Gulf coast weather

Gulf coast weather Page designed to discuss weather forecasts and events within the gulf coast region. With a focus on public safety and emergency management.

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Dangerous  storm Tornado WarningNational Weather Service Memphis TN622 PM CDT Sat Apr 5 2025The National Weather Service...
04/05/2025

Dangerous storm

Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Memphis TN
622 PM CDT Sat Apr 5 2025

The National Weather Service in Memphis has issued a

* Tornado Warning for... Southeastern Lafayette County in northwestern Mississippi... Northern Pontotoc County in northeastern Mississippi... Central Union County in northeastern Mississippi...

* Until 700 PM CDT.

* At 622 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Denmark, or 13 miles east of Oxford, moving northeast at 40 mph.

Historical snowfall event continues along the Gulf coast.  New MCD per SPC mentions snowfall rates up to 1 inch per hour...
01/21/2025

Historical snowfall event continues along the Gulf coast. New MCD per SPC mentions snowfall rates up to 1 inch per hour possible over next 3 hours. Heavy snowfall reports in Gulfport and Mobile.

STAY HOME and STAY OFF THE ROADS. Leave the roadways to emergency vehicles and high demand workforce members.


SUMMARY...Moderate to heavy snow will continue through the
afternoon.

DISCUSSION...A broad area of snow continues to shift east and
northeast into portions of southern Alabama and the Florida
Panhandle from Louisiana/southern Mississippi. Occasional sleet and
freezing rain reports have occurred across the coast, but the main
precipitation type has become snow area wide. Enhanced upper-level
flow and 925-850 mb frontegenetic forcing are aiding in moderate to
heavy snow production across these regions. Heavy snow observations
have been reported from Gulfport, MS to Mobile, AL and into portions
of southeastern Alabama over the last hour with visibility dropping
to 1/4-1/2 mile. Guidance suggests snowfall rates may occasionally
approach 1"/hr across southern Alabama near the Florida state line
over the next 1-3 hours before tapering off later this evening as
upper-level support shifts northward.

A significant Gulf Coast snowfall event is imminent, affecting residents from Galveston Island/Houston Metro to Louisian...
01/21/2025

A significant Gulf Coast snowfall event is imminent, affecting residents from Galveston Island/Houston Metro to Louisiana, southern Mississippi, southern Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle. This includes coastal communities such as New Orleans, Bay Saint Louis, Gulfport, Biloxi, Dauphin Island, Mobile, Baldwin County, AL, Pensacola, Navarre, Milton, and Destin. Residents are advised to complete preparations, stay home if feasible, and prioritize safety. Untreated roads will become increasingly treacherous, especially for inexperienced motorists.

01/21/2025

Low organizing offshore and Texas coastal radars starting to show mixed precipitation

I truly am almost in shock but not fully considering prior continental air mass movements.  Yet snowday incoming for ent...
01/20/2025

I truly am almost in shock but not fully considering prior continental air mass movements. Yet snowday incoming for entire North Gulf coast from Texas to Florida. Get ready for inexperienced drivers to include emergency services and untreated roads.

Among the various forecast scenarios for the area, the one I least anticipated discussing is the potential for Gulf effect snow banding. However, this is precisely the topic I am focusing on, as localized areas may experience snowfall exceeding 8+ inches from Texas through Louisiana. Moreover, localized areas may receive over 6+ inches of snowfall from south Mississippi through coastal Alabama and into the Florida panhandle. Notably, the closer one gets to the Gulf beaches, the higher the potential for surprise snowfall events. Currently, banding potential is expected to be highest along and south of the I-10 corridor. This event has the potential to be a historic snowfall for many sections of the north Gulf coast, with widespread snowfall of 4-6 inches expected from coastal Texas into Louisiana, and sections of Louisiana potentially receiving up to 8+ inches. Additionally, widespread snowfall of 2-4 inches is expected from coastal Mississippi through coastal Alabama and into the Florida panhandle, with localized areas potentially receiving higher amounts due to banding. It is essential to emphasize that individuals unfamiliar with driving in snow or ice should not drive during this event, as untreated roadways and inexperienced drivers will create a hazardous combination.

Mesoscale model data indicates a potentially aggressive banding snowfall event. Will this event be comparable to the His...
01/20/2025

Mesoscale model data indicates a potentially aggressive banding snowfall event. Will this event be comparable to the Historic 93 event? Absolutely not, as it will not be remotely close in scale or dynamics. However, this event is shaping up to be a rare potential coastal snow event. Utilizing conservative forecasting techniques, the area over southeast Texas into Louisiana may receive 4-6 inches of snow, while areas further east in Mississippi, Alabama, and northwestern Florida may receive 2-4 inches. Notably, banding potential is becoming increasingly apparent in mesoscale models, which COULD result in significantly increased snowfall totals under the areas of banding. Parts of Louisiana may receive up to 10 inches, while parts of southern Mississippi, Alabama, and northwest Florida may exceed 6 inches. Regardless of the final snowfall totals, travel conditions along the I-10, I-12, US 98 corridors are expected to become difficult to extremely hazardous.

As a seasoned driver familiar with navigating snow and ice, I must emphasize the importance of exercising caution. My personal experience driving in various winter conditions, including Rocky Mountain snow squalls and Upper Midwest ground blizzards, has taught me that even seemingly minor snowfall events can pose significant travel risks. Specifically, my experience driving between Mobile, AL, and Daphne, AL, in 2017, where only 1 inch of snow accumulation was reported in Mobile, AL, and 2 inches in Loxley, AL, highlighted the dangers of untreated roadways and inexperienced drivers. Therefore, I strongly advise against traveling on Tuesday into Wednesday morning unless absolutely necessary, prioritizing safety for all road users.

A significant winter weather event is increasingly likely to impact the Gulf Coast region, potentially bringing snow to ...
01/20/2025

A significant winter weather event is increasingly likely to impact the Gulf Coast region, potentially bringing snow to the actual beach from Southern Louisiana to the Florida Panhandle. Most indications suggest that ice or mixed precipitation will be confined to coastal Texas and northern Florida. Regarding snowfall totals, there is ongoing debate among meteorologists and forecasters. The National Weather Service is exercising caution, which is prudent given the historical context. Current forecasts suggest a general 1-3 inches south of the I-10/I-12 corridor in Louisiana and 3-6 inches north of this corridor. Southern Alabama can expect a general 1-3 inches. Considering all available data, it would not be surprising if snowfall totals exceed the National Weather Service's current forecasts, potentially reaching up to 10 inches in parts of Louisiana and a general 2-6 inches from Louisiana through Alabama into northwestern Florida. The Houston metropolitan area may receive a general 3-5 inches of snow, with higher totals possible, as well as ice and mixed precipitation closer to the coast and along the Texas coast. Snowfall totals will be heavily influenced by banding, which could lead to significantly higher totals than currently forecast. Also, any sleet or freezing rain that does occur over parts of Alabama and Northwest Florida will significantly impact the snowfall totals. If you are inexperienced in driving in snow or icy conditions, it is advisable to avoid traveling during this event. For your safety and the safety of others, please stay home if possible. Forecasts will be updated on a mesoscale and short-term basis as the event begins to unfold and more accurate information becomes available.

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