03/19/2025
As you're filling out your March Madness brackets, keep these stats from the last 10 tourneys in mind...
Round of 32 sum: 170-215, most likely going to be 179-210 (average 193.1)
Sweet 16 sum: 49-94, most likely going to be 53-85 (average 72.4)
Elite 8 sum: 18-47, most likely going to be 21-39 (average 32.1)
Final 4 sum: 10-23, most likely going to be 11-18 (average 15)
Title sum: 2-15, most likely 2-9 (average 5.2)
Winner: 7/10 it’s a #1, nobody higher than #7 has won
Only 1 final 4 w/o any #1 seeds in last 10 (2023, when no made the Elite 8)
Only once EVER have all 4 #1 seeds made the Final Four
In 3 of last 10 tourneys none of the Elite 8 Matchups were #1 vs #2
The most #1 vs #2 Elite 8 Matchups over the last 10 tourneys was 2 and that was TWICE
1st Round
2 #16 over #1 in last 10 tourneys
4 #15 over #2 in last 10 tourneys
6 #14 over #3 in last 10 tourneys
8 #13 over #4 in last 10 tourneys
14 #12 over #5 in last 10 tourneys
22 #11 over #6 in last 10 tourneys
14 #10 over #7 in last 10 tourneys
21 #9 over #8 in last 10 tourneys
Only 1 out of last 10 tourneys where no 16, 15, 14 or 13 won at least one game
Only 2 out of last 10 tourneys where no 16, 15 or 14 won at least one game
Only 1 out of last 10 tourneys where #14 beat #3 more than once
Only 2 out of last 10 tourneys where #13 beat #4 more than once
Never been more than 1 #15 win in last 10 tourneys
#12 has beaten #5 at least twice in 5 of the last 10 tourneys (and 3x in 2)
#12 has only been shutout in 3 of last 10 tourneys
Zero of last 10 tourneys where #11 got shutout, only 2 where they won less than twice (3x in 4)
Zero of last 10 tourneys where #10 got shutout, but only 3 where they won 2 or more
Better than 50% of #9 over #8 games have been upsets in 6 of last 10 tourneys, ¾ or better in 50% and all 4 have been upsets in ONE
15.6%-40.6% of first round games have been upsets in last 10 tourneys
Most likely 18.8%-37.5% will be upsets
5 out of 10 have ranged 28.1%-37.5%.
Good luck this year! It's MADNESS!
