Hayes Media Weather Network "HMW-Network"

Hayes Media Weather Network "HMW-Network" Home to The Northeast GA Weather Center and The Palmetto State Weather Network. The Northeast GA Weather Center is our sister network. Like, Follow, and Share!

The HMN-Network and it's affiliates are dedicated to saving lives by increasing severe weather warning lead times and severe weather preparedness and Safety Education. 🌎 The Hayes Media Weather Network: A Beacon of Community Safety and Weather Expertise
The Hayes Media Weather Network (HMWN), headquartered in Commerce, Georgia, is a dynamic, volunteer-driven organization dedicated to safeguarding

lives across the Southeast region and beyond. We are more than just a weather monitoring hub; we are a unified force committed to accurate weather forecasting, real-time data collection, and comprehensive community outreach and education. HMWN operates on the principle that informed communities are resilient communities. Our network is anchored by our key affiliates and subsidiaries, including The Palmetto State Weather Network "Upstate" and The Northeast GA Weather Center, which are both owned and operated by The Hayes Media Weather Network. While operating in different states, all our affiliates, which also include Northeast GA Storm Chasing, share the same core mission and organizational structure. Our Mission: Protecting Lives by increasing severe weather lead times and community education.

🚨 24/7/365 Vigilance: Real-Time Monitoring and Alerts
At the core of HMWN's mission is a commitment to providing timely and accurate weather information. Our team maintains a relentless 24/7/365 watch over the skies, utilizing a network of volunteers, professional meteorologists, and trained observers. This constant vigilance ensures that any signs of impending severe weather are detected and analyzed promptly. When threats emerge, we disseminate critical advisories and alerts through various social media platforms, ensuring that communities are informed and prepared to take necessary precautions. Our work does not end with severe weather season; we are an all-hazards weather team who covers the weather year-round, no matter the season.

💨 Boots on the Ground: Storm Chasing and Data Collection
When severe weather strikes, our dedicated chase teams, operating under Northeast GA Storm Chasing (NEGSC), deploy into the heart of the storm. These teams are highly trained individuals who provide invaluable real-time data directly to the National Weather Service (NWS). This data, which includes visual observations, atmospheric measurements, and damage assessments, plays a crucial role in refining weather forecasting models and improving the accuracy of warnings. The data they gather includes but is not limited to hail size, wind speed, cloud formations, and any observed damage. At the same time, our trained weather spotters turn their eyes to the sky and stand ready to report any severe weather sightings to the NWS.

📚 A Comprehensive Community Outreach Program: Education and Empowerment
We believe that education is the cornerstone of weather preparedness, and we manifest this through a robust community outreach program that is equal across the entire Hayes Media Weather Network:

Community Outreach Severe Weather Educational Training (COSWET): This program offers both online and in-person classes designed to educate individuals, families, and communities about severe weather safety. COSWET covers a wide range of topics, including thunderstorm formation, tornado safety, flood awareness, and emergency preparedness. Homeless Weather Alert Program (HWAP): Recognizing the vulnerability of homeless populations during severe weather, HWAP provides life-saving NOAA weather radios to individuals living on the streets. This program also collaborates with local emergency management officials to identify and establish safe shelters during severe weather events. Tactical Search and Rescue (TSAR): In 2024, HMWN further expanded its capabilities by establishing a Search and Rescue Team, demonstrating its commitment to providing comprehensive support to communities during emergencies.

🎓 The Power of Volunteerism and Specialized Training
HMWN is a 100% volunteer-driven organization, fueled by the passion and dedication of its members. Our commitment to transparency ensures that every donated dollar is reinvested into our mission. We support our members through rigorous, specialized training:

The Northeast GA Weather Center’s Storm Chaser Training Academy (“STA”): This is a 1-year training program that combines both field and classroom instruction to train and certify the next generation of storm chasers. All training at STA is demanding, and only the best complete this program. The curriculum was developed by our founder, Spc. Timothy Hayes, and has been transformed into a 377-page book called “Storm Chaser and Spotter Training 101: CHASE-WARN-RESCUE", available on Amazon and Kindle, which serves as the official training manual for STA. Staff Training & Education Program (STEP): This is our in-house staff training program. Through STEP, our members learn their duties here at our organization. STEP also handles spotter training and certification, as well as training our members on broadcast and communications, radio etiquette, and radar operations. The Volunteer Corps: The Volunteer Corps is the recruitment arm and HR component of our organization. Our recruiters handle everything from applicant communications to member orientation. They also serve as new member points of contact as they go through their initial training. Each storm chaser recruit has a recruiter assigned to them who maintains contact and acts as a mentor throughout their training. All members of our organization and its subsidiaries is a member of the Volunteer Corps.

