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The surface low from #Cristobal is going to transition into an extratropical low, deepen and intensify in the upper plains TUE/WED with rain and winds gusting into 60’s into Illinois, Wisconsin and western Michigan. It’s lowest pressure will likely be measured while over Canada!!
TS #Cristobal continues its trek towards the northern gulf coast. Squalls with winds to ts force have reached the coast. Flash flooding and storm surge up to 5 feet will be the main impacts today. Winds are at 50 mph. Stay safe if in path. www.hurrtracker.com
An intense feeder band w/gusts to ts force is moving onshore along the W FL coast. Rain rates are near an inch per hour and & 2-4"+ has already fallen in the Sarasota/Tampa region. Stay off the roads if you can as flash flooding is likely. #Cristobal www.hurrtracker.com
Tropical Storm Cristobal is tracking north towards the gulf coast with winds of 50 mph. The center is expected the reach the northern Gulf coast and make landfall in Louisiana tomorrow evening. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning area beginning late tonight or early Sunday am. Rain amounts of 4-8 inches are expected with isolated amounts up to 12 inches, mainly east of the center. There are also storm surge watches and warnings in effect. Track in depth with Hurricane Tracker at www.hurrtracker.com
By far, the biggest threat with #Cristobal will be heavy rains that may lead to flash flooding near and to the east of the center. This slug of moisture is moving towards the gulf coast. Meanwhile, hot and dry on the "clean" side in Texas. Stay safe if you are in the path!
Tropical Outlook Update: There's a 20% chance of development near Bermuda through the next 5 days. An area of low pressure is expected to develop along a cold front. Some development will be possible. Busy season continues...Maybe #Dolly?
The NHC states tropical storm force winds (40 mph sustained) extend out 240 miles from the center! Thats incredible for a storm which spent most of today over LAND. #Cristobal
Here’s the latest track and cone for TS #Cristobal with the updated tropical storm watches and warnings. www.hurrtracker.com
Here’s a look at the new Hurricane Tracker App Watches/Warnings graphic from our premium graphics section. #Cristobal https://bit.ly/htpremium
Here's a graphical view of the storm surge watch that was just issued for the eastern portion of the gulf coast. www.hurrtracker.com
Breaking - A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for the northern Gulf of Mexico coast from Intracoastal City Louisiana to the Alabama/Florida border, including Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas #Cristobal www.hurrtracker.com
#Cristobal is still a depression this am and the big change overnight is the depression is now moving NNE at 7 mph & should re-emerge into the gulf very late tonight. Peak winds are expected to reach 60 mph before landfall in central LA early Mon am Track with Hurricane Tracker at www.hurrtracker.com
Overnight computer models have come into very good agreement on a track into central or perhaps se LA. The risk of a landfall in Texas has decreased dramatically. Also, confidence is high #Cristobal will not become a hurricane, but reach moderate-strong tropical storm strength.
Latest on #Cristobal: The depression will begin turning N tomorrow and the center should move back out over the Gulf by tomorrow night. Cristobal is forecasted to strengthen back to a tropical storm with peak winds of 60 mph. Will likely track into Louisiana Sun night
As #Cristobal comes north into the gulf, so will a lot of rain. Several inches will be possible north and east of the center from Louisiana > FL. This will be the biggest threat with this system. Texas should be on the "dry" side assuming center tracks into Louisiana.
The 12Z EURO ensembles had a noticeable shift west today. Most are forecasting a moderate tropical storm. The Icon model and CMC ensembles also farther west today on 12Z runs. SE TX still in the potential landfall zone. #Cristobal www.hurrtracker.com
We have issued “high” 5 day alert levels for most of the Louisiana coastline as the probability of landfall in that zone is becoming more likely. #Cristobal www.hurrtracker.com
Overnight models seem to be in agreement that the center of #Cristobal will come ashore along the central Louisiana coastline late SUN pm or early MON. Winds are forecasted to be around around 60-65 mph. There will be heavy rain well east of the center along the E Gulf coast. Landfall threat for TX appears to be lowering. www.hurrtracker.com
Flash Flood watches are up in eastern Louisiana in anticipation of #Cristobal www.hurrtracker.com
12Z EURO ensemble shows a decent variance on the Mexico exit strategy for #Cristobal - oh and some left turns into Texas. Landfall somewhere between Houston and New Orleans looks very possible though. www.hurrtracker.com
Our premium graphics subscription provides a highly detailed view of where the winds are blowing now and where they may go based on the latest NHC forecast and advisory! Very useful to see what wind impacts you may get. Updated 4 times a day for premium users. You won't find this level of wind data in a graphical view anywhere. #Cristobal More information here > https://bit.ly/htpremium www.hurrtracker.com
Here’s the latest on TS #Cristobal from the brand new 11AM advisory. Track in depth at www.hurrtracker.com
A high pressure ridge will be developing north of #Cristobal as the storm approaches the Gulf Coast this weekend. The strength and orientation will determine if the storm is turned W/WNW towards TX. Weaker ridge and it tracks into LA.
