05/17/2025
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT THIS WEEKEND
Storms are possible over the next three days here in Kansas. Let's be weather aware and be safe. A note of caution, I have said multiple times before that things can change over a 24hr period. I will try to stay up to date on what to expect over the course of the next three days. Some of what happens tomorrow could impact what happens Monday. It is not uncommon to have conflicting information just a few hours later which is why I try not to post for anything more than 24 hrs out. However, with severe weather possible for a few days in a row, I want to make sure you are aware of the threat as early as possible. Here is what I know so far and remember, things can and may change....
Today....
This afternoon, southern Kansas, mainly central and eastern may see thunderstorms. This area is only in a slight risk, as many models show uncertainty. If storms develop into north central and north eastern Oklahoma, supercells are likely and could produce hail, winds, and possible tornadoes.
Sunday....
Tomorrow we will be facing a better chance for severe weather. South central and Eastern Kansas will be the highest threat level. Although a good portion of the state will be in an enhanced risk, some of it will be conditional. A dryline will develop and sit in Central Kansas and will extend into Oklahoma and Texas. We will have all the conditions favorable for severe weather. Storm evolution is the main uncertainty for this weather event. Discrete storms will be the major threat for very large hail and tornadoes. If widespread storms develop, the main threat will be high winds. Hopefully a clearer picture will develop over the next 24 hours.
Monday...
East of the I-35 corridor into the Ozarks will be the threat area. Instability in the atmosphere will help develop supercells capable of producing large to very large hail, high winds and possibly tornadoes. The tornado threat remains potent but uncertain. As a cold front enters the area, more severe thunderstorms are likely to develop into the evening hours.