🤝 A Vital Partnership: NOAA Weather-Ready Nation Ambassador
In recognition of our dedication to weather safety, The Hayes Media Weather Network and its affiliates have been awarded the prestigious title of NOAA National Weather Service Weather-Ready Nation (WRN) Ambassador. This designation signifies a strong partnership with NOAA and the NWS, allowing us to play a vital role in building a more weather-ready nation. What it Means to be a WRN Ambassador:

WRN Ambassadors are organizations committed to working with NOAA to strengthen national resilience against extreme weather, water, and climate events. They serve as leaders in their communities, inspiring others to take action and prepare for weather-related hazards. Ambassadors engage in outreach and education activities, promoting weather safety and preparedness. They collaborate with NOAA and the NWS to share best practices and develop innovative solutions to weather-related challenges. They aid in disseminating critical weather information to their communities. This partnership increases our ability to help in climate change awareness and other weather-related topics.

💡 Bright Idea Media Productions
Bright Idea Media Productions is our in-house production company. It is responsible for the production of all media content produced across the entire Hayes Media Weather Network. This includes live streams, educational videos, and other forms of media, helping us reach a wider audience and educate the public about severe weather preparedness.

🚀 The Future of The Hayes Media Weather Network: Expanding Reach and Impact
Looking ahead, we are committed to expanding our coverage area more over the next 5 years, ensuring that more communities have access to life-saving weather information. Key goals include:

Establishing a Comprehensive SKYWARN Network: We aim to build the largest SKYWARN network east of the Mississippi, empowering citizen scientists to contribute to weather monitoring and forecasting. Becoming an official 501(c) Non-Profit Organization: This transition will enable us to secure additional funding and resources, further enhancing our capabilities and expanding our programs. Expanding Coverage: While focusing on North Georgia and the Southeast, we aspire to become a nationwide organization and are currently recruiting staff and training members to help in this goal. We recently celebrated the opening of our Northern Plains weather center which will serve as HQ for that region.

📧 A Call to Action: Join Our Team or Become an Affiliate
We invite individuals and organizations who share our passion for weather safety to join our team. To Become an Affiliate: If your team would like to become an affiliate of The Hayes Media Weather Network, no matter what state you are in or area you cover, you can email us at: [email protected]

To Join as an Individual Volunteer: Anyone interested in joining our team, no matter what state you live in, can email us at [email protected] with your name and contact information, and a member of our team will be in touch. You can also call us at 1 (762) 499-0367. Simply leave your name, number, and a good time to contact you! Be sure to follow our pages and invite your friends and family to follow as well. Our weather alerts are issued in real-time via our link to the National Weather Service. In many cases, our Warnings and Alerts go out before you see them on the local news or your weather app. The Hayes Media Weather Network team’s work does not end at SEVERE WEATHER; our Weather Centers are operational 24 hours a day, 7 days a week, 365 days a year, bringing you wall-to-wall weather coverage no matter the season! Thank you for your continued support! We do not do what we do for fame or fortune. We are dedicated to saving lives. You, our followers and viewers, are the reason we do what we do! Thank you for making The Hayes Media Weather Network your #1 Weather Authority no matter the season!

🚨 SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK: LEVEL-2 SLIGHT RISK FOR SUNDAY, SEPT 6TH 🚨Good Evening and Good Morning depending on what tim...
09/06/2026

🚨 SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK: LEVEL-2 SLIGHT RISK FOR SUNDAY, SEPT 6TH 🚨

Good Evening and Good Morning depending on what time you are reading this post. Timothy Hayes here with The Northeast Georgia Weather Center and Sunday is shaping up to be another stormy day across Northeast GA and the SC Upstate!

Keep your eyes on the sky tomorrow! The Storm Prediction Center has placed much of Northeast Georgia and Upstate South Carolina under a Level-2🟡 Slight Risk for severe weather on Sunday, September 6th.

Here is a full breakdown of what you need to know to stay safe and plan your day.
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📍 RISK AREAS
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Level-2🟡 Slight Risk (Yellow): Covers almost all of Northeast Georgia (including Habersham, Stephens, Franklin, Hart, Elbert, Madison, Banks, and Jackson counties) and the Upstate South Carolina Region (including Oconee, Pickens, Greenville, Spartanburg, Anderson, Abbeville, Greenwood, Union, and Laurens counties).

Level-1 🟢Marginal Risk (Dark Green): Farther north into the high elevations, including portions of Fannin and Towns counties in Georgia, where scattered strong storms remain possible, though slightly lower in overall coverage.
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⚠️ PRIMARY THREATS & ATMOSPHERIC DRIVERS
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Main Hazard: Damaging Wind Gusts (60+ mph) capable of bringing down trees and power lines.