The heaviest rain and greatest flash flooding potential will be anywhere east of the center. Landfall is likely somewhere between the middle TX coast and SE Louisiana. Risk of impacts is lowering for the lower TX coast at this time. Stay tuned for updates. #Cristobal Track at www.hurrtracker.com
Here’s the 10PM forecast track from the NHC. #Cristobal is likely to make landfall in Mexico and weaken to a depression during the next 48 hours. After that, the storm will lift north & intensity back to a tropical storm. Lots to watch this week. Track in depth with Hurricane Tracker at www.hurrtracker.com
The biggest story from #Cristobal has been the heavy rain over Mexico/Central America and that will continue north and east of the center. Heavy rain totals up to 10 inches or more may be possible across the NE Gulf even though the center may head to LA or TX. #preparenow #floods
Hey everyone, we've had some followers ask us about our graphics. We created a set of our own graphics (took months!) that are highly detailed using NHC data to give you the most detailed info available. I have attached some of the latest ones for #Cristobal. If you need to the most comprehensive information, check out our premium graphics website (yearly fee as it's a lot of work). We have worked very hard on this and we hope it shows! Thanks for your support of our mission and keeping people informed and safe :)
https://bit.ly/htpremium
The new NHC 5 day cone now includes extreme SE TX, southern LA and SW MS. #Cristobal www.hurrtracker.com
Breaking - Tropical Storm #Cristobal has formed in the Gulf of Mexico. This sets a brand new record for the earliest the 3rd named storm has ever formed in the Atlantic basin. Unfortunately, this storm may intensify and head for the gulf coast in 6-7 days. http://www.hurrtracker.com
Models coming into better agreement of a SE TX or LA landfall in 5-6 days. Could be a hurricane based on some of the latest data. #TD3 #Cristobal www.hurrtracker.com
Edge of 5 day new cone pointed at Louisiana, but could easily extend into SE TX through AL. #TD3 www.hurrtracker.com
Here’s the latest forecast track for #TD3. Cone now touches southern Louisiana www.hurrtracker.com
Not often do you see the satellite way up in space (22,236 miles up) detecting lightning (white dots) from a depression. No doubt this is a strengthening tropical cyclone. #TD3 #Cristobal www.hurrtracker.com
Tropical Depression 3 has become better organized overnight. Wind shear is decreasing and this should become TS #Cristobal by this afternoon. It will meander near the coast of Mexico through Friday, then begin to lift north into the central Gulf. It's still too early to determine where it will track and what the intensity will be. We urge all residents and interests along the Gulf coast from TX to FL to keep updated on the progress of this system. Track in depth with Hurricane Tracker at www.hurrtracker.com
Not much change with #TD3 on the new advisory tonight. Still forecasted to become Tropical Storm #Cristobal tomorrow. TS warnings remain in effect. No new watches or warnings issued. www.hurrtracker.com
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Today is the average peak of the Atlantic hurricane season. We are watching 3 areas of disturbed weather for possible tropical development, 1 of which is currently threatening the US. hurrtracker.com
This year's Atlantic hurricane season was extremely active. Here's a video, courtesy of NOAA, showing all of of the storms from satellite to cap up the season.
Storm surge flooding taking over this parking lot in Biloxi, MS ahead of #Nate's landfall. 🎥: Mike Theiss
Some minor coastal flooding due to storm surge is already being felt on the Outer Banks. #Maria 🎥: @DHurstWNCN/Twitter
Significant beach erosion has allowed for the ocean water to reach these elevated homes in Scituate, MA. #Jose 🎥: Brad Tatum
Incredible video from earlier today of the strong winds and flooded road in San Juan, Puerto Rico. #Maria 🎥: @TheHungryCondor/Twitter
Here is this afternoon's run of the EURO model (the most accurate model). It is forecasting a low to develop off the SC coastline SUN/MON & then drift SW towards the FL E coast before heading NNE towards the Carolinas. Keep in mind this is just one model run & we are still a few days out. The NHC has a 20% chance of development at this time. All the details are in our app at www.hurrtracker.com with frequent updates as new information comes in.
