08/29/2026
⚠️ JUST A LITTLE WEATHER AWARENESS
I want to start by saying that I am not a meteorologist, and I don’t claim to be one. I’m simply a storm chaser who wants to help bring awareness to severe weather while sharing accurate and responsible information.
I’m sharing this post with the person’s name and picture covered because my intention is not to call anyone out or attack them. I just want to bring awareness to posts like this and the wording being used.
Yes, a very strong El Niño is expected this fall and winter. That COULD favor a more active southern storm track and provide more opportunities for rain and possibly severe weather across parts of the Gulf Coast and Southeast.
However, nobody can responsibly predict a “violent tornado outbreak” months ahead, much less say that one will happen around Christmas.
El Niño can give us an idea of the overall seasonal pattern, but it cannot tell us this far out:
• Whether a tornado outbreak will happen
• Where an outbreak would occur
• How strong any tornadoes could become
• The date it would happen or whether it would be near a holiday
Those details depend on individual storm systems and atmospheric conditions that cannot be known this far in advance.
This type of wording takes a real weather pattern and turns it into an unverified, fear-based prediction. Posts like this can create unnecessary fear and should not be shared as though they are an actual forecast.
Before sharing weather information, please stop for a moment and think about where it came from, whether it can be verified, and how the wording could affect others. Sharing an alarming post without checking it first can spread fear and misinformation very quickly.
The correct message is that this winter MAY deserve more attention than usual, but no violent tornado outbreak can currently be predicted this far out in advance. Please follow official forecasts from the National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center as individual systems approach and of course I will do my best to keep y'all abreast of the systems as the season moves along.
My goal is to help keep people aware and prepared—not scared.