05/03/2026
🚨Less power for the voters?
Even before the U.S. Supreme Court’s recent decision on redistricting, the number of competitive U.S. House of Representatives districts heading into the fall midterm elections was already near historic lows. Legal and political experts warn that the court's latest ruling could pave the way for a new era of aggressive, partisan gerrymandering, potentially reducing competition even further and diminishing the influence of individual voters.
The lack of competitive contests means that the balance of power in the U.S. House of Representatives will likely be decided by fewer than 10% of Americans in November. In the vast majority of the 435 congressional districts, the winning candidate is effectively predetermined before a single vote is cast.
According to a Reuters analysis, only 32 out of the 435 House seats are currently considered competitive. This assessment is based on ratings from three leading independent nonpartisan election forecasters:The Cook Political Report, The University of Virginia’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections. To be classified as competitive, a district must be rated as a toss-up or as leaning toward one of the major parties by these forecasters.
The court's ruling comes amid an intense national debate over congressional boundaries. Critics and analysts argue that as mapmakers redraw district lines to maximize political advantage, the number of competitive districts will continue to decline, leaving fewer competitive elections nationwide.