Secondary Hazard: Isolated Large Hail (up to 1 inch in diameter) and brief, torrential downpours leading to localized street flooding.

Tornado Risk: Low, but never completely zero in summer severe setups.

What’s driving this risk?
A stalled surface boundary/cold front sagging south across the region will interact with an intensely hot, moist airmass. Strong surface heating throughout the morning will yield high moderate-to-strong instability (MLCAPE values 2,000+ J/kg). Combine that fuel with high precipitable water (PW) values and modest mid-level wind shear along the front, and the atmosphere will be ripe for thunderstorm activity capable of severe downdrafts and strong microbursts.

⏰ TIMING & STORM DEVELOPMENT
1:00 PM – 4:00 PM: Storms begin initiating over the higher terrain of NE GA and the SC mountains, quickly forming clusters.

4:00 PM – 9:00 PM: Peak window for severe weather. Storm clusters will expand and roll southeastward across Northeast GA and the SC Upstate, posing the greatest threat for strong-to-damaging winds.

After 10:00 PM: Activity gradually weakens and pushes south of the area, leaving behind lingering showers and patchy fog.
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🌤️ NE GEORGIA DAYTIME FORECAST BREAKDOWN
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(e.g., Gainesville, Commerce, Lavonia, Athens area)

• Sunday Morning Service (8:00 AM – 10:00 AM):
Conditions: Partly cloudy and warm with patchy early morning fog. Dry for outdoor arrivals.
Temp: 73°F – 78°F | Humidity: High (85% – 90%)

• Noon (12:00 PM):
Conditions: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy, turning hot and humid. Storms building to the north/west.
Temp: 86°F – 89°F | Humidity: 65% – 70%

• Evening Peak Threat (6:00 PM):
Conditions: High probability of scattered thunderstorms, some severe with damaging winds and torrential rain.
Temp: 81°F – 84°F (drops quickly in rain) | Humidity: 75% – 85%

• Midnight (12:00 AM):
Conditions: Storms ending; mostly cloudy with lingering light showers or damp conditions.
Temp: 70°F – 72°F | Humidity: Very high (90%+)
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🌤️ UPSTATE SC DAYTIME FORECAST BREAKDOWN
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(e.g., Greenville, Spartanburg, Anderson area)

• Sunday Morning Service (8:00 AM – 10:00 AM):
Conditions: Sun giving way to increasing clouds, muggy and warm. Good for morning travel.
Temp: 74°F – 79°F | Humidity: High (85% – 90%)

• Noon (12:00 PM):
Conditions: Hot, humid, and increasingly unstable. A few isolated cells forming nearby.
Temp: 87°F – 90°F | Humidity: 60% – 65%

• Evening Peak Threat (6:00 PM):
Conditions: Scattered to widespread thunderstorms entering the heart of the Upstate. Heavy rain and damaging wind potential.
Temp: 80°F – 83°F | Humidity: 80% – 85%

• Midnight (12:00 AM):
Conditions: Main storms moved south. Mostly cloudy with low-hanging clouds/patchy fog.
Temp: 69°F – 71°F | Humidity: Very high (92%+)
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📱 SAFETY REMINDERS FOR TOMORROW
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Have multiple ways to get warnings (NOAA Weather Radio, weather apps with push notifications turned on).

Outdoor Plans: If you hear thunder, head indoors immediately. Lightning and strong wind gusts can precede heavy rain.

Charge your devices tonight in case localized power outages occur Sunday evening.

Stay weather aware, and feel free to share this post with friends and family across Georgia and South Carolina to keep them informed! ⛈️👇

🚨 SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK: LEVEL-2 SLIGHT RISK FOR SUNDAY, SEPT 6TH 🚨Good Evening and Good Morning depending on what time...
09/06/2026

🚨 SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK: LEVEL-2 SLIGHT RISK FOR SUNDAY, SEPT 6TH 🚨

Good Evening and Good Morning depending on what time you are reading this post. Timothy Hayess here with The Northeast Georgia Weather Center and Sunday is shaping up to be another stormy day across Northeast GA and the SC Upstate!

Keep your eyes on the sky tomorrow! The Storm Prediction Center has placed much of Northeast Georgia and Upstate South Carolina under a Level-2🟡 Slight Risk for severe weather on Sunday, September 6th.

Here is a full breakdown of what you need to know to stay safe and plan your day.
________________________________________________________________
📍 RISK AREAS
________________________________________________________________
Level-2🟡 Slight Risk (Yellow): Covers almost all of Northeast Georgia (including Habersham, Stephens, Franklin, Hart, Elbert, Madison, Banks, and Jackson counties) and the Upstate South Carolina Region (including Oconee, Pickens, Greenville, Spartanburg, Anderson, Abbeville, Greenwood, Union, and Laurens counties).

