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05/11/2026

Alright everyone! It’s been a long time coming however we are FINALLY starting a merch line! We are starting out with just hats and tee shirts!
Designs are to be determined nonetheless we have a merch line in development! We will keep you updated!

Butler mo. 5/8/2026 storm damage
05/09/2026

Butler mo. 5/8/2026 storm damage

791 ACUS11 KWNS 050153SWOMCDSPC MCD 050153 MOZ000-KSZ000-OKZ000-050400-Mesoscale Discussion 0642NWS Storm Prediction Cen...
05/05/2026

791
ACUS11 KWNS 050153
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 050153
MOZ000-KSZ000-OKZ000-050400-

Mesoscale Discussion 0642
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0853 PM CDT Mon May 04 2026

Areas affected...central and eastern Kansas into western Missouri

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible

Valid 050153Z - 050400Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...One or more clusters of strong to severe storms may
develop this evening and spread eastward with a risk of damaging
winds and hail. A WW is possible.

DISCUSSION...Across portions of the central Plains, evening RADAR
and surface observations showed high-based convection and outflow
moving eastward across central KS. Most of this activity initiated
several hours ago in much drier air west of the primary dryline and
cold front over central KS. Likely tied to a subtle mid-level
trough, this activity is beginning to encroach on the western
fringes of the relatively better surface moisture near I-35. While
dewpoints are not overly robust (50s F), steep mid-level lapse rates
were supporting 1000-2000 J/kg of MUCAPE. Additional ascent from the
shortwave and an increasing nocturnal low-level jet (evident on VADs
farther south) may support an increase in storm coverage over the
next few hours.

Lightning has increased on several weak updrafts over the last hour.
Current expectations are for the weaker updrafts currently ongoing
to gradually intensify, with additional storm development taking
place in proximity to associated outflow as convection moves into
the more unstable air mass. This should favor upscale growth into
one or more clusters with time. Steep lapse rates and 25-40 kt of
deep-layer shear could support an organized cluster capable of hail
initially, but with an increased risk of damaging gusts with time.
Given the potential for increasing severe potential, a WW is being
considered, though the exact timing remains unclear. Convective
trends will be monitored over the coming hours for potential watch
issuance.
.Lyons/Hart.. 05/05/2026

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...GID...DDC...

LAT...LON 37649868 39199846 39689611 39539444 38969368 38519358
38069359 37479386 37119414 36889465 36839547 36809639
36829706 36849760 36899811 36939835 37649868

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN

264ACUS11 KWNS 042335SWOMCDSPC MCD 042334 MOZ000-ILZ000-IAZ000-050100-Mesoscale Discussion 0641NWS Storm Prediction Cent...
05/05/2026

264
ACUS11 KWNS 042335
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 042334
MOZ000-ILZ000-IAZ000-050100-

Mesoscale Discussion 0641
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0634 PM CDT Mon May 04 2026

Areas affected...portions of NORTH-central Missouri...southeastern
iowa and northwestern Illinois

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible

Valid 042334Z - 050100Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated convective development along the cold front may
continue to deepen into this evening. Damaging gusts and some hail
will be possible with clusters or transient supercells. The need for
a WW is uncertain.

DISCUSSION...As of 2330 UTC visible and radar imagery showed initial
thunderstorm development was underway along western portions of the
slow-moving cold front across southern IA and northern MO.
Downstream of the front, a warm, but marginally moist air mass
exists with 1000-1500 J/kg of MLCAPE. 30-40 kt of deep-layer shear
overspreading the warm sector is sufficient for storm organization
with clusters and transient supercells possible. Given the steep
lapse rates in the low and mid-levels (8-9 C/km), damaging gusts are
possible. The degree of buoyancy could also support some hail risk
with the stronger updrafts.

It remains very unclear if these initial storms will survive given
the presence of dry air throughout the boundary layer immediately
ahead of the front. Radar trends support this with updrafts and
reflectively cores being quite small. However, if sufficient
convection is able to develop and maintain, the more unstable air
mass farther south could support a severe risk ahead of the cold
front as depicted by some CAMs this evening. Given the potential for
some damaging gusts and hail, a WW is possible but highly uncertain.
.Lyons/Hart.. 05/04/2026

ATTN...WFO...ILX...LSX...DVN...SGF...DMX...EAX...

LAT...LON 40489333 41169166 40839071 40479061 39689084 38929087
38759131 38139380 38349447 38779455 39289454 39759436
40489333

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN

Lv 2 risk tonight!
05/04/2026

Lv 2 risk tonight!

Little information Saturday! Always good to just refresh your memory on bad weather. Or maybe your new and just need to ...
05/03/2026

Little information Saturday! Always good to just refresh your memory on bad weather. Or maybe your new and just need to know information!

05/01/2026

Almost to 200! Let's keep it going!lets hit 500! If we can hit 500 by the end of May ill do a giveaway to top 3 people! Like and share this post and invite your friends to be entered in the drawing. 1st place ill do a 20 Google play or apple card,2nd place ill do 10$ cards 3rd place will get some swag!

Some rain 🌧
05/01/2026

Some rain 🌧

Check out this beautiful picture taken by Josh with 417 storm chasers! Be sure to give them guys a like and follow!
04/29/2026

Check out this beautiful picture taken by Josh with 417 storm chasers! Be sure to give them guys a like and follow!

Hartville Severe warned storm 4/27/26. β›ˆοΈ

This cell started all the way out by Sarcoxie and carried all the way past Houston before we couldn’t keep up. πŸ’¨πŸ’¨πŸ’¨

Here's a fun way to remember the difference between a watch and a warning!
04/29/2026

Here's a fun way to remember the difference between a watch and a warning!

Go like and subscribe to the YouTube! We greatly appreciate it πŸ™
04/29/2026

Go like and subscribe to the YouTube! We greatly appreciate it πŸ™

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