12/12/2025
MERRY "TORCH"-MAS🔥🎄- Continuing to look at the latest ensemble models for the period leading up to Christmas is trending WARMER in most of the Central and Southern US. The NWS has updated their 8-14 Day Temperature Outlook to "Likely Above Normal" temperatures from Dec. 19th-25th.
Christmas is still two weeks out, but there is skill in pattern recognition in using ensemble guidance. When we experience warm weather in December, we typically see a strong storm system and an increased risk of severe weather on the back end of the heat wave. So we will have to watch December 26th-29th very closely.
Stay tuned.