01/20/2025
Mesoscale model data indicates a potentially aggressive banding snowfall event. Will this event be comparable to the Historic 93 event? Absolutely not, as it will not be remotely close in scale or dynamics. However, this event is shaping up to be a rare potential coastal snow event. Utilizing conservative forecasting techniques, the area over southeast Texas into Louisiana may receive 4-6 inches of snow, while areas further east in Mississippi, Alabama, and northwestern Florida may receive 2-4 inches. Notably, banding potential is becoming increasingly apparent in mesoscale models, which COULD result in significantly increased snowfall totals under the areas of banding. Parts of Louisiana may receive up to 10 inches, while parts of southern Mississippi, Alabama, and northwest Florida may exceed 6 inches. Regardless of the final snowfall totals, travel conditions along the I-10, I-12, US 98 corridors are expected to become difficult to extremely hazardous.
As a seasoned driver familiar with navigating snow and ice, I must emphasize the importance of exercising caution. My personal experience driving in various winter conditions, including Rocky Mountain snow squalls and Upper Midwest ground blizzards, has taught me that even seemingly minor snowfall events can pose significant travel risks. Specifically, my experience driving between Mobile, AL, and Daphne, AL, in 2017, where only 1 inch of snow accumulation was reported in Mobile, AL, and 2 inches in Loxley, AL, highlighted the dangers of untreated roadways and inexperienced drivers. Therefore, I strongly advise against traveling on Tuesday into Wednesday morning unless absolutely necessary, prioritizing safety for all road users.
