Francisco, San Andres), the southern portion of Marinduque (Torrijos, Buenavista, Gasan, Boac), the rest of Romblon, Oriental Mindoro, Occidental Mindoro, and the northern and central portions of Palawan (El Nido, Taytay, Dumaran, Araceli, San Vicente, Roxas, Puerto Princesa City, Aborlan) including Calamian Islands and Cagayancillo Islands
VISAYAS:
Northern Samar, the rest of Eastern Samar, the rest of Samar, and the rest of Negros Oriental
MINDANAO:
The rest of Surigao del Sur, the central portion of Agusan del Sur (City of Bayugan, Prosperidad, Esperanza, San Luis, Talacogon, San Francisco, Rosario), the rest of Agusan del Norte, Misamis Oriental, and the northern portion of Bukidnon (Baungon, Malitbog, Impasug-Ong, Libona, Manolo Fortich, Sumilao), the northern portion of Misamis Occidental (Baliangao, Plaridel, Sapang Dalaga, Calamba, Lopez Jaena, Concepcion, Oroquieta City, Aloran), and the northern portion of Zamboanga del Norte (Sibutad, Rizal, Dipolog City, Manukan, Pres. Manuel A. Roxas, Katipunan, Polanco, Dapitan City, Piñan, La Libertad, Mutia, Jose Dalman)
OTHER HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
➣ Heavy Rainfall Outlook
Refer to Weather Advisory No. 9 issued at 5:00 PM today for the heavy rainfall outlook due to the Shear Line and TINO. Link: tinyurl.com/wxadvisory
➣ Severe Winds
The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction.
• Significant to severe impacts from typhoon-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 4.
• Moderate to significant impacts from storm-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No 3.
• Minor to moderate impacts from gale-force winds are possible within any of the localities where Wind Signal No. 2 is hoisted
• Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1.
Furthermore the surge of the Northeast Monsoon and the shear line coinciding with the passage of TINO will also bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas not under Wind Signal (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds):
• Today: Cagayan Valley, Cordillera Administrative Region, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Aurora, Bulacan, Nueva Ecija, Bataan, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, and Bicol Region.
• Tomorrow (04 November): Cagayan Valley, Cordillera Administrative Region, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Central Luzon, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, and Bicol Region.
• Wednesday (05 November): Ilocos Region, most of Cagayan Valley, most of Cordillera Administrative Region, Central Luzon, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, and MIMAROPA.
➣ Coastal Flooding
There is a high risk of life-threatening and damaging storm surge with peak heights exceeding 3.0 m within the next 48 hours over the low-lying or exposed coastal communities of Masbate, Romblon, Oriental Mindoro, Occidental Mindoro, Palawan, Visayas, Dinagat Islands, Surigao del Norte, Surigao del Sur, Agusan del Norte, Misamis Oriental, and Camiguin. Refer to Storm Surge Warning No. 5 issued at 2:00 PM today for more details. Link: tinyurl.com/storm-surge-warning
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
• A Gale Warning is in effect over the eastern seaboard of Northern Luzon, and the eastern and southern seaboards of Southern Luzon, the seaboards of Visayas, and the northern and eastern seaboards of Mindanao. Refer to Gale Warning No. 3 issued at 5:00 PM today. Link: tinyurl.com/gale-warning
➣ 24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook
Up to very rough to high over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 9.0 m: The eastern seaboard of Eastern Samar
• Up to 7.0 m: The eastern seaboard of Dinagat Islands; the northern and eastern seaboards of Siargao and Bucas Grande Islands.
• Up to 6.0 m: The seaboard of Antique and Cuyo Islands; the eastern seaboards of northern mainland Palawan, Calamian Islands, and Leyte; the southern seaboards of Occidental Mindoro, Oriental Mindoro, and Samar; the northern seaboard of Dinagat Islands; the western seaboard of Aklan; the remaining seaboard of Eastern Samar.
• Up to 5.0 m: The seaboard of Capiz; the northern and eastern seaboards of Northern Samar, northern Cebu including Bantayan and Camotes Islands; the northern seaboard of Negros Occidental; the western seaboards of Leyte and Dinagat Islands, the eastern seaboards of Sorsogon, Southern Leyte, and northern Iloilo; the southern seaboards of Masbate and Romblon; the remaining seaboard of Aklan.
• Up to 4.5 m: The seaboards of Camarines Norte, Albay, Biliran, Agusan del Norte, and Camiguin; the northern and eastern seaboards of Polillo Islands and Catanduanes; the northern and western seaboards of Surigao del Norte; the northern seaboard of Camarines Sur; the eastern seaboard of mainland Cagayan and Oriental Mindoro; the remaining seaboards of Sorsogon, Romblon, Masbate, and Visayas.
• Sea travel is risky for all types or tonnage of vessels. All mariners must remain in port or, if underway, seek shelter or safe harbor as soon as possible until winds and waves subside.
Up to rough seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 4.0 m: The seaboards of Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Isabela, Aurora, northern mainland Quezon, and Cagayancillo Islands; the remaining seaboards of mainland Cagayan and Caraga Region.
• Up to 3.5 m: The eastern seaboard of Camarines Sur; the remaining seaboard of Catanduanes.
• Up to 3.0 m: The seaboard of La Union, Marinduque, and Surigao del Sur; the western seaboards of Pangasinan, Occidental Mindoro, northern mainland Palawan, and Calamian Islands; the eastern seaboard of Davao Oriental; the remaining seaboards of Quezon, Bicol Region, and Northern Mindanao.
• Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced of operating ill-equipped vessels.
Up to moderate seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 2.5 m: The seaboard of Davao Occidental.
• Up to 2.0 m: The seaboards of Zambales and Zamboanga del Norte; the western seaboard of Bataan; the seaboard of Batangas; the remaining seaboards of Pangasinan, Palawan, Occidental Mindoro, and Oriental Mindoro.
Mariners of motorbancas and similarly sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions.
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
• Heavy rainfall, severe winds, and storm surge may still be experienced in localities outside the landfall point and the forecast confidence cone. Refer to hoisted Wind Signals and the “Other Hazards affecting Land Areas” section for more details. Furthermore, the track may still shift within the limit of the forecast confidence cone.
• TINO is forecast to make landfall or pass very close to Homonhon Island or Dinagat Islands tonight or early tomorrow morning (04 November). It is then expected to make landfall over Leyte or Southern Leyte by early tomorrow morning, before crossing the Visayas and northern Palawan throughout tomorrow and Wednesday (05 November) early morning. The typhoon will likely emerge over the West Philippine Sea by Wednesday morning or afternoon and is expected to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility by Thursday (06 November) morning.
• TINO is forecast make its initial landfall at or near peak intensity (currently forecasted around 140-155 km/h maximum winds with higher gustiness). Rapid intensification before landfall remain likely. While the interaction of the typhoon with the terrain will trigger a slight weakening, TINO is expected to remain at typhoon category throughout its passage over the country.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 8:00 PM today.
DOST-PAGASA