Level-1 🟢Marginal Risk (Dark Green): Farther north into the high elevations, including portions of Fannin and Towns counties in Georgia, where scattered strong storms remain possible, though slightly lower in overall coverage.
________________________________________________________________
⚠️ PRIMARY THREATS & ATMOSPHERIC DRIVERS
________________________________________________________________
Main Hazard: Damaging Wind Gusts (60+ mph) capable of bringing down trees and power lines.

Secondary Hazard: Isolated Large Hail (up to 1 inch in diameter) and brief, torrential downpours leading to localized street flooding.

Tornado Risk: Low, but never completely zero in summer severe setups.

What’s driving this risk?
A stalled surface boundary/cold front sagging south across the region will interact with an intensely hot, moist airmass. Strong surface heating throughout the morning will yield high moderate-to-strong instability (MLCAPE values 2,000+ J/kg). Combine that fuel with high precipitable water (PW) values and modest mid-level wind shear along the front, and the atmosphere will be ripe for thunderstorm activity capable of severe downdrafts and strong microbursts.

⏰ TIMING & STORM DEVELOPMENT
1:00 PM – 4:00 PM: Storms begin initiating over the higher terrain of NE GA and the SC mountains, quickly forming clusters.

4:00 PM – 9:00 PM: Peak window for severe weather. Storm clusters will expand and roll southeastward across Northeast GA and the SC Upstate, posing the greatest threat for strong-to-damaging winds.

After 10:00 PM: Activity gradually weakens and pushes south of the area, leaving behind lingering showers and patchy fog.
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🌤️ NE GEORGIA DAYTIME FORECAST BREAKDOWN
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(e.g., Gainesville, Commerce, Lavonia, Athens area)

• Sunday Morning Service (8:00 AM – 10:00 AM):
Conditions: Partly cloudy and warm with patchy early morning fog. Dry for outdoor arrivals.
Temp: 73°F – 78°F | Humidity: High (85% – 90%)

• Noon (12:00 PM):
Conditions: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy, turning hot and humid. Storms building to the north/west.
Temp: 86°F – 89°F | Humidity: 65% – 70%

• Evening Peak Threat (6:00 PM):
Conditions: High probability of scattered thunderstorms, some severe with damaging winds and torrential rain.
Temp: 81°F – 84°F (drops quickly in rain) | Humidity: 75% – 85%

• Midnight (12:00 AM):
Conditions: Storms ending; mostly cloudy with lingering light showers or damp conditions.
Temp: 70°F – 72°F | Humidity: Very high (90%+)
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🌤️ UPSTATE SC DAYTIME FORECAST BREAKDOWN
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(e.g., Greenville, Spartanburg, Anderson area)

• Sunday Morning Service (8:00 AM – 10:00 AM):
Conditions: Sun giving way to increasing clouds, muggy and warm. Good for morning travel.
Temp: 74°F – 79°F | Humidity: High (85% – 90%)

• Noon (12:00 PM):
Conditions: Hot, humid, and increasingly unstable. A few isolated cells forming nearby.
Temp: 87°F – 90°F | Humidity: 60% – 65%

• Evening Peak Threat (6:00 PM):
Conditions: Scattered to widespread thunderstorms entering the heart of the Upstate. Heavy rain and damaging wind potential.
Temp: 80°F – 83°F | Humidity: 80% – 85%

• Midnight (12:00 AM):
Conditions: Main storms moved south. Mostly cloudy with low-hanging clouds/patchy fog.
Temp: 69°F – 71°F | Humidity: Very high (92%+)
____________________________________________________________________
📱 SAFETY REMINDERS FOR TOMORROW
____________________________________________________________________
Have multiple ways to get warnings (NOAA Weather Radio, weather apps with push notifications turned on).

Outdoor Plans: If you hear thunder, head indoors immediately. Lightning and strong wind gusts can precede heavy rain.

Charge your devices tonight in case localized power outages occur Sunday evening.

Stay weather aware, and feel free to share this post with friends and family across Georgia and South Carolina to keep them informed! ⛈️👇

Good Evening Northeast GA, it's your local weather man Timothy Hayes with The Northeast Georgia Weather Center here wit...
09/05/2026

Good Evening Northeast GA, it's your local weather man Timothy Hayes with The Northeast Georgia Weather Center here with you on this stormy evening across northeast GA! 🍂⛈️

I wanted to jump on here and give everyone a quick update on what’s coming up! First, I’ve heard from so many of you lately asking about my video updates and telling me how much you miss them. I promise you—they are coming back very soon!

