Hayes Media Weather Network "HMW-Network"

06/02/2026

Good morning, everyone! I’ve been looking over the latest model data this morning, and I have some fantastic news for our area. We are finally transitioning out of that heavy, humid air mass and moving into a much drier, highly pleasant weather pattern that is going to lock in over the next week.

A cold front is pushing through the region today, which means any lingering moisture is getting nudged out by a refreshing, cooler airmass coming in from the northeast. Dewpoints are going to drop significantly over the next 24 to 48 hours, so if you've been waiting for a break from the summer stickiness, this is it.

Here is a quick look at how the day is shaping up across the region:

Noon: Expect plenty of sunshine as the clouds continue to clear out. Temperatures will be comfortable, sitting right around 71°F to 73°F with a noticeable northeast breeze.

6:00 PM: Absolutely beautiful for the evening commute or outdoor plans. Skies will stay clear and sunny, with temperatures sitting near our daytime highs in the 74°F to 76°F range.

9:00 PM: Clear and beautifully crisp for an early June evening. Temperatures will drop quickly into the mid-to-upper 60s, on their way down to an impressive overnight low in the mid-56s.

Enjoy the lower humidity today, wrap up any outdoor tasks comfortably, and get ready for a stellar week of tranquil, dry weather ahead. Stay safe, stay weather-ready, and have a wonderful Tuesday! - Timothy Hayes

06/01/2026

SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE🟢: June 1, 2026
The Northeast GA Weather The Northeast Georgia Weather Center This Severe Weather Update is brought to you by Kaila’s Cuts & Barbering in Commerce GA "It's More than a Haircut"

Good morning Northeast Georgia, Timothy Hayes here with you on this beautiful, sunny Monday morning. We are kicking off the month of June with a quiet start, but we are tracking some changes as we head into the afternoon hours.

The National Weather Service has placed our region under a Level 1 (out of 5) "Marginal Risk🟢" for a few strong storms later today. I want to immediately ease your mind if you or your loved ones experience anxiety when storms are in the forecast: the atmosphere over Northeast Georgia today is completely different from the areas out west experiencing major weather makers. The core of the active weather is passing well to our west over Alabama and the extreme northwestern tip of Georgia. We are not looking at a major or widespread severe weather outbreak here at home.

Our Tornado Risk is Extremely LOW!!!!
If you are terrified of tornadoes, you can breathe a big sigh of relief today. Our tornado risk across Northeast Georgia is exceptionally low. The type of strong, spinning winds in the atmosphere required to develop and sustain tornadoes is entirely missing from our local area today. Because that circular rotation just isn’t there, a tornado threat is not a concern for us with this weather system.

What Residents Across Northeast GA Can Expect Today
As the afternoon heats up, the sunshine will break off a few scattered showers and thunderstorms across the region.

Most of the morning and early afternoon will remain pleasant. Any storm development will be hit-or-miss during the peak heating of the late afternoon and early evening hours.

While most areas will just see standard rain, a few individual storms could briefly become strong to severe. If a storm peaks, the primary risks will be localized strong, straight-line winds capable of knocking down small tree limbs, heavy downpours that could cause temporary ponding on the roads, and small hail.

Across the Region expect high temperatures to climb into the mid-80s across the lower valleys and around the low-80s in the higher elevations, remaining quite humid. Rain chances sit at around 30% to 35% for most of our communities, though our friends up in the mountain ridges could see slightly higher coverage closer to 45% due to the terrain. Skies will gradually clear out overnight with lows dropping into the low-to-mid 60s.

Many of you likely remember the Down Burst across parts of Banks and Jackson Counties this time last year. This strong wind events caused down trees, powerlines and roof damage. While today's risk is low, we always treat the weather with respect.

The entire team here at The Northeast Georgia Weather Center, along with our extended Hayes Media Weather Network "HMW-Network" team—including the Palmetto State Weather Network-UPSTATE South Carolina HMWNetwork Affiliate covering our neighbors in Upstate South Carolina—will be tracking any storms that do develope. We will monitor these afternoon clouds closely and post immediate updates the second any official alerts are issued. In the highly unlikely event that a critical warning is issued for our area, we will go live immediately right here to walk you through it.

