09/02/2026
What would the extent of destruction in Silicon Valley be in its urban communities if a major wildfire were spread rapidly from the heavily forested Santa Cruz Mountains into Palo Alto and surrounding cities under extreme wind conditions? Stay tuned for our first results from new ELMFIRE model simulations of such an urban conflagration in the hypothetical “Portola Valley Fire”, whose predicted burn boundary and ignition location is shown in the map figure below (blue shades indicate urban structure density). We are open to all feedback and questions about how this simulation is being designed and executed. Contact: [email protected]