12/27/2025
Good afternoon and happy Saturday, Region Rats!
The first thing I need to bring to your attention is that Da Region will be under a Wind Advisory from 6 PM CST Sunday until 6 PM CST Monday. Westerly winds of 25–35mph are expected along with wind gusts of 50–55mph.
Secondly, thanks to the unseasonably warm weather we've been having, we have an equally unseasonable—albeit marginal—risk for severe thunderstorms tomorrow. (As seen in the image at the bottom of this post.)
The only forecast hazard with the severe storms will be damaging winds.
The risk of hail is below 5%—which it typically sits at with any severe weather that isn't projected to contain hail—and tornadoes aren't forecast to have any increased risk in Da Region.
As a note, counties (I almost didn't notice that I initially missed the 'o' in that word; man that would've been awkward) south of Da Region do have a 2% risk increase of tornadoes with these storms.
Our high tomorrow will be in the mid-to-upper 50s—with the potential of localized temperatures in the low 60s—until the system bringing us this system fully rolls through.
Many of the storms *will* be strong even if they don't hit the requirements to be classified as severe. (Wind speed will determine the classification of the storms.)
Isolated-to-scattered rain is expected to start in the wee hours Sunday and will become widespread in the late morning/early afternoon.
The storms themselves are expected to arrive in Da Region between 11AM—1PM CDT, and they have the potential of popping up off and on until the late afternoon/early evening hours.
By midnight, the temperature will drop into the 20s before reaching the mid-to-upper teens around 6 AM Monday, and Monday's high will only hit the low to mid 20s, and high temperatures from Monday onwards.
The strong winds on Monday coupled with the cold temperatures means wind chills will be down into the single digits. 🥶
I highly recommend scarves, gloves, hats covering your ears (or earmuffs), and thick socks (or layers of thinner socks) as frostbite can occur with such cold windchills, although it will take longer than it would in colder temperatures.
Frostnip (stage 1 of frostbite) will be the most likely occurrence, which is when your skin turns red or pale—the paleness is especially likely in those of us with Reynaud's—often along with numbness, pins-and-needles, or tingling in your fingers, toes, ears, or nose. (Hey, I'm a poet and didn't know it, LOL!)
With the rain and subsequent rapid, extreme drop in temperatures, icy conditions on pavement will be highly probable.
Always keep BARFF (Bridges And Ramps Freeze First) in mind, and be especially careful when driving on them.
I'm not going to lie, BARFF has to be the funniest and most memorable acronym I've ever heard, and hopefully it will stick in your head as much as it does mine. 😂
From Monday until the at least the 10th—which is as far as my forecasting programs will predict with any remotely reasonable degree of accuracy—highs are currently expected to range from the 20s to the low-to-mid 30s.
Overnight lows are expected to be in the teens-to-20s, although even on nights with lows in the 20s the "real feel" will still be in the teens.
I'll likely post an update tomorrow if there are any changes in the forecast or if additional watches, advisories, or warnings are issued for any county in Da Region or the entirety of Da Region itself.
Finally, I'd like to wish a belated Happy Chanukah to my Jewish followers, a belated Merry Christmas to any of my followers who celebrate the holiday (whether your celebratkon is religious or secular), a Blessed Yule to my Pagan followers, a Happy Kwanzaa to anyone who observes it, and a Happy/Blessed/Merry holiday(s) to anyone who observe(s/ed) any recent or current religious or secular holiday(s) that I may have missed—I'm pretty sure I covered them all, though, LOL!
I hope you all have a great weekend and that you all stay dry, warm, and safe.