Starting next Wednesday, I will begin posting regular video updates once again. I am currently in the process of decorating the weather studio for fall—and no, it is NOT too early! 😉

As we roll out these regular updates, we are also going to be pushing much more video content across all of our platforms, including Instagram, TikTok, and YouTube. You can go ahead and give the weather center a like and follow on all of our official social media pages (links are down in the slop bucket below! 👇).

Every single like, follow, share, and comment makes a massive difference for us. Not only does it help the algorithm push critical weather alerts and content in front of more people who need it, but it also supports our monetized pages. That income directly funds our work, including our vital community outreach and educational programs.

Every regional network under the HMW-Network umbrella—from here at the Northeast GA Weather Center all the way up to our Connecticut branch—is officially recognized by NOAA and the National Weather Service as a Weather-Ready Nation (WRN) Ambassador. We work hand-in-hand with our National Weather Service partners to educate the public on severe weather preparedness & safety as well as delivering life-saving information when timing matters most.

The HMW-Network also includes a growing family of independently owned affiliate weather organizations, all united by a single mission: to save lives. By utilizing our expanding network of NWS-trained spotters and storm chasers, we put eyes on the ground to relay real-time severe weather reports straight to the National Weather Service, helping them issue warnings faster. If you have your own weather organization or are a storm chaser and would like to become a network affiliate feel free to reach out to us. All affiliates get an exclusive affiliate graphic to display on their content. Reach out via messenger or at [email protected]

Whether it is through our online videos, public safety posts, or in-person and virtual classroom programs, our goal is to build Weather-Ready Families and communities equipped to handle any severe weather or natural disaster. We take this mission to heart—because if our hard work saves even just one life, every second spent is worth it.

We celebrated our 🎉5th anniversary🎊 back in June, and as we move deeper into our 6th year of service, we continue to expand our coverage to new regions across the country. None of this would be possible without you. A deeply heartfelt thank you to everyone who has supported us over the last five years, and a special thank you to our donors and hometown sponsors—you are truly the backbone of everything we do.

Because we operate as an all-volunteer organization, 100% of every donation goes straight back into the network to cover essential software subscriptions, equipment, educational materials, and daily operations. We read every comment, direct message, and email that comes across our desks, and your kind words mean the world to my team and me.
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Quick Reminders & Services:

• LEAVE US A REVIEW: If our forecasts, spotter updates, or severe weather alerts have helped you or your family, please consider leaving us a review!

• FEEDBACK & REQUEST: Have a suggestion or a specific weather topic you'd love to see us cover? Reach out anytime!

FREE CUSTOM TRAVEL & EVENT FORECAST: Planning a weekend getaway, family vacation, or outdoor event? We offer 100% FREE personalized, detailed daily travel forecasts exclusively for our followers! Simply send us a Direct Message on Facebook or email us at [email protected].

• Standard Requests: Please submit at least 36 hours in advance.

• Short Notice: Please give us at least 24 hours notice.

• Emergency Trips: We can accommodate shorter notice when necessary!

You will receive your detailed daily forecast via email the day before you travel.
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That is going to do it for me tonight! Make sure to click those links down below to follow us everywhere so you don't miss next Wednesday's video return.

I hope everyone's weekend is off to a wonderful start. Please stay safe out there during this storm, and remember—never drink and drive over the extended holiday weekend.

Thanks for your support and for counting on The Northeast GA Weather Center and the Entire HMW-Network family to Keep you and your family Safe, Informed & Ahead of the Storm™
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SOCIAL MEDIA LINKS
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• Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/negaweathercenter/

• TikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/

• Youtube - https://www.youtube.com/

• Nextdoor - https://nextdoor.com/page/the-northeast-ga-weather-center-commerce-ga/

• Facebook Main Weather Page - https://www.facebook.com/NortheastGAWeatherCenter

• Facebook Extreme NEGA Weather Center Cleaveland Forecast office - https://www.facebook.com/NortheastGAWeatherCenterCleveland

• Facebook Palmetto State Weather Network ”Upstate Region” - https://www.facebook.com/PalmettoStateWeatherNetwork

• Northeast CT Weather Center - https://www.facebook.com/NortheastCTWeatherCenter

• The Hayes Media Weather Network “HMW-Network” Home to all our regional Weather Organization - https://www.facebook.com/HMWNetwork

• Weather-Ready Kids - https://www.facebook.com/WeatherReadyKids

• Storm Team Rogue “Official Storm Chase Team of The NEGA Weather Center - https://www.facebook.com/NortheastGAWxCenterTeamRouge