Enjoy your Monday, stay weather-aware today and don't stress to much about Tornados again the risk is exstremely low and if we do get a warning we will be here tracking it street by street! Thank you for counting on us to keep you and your family Safe, Informed & Ahead of the Storm™.

Make it a great day everyone!

05/28/2026

The Northeast GA Weather Center's 10-Day AccuWeather Forecast.
ISSUED: 05/28/2026 5:00pm ET
VALID UNTIL: 06/03/2026 01:00pm ET
FORECASTER: Timothy Hayes
Commerce Georgia Forecast Office

FORECAST DISCUSSION:

Good afternoon, Northeast Georgia! Timothy Hayes here with you from The Northeast Georgia Weather Center Commerce, GA forecast office. It is time to look downstream at the next 10 days as we wrap up May and head straight into the heart of June. Grab your favorite sweet tea and get comfortable, because we have a lot of complex atmospheric machinery to break down today—including a deep dive into the historical Georgia drought and a major tropical curveball brewing out in the Pacific Ocean.

🌊 The Death of La Niña and the Rise of El Niño. Let’s clear the air on a major piece of climate data that has been circulating. For the past few years, our global weather pattern was heavily influenced by a persistent La Niña (unusually cool sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific). That pattern drove an incredibly dry, blocking setup over the Southeast that choked off our moisture transport from the Gulf of Mexico. It is a primary driver behind the historic drought conditions we’ve been battling since the fall of 2025.

However, La Niña is officially dead. In fact, we are in the middle of one of the most explosive oceanic turnarounds ever recorded. The equatorial Pacific is rapidly warming, and NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center has issued an official El Niño Watch, showing a staggering 98% chance of El Niño emerging right now (May–July 2026).

Are We Headed for a "Super El Nino"?
Yes, the data strongly suggests we could be staring down a historic "Super El Nino" by the end of this year. Weekly sea-surface temperature anomalies in the critical Nino 3.4 region have already surged to nearly 2°F above normal, and the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) has plunged significantly, proving that the atmosphere is deeply coupled with this warming ocean. Dynamic multi-model ensembles indicate a 40% chance that this event could rival or exceed the record-shattering 2015–2016 "Super El Nino," where ocean temperatures peaked at an astounding 4.7°F above normal.

What does this mean for Northeast Georgia? In the long term (this upcoming fall and winter), a strong El Nino completely alters the subtropical jet stream, steering it directly across the southern United States. This typically blankets Georgia in a much cooler, significantly wetter pattern—which is exactly what we need to permanently break this stubborn drought. In the short term, this rapidly developing El Nino is creating intense vertical wind shear across the Atlantic basin. This is fantastic news for coastal safety, as NOAA is predicting a below-average 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season (only 8 to 14 named storms), because strong upper-level winds will literally rip developing tropical systems apart before they can organize.
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🍂 The State of the Georgia Drought
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While El Nino promises long-term relief, we are still dealing with the immediate scars of the recent dry spell. According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor, Severe Drought (D2) and Extreme Drought (D3) conditions cover a massive portion of the state. The absolute worst of it—Exceptional Drought (D4), the highest classification possible—is sitting right over our eastern neighbors below the Fall Line and parts of Franklin, Hart, Madison, and Elbert counties.

Stream flows on rivers like the Ogeechee and the Broad River have dropped below the lowest 5th percentile historically. Local water bodies have taken a beating due to intense evaporation and lack of runoff. The good news? The "drought meter" has finally begun to ease slightly this week! Recent convective rainfall has caused Lake Lanier to rise over half a foot since last Friday, now sitting at 1066.2 feet.
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🛰️ The 10-Day Synoptic Setup: Pop-Ups and Potential Fronts
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For the upcoming 10-day period, our weather will be dictated by a transition from a tropical, diurnal (daytime heating-driven) regime to a brief synoptic pattern change. For the next several days, we remain under the influence of an un-capped, high-moisture airmass. Without a distinct cold front to force a solid line of storms, we will rely on localized differential heating—where the ground heats up faster than the air above it, creating buoyant, rising pockets of air (updrafts). These trigger pulse-type afternoon "pop-up" thunderstorms.