Quick video update on Invest 90L: www.hurrtracker.com
Invest 90L Video Update: www.hurrtracker.com
Latest satellite loop of the Gulf. Moisture is increasing & will head towards FL through the week. Just a trough of low pressure right now. Just a matter of time until we get a better idea as to if anything will come out of this. Full discussion by our met in the Hurricane Tracker App www.hurrtracker.com
We have been discussing the potential for development for days now. We are starting to see the beginnings of the mess that is to come this week in the Gulf. Starting to see some spin in the mid/upper levels with lots of moisture aimed towards the eastern Gulf. Just a matter of time until get a better idea as to if anything will come out of this. Full discussion by our met in the Hurricane Tracker App www.hurrtracker.com
This afternoon's run of the GFS model continues to show a strong TS developing in early June & headed generally towards South FL. No model can accurately predict storms this far out, but it is something we will watch & post daily updates in the model watch section of the Hurricane Tracker app. www.hurrtracker.com iPhone App: http://bit.ly/11l2je6 iPad App: http://bit.ly/14DmFkK MAC/PC/ANDROID: http://www.hurrtracker.com/Subscriber_Info.html
#Humberto forecast to become a hurr by 2PM ET tomorrow. Would allow record to stand. The latest date ever for the first hurricane to form in the Atlantic basin is Sept 11. Looks like 2013 will beat that by one day and the record will stand. Track Humberto with our app at www.hurrtracker.com
Here is the latest look at EX-Gabrielle. You can clearly see a cyclonic twist (red area in video) and that it is trying really hard. However, upper level winds are screaming from SW to NE shearing the thunderstorms & hampering development. #goodnews www.hurrtracker.com
Here is an animation of the 12Z GFS model developing the wave coming off of Africa this weekend into early next week. www.hurrtracker.com
Wave over west Africa appears to be getting better organized today. Will watch for development this weekend as it tracks west. Get the app at www.hurrtracker.com
Appears low pressure is trying to spin up with Invest 99L right as it is moving ashore...needed 12 more hours. Still, heavy rains in store for the central Mexico Gulf coast. www.hurrtracker.com
For those who don't have the app, you can see how #97L is tightening up and building deeper convection as it heads WNW. As a whole, system is improving. www.hurrtracker.com
We have been focused on Invest #97L, but something is trying to brew in the NW Caribbean Sea. Appears a low pressure is trying to form just SE of Cozumel. If development occurs (30% according to the NHC) it appears at this time it would head west or west-northwest towards NE Mexico. We will keep you updated. www.hurrtracker.com
Here is a closeup view of the wave in the CATL we will watch for development early next week in the Eastern Caribbean. There is definitely a low level circulation, but thunderstorms are being sheared off to the NE. www.hurrtracker.com
We've got our eyes on an interesting area of disturbed weather in the west Atlantic that has flared up during the past 18 hours east of the Caribbean Islands. It does have an associated 1011 mb low & conditions seem favorable. We will see if the NHC mentions it later today. No model support. Just something to keep an eye on out there. www.hurrtracker.com
We likely already have a TS (Fernand) in the southernmost Gulf of Mexico headed towards the Veracruz, MX area. Recon aircraft departing in 30 mins to confirm this. 50-60 mph winds & heavy rains will be the main threats through tomorrow down there. www.hurrtracker.com
Here is a 5 day loop of the Saharan air layer (dust) moving west off of Africa & into the eastern ATL.
Here is a 48 hour loop of the dry air over the Atlantic. You can see exactly why Erin collapsed and why 94L won't develop. One can argue the dry air across the central Atlantic. may be lessening. Blue areas depict the driest air. www.hurrtracker.com
Video update on TD Dorian. Follow in real time with our app at http://bit.ly/19CAgjS.#dorian
Here is a look at #Dorian using the new design on The Hurricane Tracker app. This is the iPhone version, but the same design applies to the iPad app and the Web version. Available at www.hurrtracker.com
Quick #Dorian video update. Follow in real time with our app at http://bit.ly/19CAgjS. Share this video with your feeds. Thanks!
Here is the latest visible animation of 91L (Dorian)...Come track at www.hurrtracker.com
Here is a video of Tropical Depression Flossie as it tracked through Hawaii from the Hurricane Tracker app www.hurrtracker.com
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