Good evening Northeast GA, Timothy Hayes with The Northeast Georgia Weather Center here with you Manning the weather des...
09/02/2026

Good evening Northeast GA, Timothy Hayes with The Northeast Georgia Weather Center here with you Manning the weather desk here at the weather center in beautiful Commerce GA! I know I have not posted in a while over this past week but it has been a very hectic week but I am back in the saddle and this forecast outlook is packed with a ton of information so lets dive into it! This is not a full 10-Day forecast but covers today-Sunday

Taking a look at the upper-level atmospheric setup across the eastern United States, we are currently locked under a stubborn, broad upper-level ridge of high pressure anchored over the Southeast. This setup has been trapping heat and tropical moisture right over North Georgia, giving us those sticky, uncomfortable dew points in the low-to-mid 70s and keeping afternoon high temperatures well above average for early September.

Between now and Sunday, this general atmospheric pattern will remain mostly unchanged, but we are watching subtle mid-level shortwaves moving around the periphery of the ridge. These atmospheric impulses, combined with strong daytime solar heating, will act as a trigger for scattered, pop-up afternoon and evening convection each day. Because wind shear is weak, these storms will be slow-moving, pulse-type thunderstorms. That means locally heavy downpours, frequent cloud-to-ground lightning, and gusty outflow winds will be the primary threats through the rest of the week.
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🌙 TONIGHT'S FORECAST (WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
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As we head into the overnight hours, the loss of daytime heating will allow any lingering evening shower or thunderstorm activity to quickly die off across Banks, Jackson, Madison, and surrounding counties.

• Sky Conditions: Becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear late.

• Temperatures: Overnight lows dropping into the upper 60s to lower 70s (around 69°F to 71°F across most of Northeast GA).

• Humidity & Winds: Light to calm winds with relative humidity climbing above 90–95%.

• Hazards: High humidity combined with recent rainfall will lead to patchy, localized dense fog in low-lying river valleys and open rural roads during the early morning hours. Drive with caution if you are on the roads early!
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📅 THURSDAY'S DETAILED BREAKDOWN
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• Morning Commute (6:00 AM – 9:00 AM):
Expect muggy conditions with temperatures starting in the upper 60s to near 70°F. Watch out for localized morning fog patches on key corridors like I-85, US-441, and Highway 15.

• Noon / Midday (12:00 PM – 2:00 PM):
Sunlight will quickly heat things up, bringing temperatures into the mid-80s by noon with building cumulus clouds.

• Evening Commute (4:00 PM – 7:00 PM):
Peak heating of the day will push afternoon highs into the low 90s (feeling more like 96°F to 100°F with the heat index). Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop, potentially slowing down the evening drive. Keep your umbrella handy!

• Overnight (8:00 PM – Sunrise Friday):
Storms will fade after sunset. Clearing skies with overnight lows again settling into the upper 60s.
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📅 FRIDAY'S DETAILED BREAKDOWN
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• Morning Commute (6:00 AM – 9:00 AM):
A warm, humid start near 70°F with patchy river fog burn-off. Mostly clear skies to begin the workday.

• Noon / Midday (12:00 PM – 2:00 PM):
Temperatures climb rapidly into the upper 80s under partly cloudy skies.

• Evening Commute (4:00 PM – 7:00 PM):
Afternoon highs top out in the low-to-mid 90s. Scattered heat-driven showers and pulse thunderstorms will be popping up across the area (around 30–40% coverage). Expect localized heavy rain and gusty winds in any cell that develops.

• Overnight (8:00 PM – Sunrise Saturday):
Convection weakens after dark. Expect partly cloudy skies, warm conditions, and overnight lows hovering in the lower 70s.
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🌤️ WEEKEND OUTLOOK & DISCUSSION
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Weekend Overview:

If you have outdoor plans this weekend—whether heading out to high school sports, local parks, or outdoor projects—the summer pattern remains in control. The upper ridge stays parked nearby, keeping daytime temperatures hot and summer-like. However, moisture levels remain high, meaning afternoon pop-up storms will still be part of the equation both days.

SATURDAY BREAKDOWN:
Conditions: Partly sunny, hot, and humid.
High Temperature: 91°F – 94°F (Heat index 98°F+).
Rain Chance: 40% chance of scattered afternoon/evening storms.
Overnight Low: 70°F.

SUNDAY BREAKDOWN:

Conditions: Sun mixed with clouds, lingering humidity.
High Temperature: 90°F – 93°F.
Rain Chance: 30% chance of isolated afternoon pop-up showers or a storm.
Overnight Low: 69°F.
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📊 SHORT-TERM & LONG-TERM PRECIPITATION & TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK
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PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK:

• Short-Term (Next 7 Days): Near to slightly above-average precipitation due to high atmospheric moisture levels and daily pop-up afternoon convection. Rain totals will be uneven—areas under a persistent storm could easily pick up 1 to 2 inches quickly, while places a few miles away see very little.