By early next week, long-range guidance hints at a weak, sagging backdoor cold front dipping down from the northeast, which could temporarily suppress our daily rain chances, lower our dew points, and bring a brief, refreshing break from the mugginess before summer heat rebuilds for the first weekend of June.
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📅 DETAILED 10-Day AccuWeather FORECAST
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Friday, May 29th, 2026 🌤️⛈️

High: 85°F | Low: 65°F
Rain Chance: 40%
Expected Conditions: Part-Sun with Afternoon Pop-Ups 🌦️

Daily Discussion: We kick off the 10-day period with classic diurnal thermal convection. Strong morning solar radiation will destabilize the lower atmosphere by 2:00pm. Combined with localized orographic lift (air forcing upward over our regional terrain), scattered pulse thunderstorms will develop. Movement will be incredibly slow due to weak steering currents aloft, meaning whoever gets stuck under one could see a quick half-inch of localized rain!
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Saturday, May 30th, 2026 ⛅⚡

High: 84°F | Low: 64°F
Rain Chance: 45%
Expected Conditions: Scattered Afternoon Thunderstorms ⛈️

Daily Discussion: Very similar setup to Friday, but a minor shortwave trough moving through the mid-level atmospheric flow will provide just a bit more upper-level support. Expect storm coverage to be slightly more widespread across Northeast GA. These storms are strictly daytime-heating dependent, so once the sun goes down and we lose that surface thermal energy, the updrafts will collapse and rain will diminish, leaving a humid night.
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Sunday, May 31st, 2026 ☀️✨

High: 86°F | Low: 63°F
Rain Chance: 20%
Expected Conditions: Mostly Sunny and Pleasant 😎

Daily Discussion: A transient ridge of high pressure begins to build in from the west, introducing a layer of dry, sinking air in the mid-levels of the atmosphere. This process, known as subsidence, warms the upper air layers and creates a "cap" that suppresses deep cloud development. A stray shower can't be entirely ruled out over the mountains, but most of Northeast Georgia will stay dry and beautiful.
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Monday, June 1st, 2026 ☀️😎

High: 87°F | Low: 62°F
Rain Chance: 10%
Expected Conditions: Clear and Sunny 👋

Daily Discussion: Happy June! We welcome the new month with gorgeous, unobstructed sunshine as surface high pressure centers itself directly over the southern Appalachians. Strong atmospheric stability means zero vertical updraft potential. It will feel warm, but lower dew points riding down the eastern side of the high will keep things surprisingly comfortable for early June.
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Tuesday, June 2nd, 2026 🌤️🍃

High: 84°F | Low: 59°F
Rain Chance: 15%
Expected Conditions: Mostly Sunny and Cooler 🌤️

Daily Discussion: A weak backdoor cold front pushes in from the northeast overnight, shifting our winds out of the east-northeast. This advects (transports) cooler, marine-influenced air off the Atlantic coast into our region. Highs will drop a few degrees below seasonal averages, and overnight lows will plunge into the upper 50s—perfect weather to open up the windows and give the AC a break!
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Wednesday, June 3rd, 2026 ☀️🌾

High: 85°F | Low: 61°F
Rain Chance: 10%
Expected Conditions: Sunny and Beautiful 🙌

Daily Discussion: High pressure remains firmly entrenched across the Mid-Atlantic, keeping Northeast Georgia safely in a dry air zone. The atmosphere is completely continental and stable. Excellent day for outdoor activities, farming, or gardening, though the lack of rainfall will keep our topsoil moisture conditions quite low.
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Thursday, June 4th, 2026 🌤️📈

High: 88°F | Low: 65°F
Rain Chance: 20%
Expected Conditions: Turning Warmer and More Humid 🥵

Daily Discussion: The surface high pressure slides off the East Coast into the Atlantic Ocean, initiating a return flow around its back side. This shifts our wind direction to the south-southeast, tapping straight into the Gulf of Mexico moisture pump. Dew points will begin to climb back into the mid-60s, creating that classic southern "sticky" feeling and generating a few fair-weather cumulus clouds by evening.
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Friday, June 5th, 2026 ⛅⛈️

High: 89°F | Low: 67°F
Rain Chance: 35%
Expected Conditions: Partly Cloudy with Evening Storms ⛈️

Daily Discussion: The summer heat returns in force as temperatures push toward the 90-degree mark. Increased atmospheric moisture (precipitable water values rising past 1.5 inches) means the atmosphere is primed once again for thermal instability. Pop-up showers and thunderstorms return to the radar forecast, peaking between 4:00pm and 8:00pm.
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Saturday, June 6th, 2026 🌤️⚡

High: 90°F | Low: 68°F
Rain Chance: 40%
Expected Conditions: Hot and Humid with Isolated Storms 🥵⛈️

Daily Discussion: Welcome to summer in Georgia! Highs cross into the 90s, and the combination of extreme heat and high humidity will drive Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) values up. Any storm that breaks through the afternoon heating will be capable of producing intense lightning displays and very heavy, localized downpours.
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Sunday, June 7th, 2026 ⛅🌧️

High: 88°F | Low: 66°F
Rain Chance: 50%
Expected Conditions: Scattered Showers and Thunderstorms 🌧️

Daily Discussion: We close out the 10-day window as a weak upper-level trough approaches from the west, providing broad synoptic lift across the Deep South. Instead of simple pop-up cells, we expect a bit more organized storm structure and higher regional coverage. This will provide some highly beneficial, widespread rainfall to aid our ongoing drought recovery efforts!
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⚠️ SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
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Over the course of this 10-day forecast period, the risk for organized, widespread severe weather outbreaks remains low. Because we lack strong atmospheric dynamics—specifically deep tropospheric wind shear to help tilt storm updrafts and keep them organized—the vast majority of our storm activity will be pulse-class or short-lived multicellular clusters.

However, do not let your guard down! In a high-CAPE, summer-like environment, even a non-severe thunderstorm can become hazardous. The lack of strong steering winds means these storms move at a snail's pace, elevating the risk for localized flash flooding in low-lying areas. Additionally, as these heavy storms mature, they collect a massive amount of water in their upper sections. When the updraft can no longer support that weight, the storm collapses rapidly, sending a rush of cool air straight down to the ground. This process can produce localized, damaging straight-line winds (microbursts) up to 50-60 mph, alongside frequent, dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning.

🎯 Daily Thunderstorm Outlook Ratings (Days 1-3)

Day 1 (Friday, May 29th): LEVEL 1 - MARGINAL RISK (General Thunderstorms) 🟢

Hazards: Frequent lightning, heavy downpours, and isolated brief gusty winds up to 45 mph. Widespread severe weather is not expected.

Day 2 (Saturday, May 30th): LEVEL 1 - MARGINAL RISK (General Thunderstorms) 🟢

Hazards: Slow-moving cells capable of localized water pooling on roads, heavy rain, and occasional strong wind gusts during storm collapse.

Day 3 (Sunday, May 31st): LEVEL 0 - NO RISK (General Stability) ⚪

Hazards: Atmospheric subsidence and dry mid-levels will keep the entire Northeast Georgia region stable. Severe weather or general thunderstorm activity is not expected.
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💭 FINAL THOUGHTS
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To wrap it all up, Northeast Georgia is currently experiencing a fascinating atmospheric balancing act. We are dealing with the parting gifts of a multi-year dry spell that has left our region—especially counties like Hart, Franklin, Madison, and Elbert—tackling severe to exceptional drought conditions. The immediate 10-day outlook offers a classic transition: we’ll see standard afternoon convective pop-up storms to close out May, followed by a beautiful, dry, and slightly cooler high-pressure window for the first half of next week, before moisture rushes back in to trigger more widespread rain by next weekend.