• Long-Term (6–14 Day & 30-Day Outlook): NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center guidance indicates a trend toward near-average to slightly above-average rainfall for the Southeast heading deeper into September, largely influenced by enhanced moisture surges from the tropics and persistent southern jet stream activity.

TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK:

• Short-Term (Next 7 Days): Above-average temperatures will continue over the next several days, with high temperatures running 3 to 6 degrees above seasonal norms for early September.

• Long-Term (6–14 Day Outlook): Signals lean toward near-average to slightly above-average temperatures continuing into mid-September, meaning summer heat will take its time fully letting go.
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🌊 EL NIÑO STATUS & WHAT IT MEANS FOR NORTHEAST GA
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Is it a Super El Niño yet?

Currently, we are sitting in a strengthening El Niño Advisory. Pacific ocean sea surface temperatures have continued to warm rapidly, with sea-surface anomalies well above threshold levels. Climatological models show a greater than 90% chance that this event reaches "Very Strong" status (and potentially pushing into "Super El Niño" territory, defined by sea surface temperature anomalies exceeding +2.0°C) as we progress through the fall and winter.

What is El Niño?
El Niño occurs when warm ocean waters in the equatorial Pacific Ocean shift eastward, altering global jet stream patterns.

What does a Super El Niño mean for Northeast GA?
For our region in North Georgia, a strong or Super El Niño typically shifts the extended southern Pacific Jet Stream directly across the southern United States. During late fall and winter, this leads to a much active, stormier track across the Southeast, bringing increased cloud cover, more frequent rainfall events, and cooler daytime high temperatures due to persistent weather systems.
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🍂 FALL OUTLOOK: ARE WE GETTING AN EARLY FALL?
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When will we see cooler temps?

For those hoping for an early arrival of sweater weather—the current long-range climate indicators suggest we will not see an early Fall this year. Because the regional ridge of high pressure is holding strong through mid-September, summer heat will linger.

Transition Timeline & Trends:
Climatologically in Northeast Georgia, our true transition into crisp, autumn-like air (where highs stay in the 70s and morning lows routinely dip into the 40s and 50s) typically arrives around late September to early October. We may see brief, weak cold fronts attempt to push through around mid-to-late September to drop humidity temporarily, but true autumn weather will likely wait until October this year.

Winter Outlook & Snow/Ice Chances:
Looking ahead to the upcoming winter for the Southeast:
With El Niño in firm control, our winter will feature significantly above-average moisture. That means we will have plenty of precipitation events moving through Georgia. However, winter weather (snow and sleet) in North Georgia always comes down to a delicate timing match between cold air dipping south from Canada and moisture flowing in from the Gulf.

With a strong El Niño, the abundance of Gulf and Pacific moisture increases our overall storm frequency. If a cold air mass drops down from the Arctic at the same time one of these moisture-laden southern jet-stream waves arrives, our chances for winter weather (snow, ice, or rain/snow mixes) will be notably higher than during typical neutral or La Niña years!

To wrap everything up for the week ahead:
Expect hot and muggy weather to remain in place through the weekend, with daily scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms keeping us on our toes. The long-range outlook shows summer holding on just a bit longer before we transition into what is shaping up to be an active, moisture-rich fall and winter season fueled by a strengthening El Niño!

Thank you all so much for tuning in and for your incredible support. Thank you for counting on The Northeast GA Weather Center to keep you and your families Safe, Informed & Ahead of the Storm™! Have a wonderful evening, stay cool, and stay safe out there!

Good Afternoon Northeast GA. Timothy Hayes here with you holding down the fort here at The Northeast Georgia Weather Ce...
08/21/2026

Good Afternoon Northeast GA. Timothy Hayes here with you holding down the fort here at The Northeast Georgia Weather Center. Lets dive into the forecast for this afternoon and evening.

We have a very warm, humid, and untapped airmass anchored over the region today, providing plenty of fuel for shower and thunderstorm development. A surface frontal boundary is currently sagging southward into North Georgia. As it drops further south this afternoon and evening, the area along and ahead of this front will be the primary focal point for scattered to numerous thunderstorms.

Because of this highly unstable air, parts of central and eastern Georgia are facing a Marginal Risk🟢 (Level 1 of 5) for severe storms today. The main threats with any stronger pulses that develop will be damaging wind gusts, frequent lightning, and locally heavy downpours. Heat indices are also soaring near the triple digits, making it exceptionally hot and muggy before the storms can offer any temporary cooling relief.