But the biggest takeaway is the massive climate shift happening thousands of miles away in the Pacific. The rapid transition toward a potential "Super El Nino" is already working to shield us by suppressing the Atlantic hurricane season, and it promises to bring a much wetter, drought-busting weather pattern to the Southeast as we transition into the tail end of the year. Rain by rain, lake levels like Lanier are recovering, and we will continue to monitor every single drop that falls.

Thank you for making The Northeast Georgia Weather Center your trusted source for Northeast GA Weather. It is our mission to keep you and your family "Safe, informed, and ahead of the storm ™".

05/28/2026

Good Afternoon Northeast Georgia!

Timothy Hayes here with The Northeast Georgia Weather Center, bringing you your afternoon update on this beautiful, sun-filled Thursday across the region.

While many of us are enjoying plenty of sunshine, our radar is currently tracking a few isolated, lingering showers across the area. Specifically, we have a quick shower just north of Homer, and a decent little cell riding the border of Habersham and Rabun counties. I don’t know about you, but I’m certainly hoping the rain holds off for the rest of our afternoon plans!

First, a quick housekeeping note: I apologize for not getting the 10-Day Forecast out to you yesterday. I am putting the finishing touches on it right now, so keep your eyes peeled for that dropping very soon. In the meantime, let's dive into exactly what we can expect across the region for the remainder of today and tonight.

🔬 METEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION: WHAT’S DRIVING OUR WEATHER?
Our atmospheric setup today is essentially a carbon copy of what we have experienced over the past week. We remain locked into a classic late-spring/early-summer pattern characterized by high boundary-layer moisture and strong daytime solar heating.

With no major synoptic fronts or strong capping inversions in place, the atmosphere is highly unstable. As afternoon temperatures climb into the mid-to-upper 80s, intense surface heating creates strong localized updrafts. Combined with high dew points (which provide abundant precipitable water), this diurnal heating is triggering scattered pulse-type thunderstorms across the terrain.

Because atmospheric steering winds are relatively weak today, these storms will be slow-moving, capable of producing brief, heavy downpours, frequent cloud-to-ground lightning, and localized gusty winds before collapsing under their own weight. As we lose the heating of the day after sunset, these storms will quickly lose their primary energy source and diminish, leaving us with a calm, humid night.

⏱️ HOURLY TIMELINE BREAKDOWN (NORTHEAST GA SUMMARY)
Across the region as a whole, we have a 40% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms today, primarily concentrated during the peak heating hours of the late afternoon and early evening.

NOW (Mid-Afternoon): Mostly sunny and hot. Temperatures are peaking in the mid-to-upper 80s. Isolated pop-up showers are already active, particularly across the higher terrain and northeastern counties.

6:00 PM: Temperatures will sit in the low 80s. This will be the peak window for scattered thunderstorms and heavy downpours across Northeast Georgia. Keep an eye on the sky if you have outdoor evening commutes or dinner plans.

9:00 PM: Temperatures cooling into the mid-70s. Storm activity will begin to dwindle significantly as solar heating fades, leaving behind lingering cloud cover and high humidity.

MIDNIGHT: Expect a mild, quiet, and humid night with temperatures dropping into the upper 60s. Skies will become partly cloudy to mostly clear.

I will have you all new 10-Day AccuWeather Forecast finished up in just a bit! Everyone stay safe out there and if you have not already be sure to head over to the official The Northeast Georgia Weather Center page and give us a like and follow. As always thank you for counting on us here at the weather center to "Keep you Safe, Informed & Ahead of the Storm™" Make it a great day Northeast GA!

05/27/2026

Good Afternoon Northeast GA, It's you local neighborhood weather man Timothy Hayes here with you at The Northeast Georgia Weather Center in a currently sunny Downtown Commerce Georgia!

First things first, let's address the elephant in the atmosphere: that annoying Flood Watch that felt like it was permanently glued to our radar has officially been laid to rest. It is no longer active! In fact, as of right now, we have a beautifully quiet radar map with zero active watches or warnings across the entire state of Georgia. You can officially stop building that backyard ark.

🌧️ So, Why Are We So Soggy?
If you feel like you’ve forgotten what dry socks feel like over the last 5 days, you aren't imagining things. We have been stuck in an incredibly stubborn atmospheric rut.

Essentially, a stalled stationary front has been lingering just to our south, acting like a cosmic highway for moisture. Coupled with a persistent conveyor belt of juicy, humid air pumping straight out of the Gulf of Mexico, Northeast Georgia became the designated dumping ground for daily rounds of heavy downpours. Think of it as nature's own infinite loop of steam and showers.

But hang in there! The upper-level ridge (a big dome of high pressure) is slowly starting to muscle its way back into the region. This is going to push that moisture boundary out of here, and we will finally start transitioning into a much drier, more stable summer pattern over the next couple of days.

While we are seeing glimpses of beautiful sunshine right now in Commerce, don't put the umbrellas in storage just yet. Residual moisture means scattered, isolated showers are still on the table for the rest of the afternoon.

Here is exactly how the rest of your day and night shakes out across the region:

6:00 PM | 81°F • Mostly Cloudy. A lingering isolated shower or two is possible as commutes wrap up, but most of us will just be dealing with thick humidity.

9:00 PM | 74°F • Cloudy Skies. The daylight fades and the rain chances drop off significantly. Perfect time to step outside and check on the local lightning bug population.

Midnight | 70°F • Humid & Overcast. Smooth sailing into the overnight hours, though it'll feel a bit like sleeping inside a warm sponge if your A/C isn't cranking.

Tomorrow Morning | 69°F • Wake-up conditions will feature plenty of cloud cover and low-level gray skies across the region, but it will be largely dry for the morning drive.

Make sure to keep your eyes peeled on our page later this evening! I will be dropping my comprehensive Detailed Forecast Discussion and Outlook, alongside the brand new 10-Day AccuWeather Forecast so you can plan out the rest of your week with maximum confidence.

Stay dry, keep smiling, and enjoy that afternoon sunshine while it's peeking through! And as always thank you for counting on me and the entire weather team here at The Northeast Georgia Weather Center to "Keep you Safe, Informed & Ahead of the Storm™

05/26/2026

Severe Weather Update: Flood Watch & Regional Forecast

Northeast GA Weather Center — Tuesday, May 26, 2026

Good morning, Northeast Georgia. Timothy Hayes with The Northeast Georgia Weather Center here with you this morning. We are starting the day with dense fog, 98% humidity, and a Flood Watch covering the majority of our coverage area, including Banks, Jackson, Madison, and Clarke counties.

Due to torrential rainfall over the last 48 hours, the ground across our region is completely saturated. While there is no major tornadic or severe wind threat today, the primary hazard is flash flooding.

Safety Alert: Statistically, flash flooding is the number one killer when it comes to severe weather. The vast majority of flood-related fatalities occur when motorists attempt to drive through flooded roadways that appear calm. Moving water carries immense force—it takes only 12 inches of rushing water to carry away a small car, and 2 feet to sweep away most SUVs and trucks. If you encounter a covered roadway today, remember the lifesaving rule: Turn around, don’t drown.

Furthermore, because the soil is completely compromised, it will take only minor wind gusts to destabilize trees. We have already seen this impact firsthand this morning near the weather center, where a large tree uprooted on a sharp curve on Clayton Street here in downtown Commerce not far from the studio, taking down power lines and completely blocking the roadway. We extend our sincere thanks to the outstanding officers of the Commerce Police Department for quickly blocking the road to prevent accidents, and to the City of Commerce Government crews working diligently to clear the scene safely. Please remain completely focused while driving today and watch for debris.

Hour-by-Hour Timeline
This Morning: Visibilities will remain low due to lingering fog and high humidity. Patchy drizzle and scattered showers will impact the morning commute.

Noon (Midday): Temperatures rise into the upper 70s. Expect daytime heating to destabilize the atmosphere, increasing the coverage of showers and thunderstorms.

6:00 PM (Evening): Peak convective activity. Heavy downpours may train over the same saturated areas, significantly elevating the local flash flood risk during the evening drive.