The good news? Once this front clears our area tonight, it will usher in a much drier and slightly cooler airmass, setting us up for a fantastic weekend.

Hourly Breakdown
If you are heading out later, here is a look at the timing and what to expect across the immediate area as we head into the evening:

• EVENING COMMUNTE: (5:00 PM - 6:00 PM): Temperatures hovering around 88–89°F with humidity sitting in the mid-50% range. We are looking at a 20-25% chance of light rain or a pop-up thunderstorm as you make your drive home. Winds will be out of the west at 5–6 mph.

• 9:00 PM: Temperatures will drop nicely to about 79°F. Humidity will climb to around 79%, but the rain threat dwindles down to just 10% under mostly cloudy skies.

• MIDNIGHT: Quiet and calm. Temperatures will sit near 75°F with high humidity at 89%. Skies will gradually transition to partly cloudy as the storm threat ends entirely.

• OVERNIGHT: Drier air will continue filtering in behind the front, allowing us to drop to a very comfortable overnight low in the lower 70s by daybreak.

In short: Expect a hot, muggy afternoon with the highest chance of strong to severe thunderstorms focused primarily in our central and eastern counties between now and 7:00 PM. As we move into the mid-evening hours, the severe threat diminishes and the rain pushes out, setting the stage for clearing skies and a much more comfortable, drier weekend ahead!

CITY BY CITY BREAKDOWN:
Here is a look at today's highs, lows, and expected daytime conditions across our coverage area:
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☁️COMMERCE, GA: High 90°F / Low 71°F | Chance of Rain: 25% | Humidity: 67% | Mostly Cloudy
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⛅️JEFFERSON, GA: High 90°F / Low 72°F | Chance of Rain: 25% | Humidity: 67% | Partly Sunny
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☁️HOMER, GA: High 90°F / Low 71°F | Chance of Rain: 20% | Humidity: 70% | Cloudy
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⛈️DANIELSVILLE, GA: High 90°F / Low 72°F | Chance of Rain: 35% | Humidity: 66% | Scattered Thunderstorms
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🌧️TOCCOA, GA: High 88°F / Low 70°F | Chance of Rain: 45% | Humidity: 74% | Light Rain
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⛅️DAHLONEGA, GA: High 86°F / Low 68°F | Chance of Rain: 15% | Humidity: 75% | Partly Sunny
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⛈️ELBERTON, GA: High 94°F / Low 70°F | Chance of Rain: 60% | Showers & Thunderstorms Likely
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⛈️ROYSTON, GA: High 92°F / Low 71°F | Chance of Rain: 50% | Scattered Thunderstorms
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⛅️CLEVELAND, GA: High 87°F / Low 69°F | Chance of Rain: 30% | Partly Sunny
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⛈️HELEN, GA: High 85°F / Low 67°F | Chance of Rain: 35% | Scattered Thunderstorms
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⛈️CLAYTON, GA: High 84°F / Low 66°F | Chance of Rain: 40% | Scattered Thunderstorms
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⛈️HIAWASSEE, GA: High 83°F / Low 65°F | Chance of Rain: 40% | Scattered Thunderstorms
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⛅️BLAIRSVILLE, GA: High 82°F / Low 65°F | Chance of Rain: 30% | Partly Sunny
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⛅️BLUE RIDGE, GA: High 84°F / Low 66°F | Chance of Rain: 30% | Partly Sunny
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⛈️LAVONIA, GA: High 91°F / Low 71°F | Chance of Rain: 45% | Scattered Thunderstorms
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⛅️GAINESVILLE, GA: High 88°F / Low 70°F | Chance of Rain: 20% | Partly Sunny
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⛈️ATHENS, GA: High 90°F / Low 72°F | Chance of Rain: 40% | Scattered Thunderstorms
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⛈️WINDER, GA: High 89°F / Low 71°F | Chance of Rain: 35% | Scattered Thunderstorms
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⛈️WATKINSVILLE, GA: High 90°F / Low 72°F | Chance of Rain: 40% | Scattered Thunderstorms
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⛈️CARNESVILLE, GA: High 91°F / Low 71°F | Chance of Rain: 45% | Scattered Thunderstorms
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🌧️LAWRENCEVILLE, GA: High 90°F / Low 71°F | Chance of Rain: 25% | Light Rain

I hope everyone has a fantastic rest of your day and I hope you have an amazing weekend! The weather is going to be perfect and Dry. As always thank you for all your support and for counting on The Northeast Georgia Weather Center and the entire HMW-Network team to keep you and your family "Safe, Informed & Ahead of the Storm™"

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