Midnight through Early AM: Storms will transition to a steadier, lighter rain, though runoff will keep creek and river levels high through the overnight hours.

Wednesday Morning Outlook: The high moisture profile remains in place. Expect another damp, humid start on Wednesday with scattered morning showers and lingering fog before afternoon storms redevelop.

Looking Ahead
I will be monitoring the radar and rainfall totals from the weather center all day to keep you ahead of the rising waters.

Looking long-range, I am currently finalizing your comprehensive weather outlook. The All-New 10-Day AccuWeather Forecast will be officially posted right here tomorrow morning. Stay weather-aware, make sure you are not distracted while driving esp. during storms where the wind is gusty due to the falling tree risk, and stay safe! As Always Thank you for counting on the team here at The Northeast Georgia Weather Center to "Keep you Safe, Informed & Ahead of the Storm™" Make it a great day everyone.

05/25/2026

Good Afternoon Northeast GA, Timothy Hayes Here with you manning the weather desk here at The Northeast Georgia Weather Center In beautiful Downtown Commerce GA!

It is a gloomy, stormy day across the region, but rest assured, our overall severe weather threat remains low today. We are looking at typical springtime thunderstorms developing as we move into the evening hours—very similar to what we’ve experienced the past several days, but without a widespread Level 1 Marginal Risk across most of our core counties. While a few storms could lean toward the stronger side, I do not anticipate widespread severe limits this evening across Northeast Georgia.

🛑 Areas to Watch This Evening
We can’t entirely rule out an isolated storm reaching severe limits. If we do see a stronger cell push boundaries, it will likely be along a line from Monroe to Watkinsville to Elberton—these cities sit right on the northern edge of today's risk zone.

Meanwhile, our friends in Lexington, Washington, and Lincolnton are officially placed within the Level 1 Marginal Risk. Even though the overall dynamics are on the lower end, we saw firsthand last night that it only takes a brief window for a quick, spin-up tornado to form. If you are in Lexington, Washington, Madison, Social Circle, or Lincolnton, please stay weather aware through the evening. It wouldn't hurt for those in Monroe, Athens, Comer, Elberton, and Calhoun Falls (SC) to keep an eye on the sky as well.

I have seen photos circulating out of Madison County showing what definitely appears to be EF-1 or EF-2 tornado on the ground. I am going to be reaching out to the individuals who posted the footage today to ensure that data gets directly into the hands of the National Weather Service (NWS) and to see if they would not mind sharing the video with us . While we haven’t received official damage reports yet, we are waiting to see what the NWS survey teams conclude.

Remember if you ever exsperience storm damage no matter how minor please be sure to report that damage to the National Weather Service. You can do that by using the link below. This incudes down trees, shingles missing off your roof etc. This is important weather data. If you have any questions on how and if you should submit a report feel free to reach out to us a member of our team would be happy to talk with you.

This evening and overnight expect scattered showers and thunderstorms to persist through the evening, with a few remaining capable of heavy downpours and gusty winds. As we transition into the overnight hours, storm activity will gradually taper off into a steady, humid overcast. Expect low temperatures to settle comfortably in the upper 60s to low 70s across the region.

As the work week kicks off tomorrow the unsettled, tropical-esque weather pattern remains locked in place for tomorrow.

The Setup: Expect a very humid start to the day with cloudy skies, giving way to another round of scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms driven by daytime heating.

Impacts: Heavy localized rainfall will remain the primary concern, which could lead to isolated ponding on the roads. High temperatures will top out in the low-to-mid 80s. I will be working the overnight in the weather center tonight and should any severe weather pop up we will bring it to you!

Keep it tuned right here to The Northeast Georgia Weather Center for the latest on everything weather. We will have you new 10-DAY AccuWeather Forecast and Detailed Forecast Discussion out tomorrow=) Thank you for trusting The Northeast GA Weather Center and the entire HMW-Network to "Keep you Safe, Informed & Ahead of the Storm™"

Tornado: A violently rotating column of air extending from a thunderstorm cloud to the ground. The Enhanced Fujita Tornado Intensity Scale is used to categorize tornadoes