Meteorologist Kyle Noel

04/06/2025

Some good news... we do have an incoming cold front that should bring us a region-wide rain starting tonight and lasting into Monday with some rain still possible until Tuesday morning. This is especially critical for our battle against our lingering drought in the Carolinas. Once the front is through, things will become unseasonably chilly by Tuesday night with widespread frost likely across the area (with isolated pockets of sub-freeze temps likely in western NC).

04/05/2025

Sorry I haven't been doing the best at updating y'all. I had ambitious plans on posting onto my weather page more often and growing my brand of meteorology... but that turned out harder than I expected with me balancing my full-time job, my friends and family, all of my hobbies, and making sure I'm getting enough rest 😅

I can assure y'all that I won't miss out on posting about more serious weather events around here... just trying to figure out what I'm doing with this page on a daily basis 😊

03/31/2025

Today, we have a level 3 threat for most of the Carolinas. Same story as last couple of bigger weather events we had throughout March - widespread wind event (30-45+ mph) with an isolated chance of a couple tornadoes and smaller pockets of stronger wind gusts (60+ mph). Storms should be stronger the more south you go into South Carolina. Storms should enter the western Carolinas by lunchtime and will be through central/eastern Carolinas by dinnertime to sunset.

03/28/2025

STATEWIDE BURN BANS ARE STILL IN EFFECT FOR NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTH CAROLINA.

Absolutely do not burn anything this weekend. And please be careful if you're a smoker. Wildfires are becoming out of control across western NC and SC due to our ongoing dry conditions combined with steady wind gusts.

03/28/2025

Sharing this one because Ethan has more information on our ongoing wildfires than I do.

03/18/2025

We probably don't have many chilly, clear nights left before we move on to more humid nights. Better enjoy these nights in the 30s/40s while we can before we lose them until October. Tonight's temperatures from National Weather Service:

03/16/2025

Flash Flood Warning for Wake County due to ongoing rain. Remember to never cross a flooded road even if it's a couple inches deep! You can't see what is under the water or if there's a sinkhole forming.

03/16/2025

Tomorrow is honestly looking similar to our March 5th event when we had widespread 35-45 mph wind gusts with a couple of short-lived isolated tornadoes. Tomorrow is once again looking conditional with limited instability in spite of strong kinematics. It'll be a line of storms moving into the state starting overnight hours in the mountains to tomorrow's midday hours for central Carolinas.

2-6 AM: Asheville and Greenville (SC)
6-10 AM: Charlotte, Columbia, Greensboro
10 AM-2 PM: Raleigh, Charleston (SC)
2-6 PM: Myrtle Beach, Wilmington, and Greenville (NC)

03/15/2025

This one is a quick, more concise video reviewing everything that is going on with today's major tornado outbreak over Alabama/Mississippi. This is also more viewer friendly video than last night's video... hope y'all enjoy this one ->

03/15/2025

This long video (50 minutes) is mostly covering severe weather to our west, but I still want to document this whole event for me to look back on later in the future. I broke the video down into three parts (tonight, tomorrow, and Sunday)... and my explainations are a bit more fancier than usual so don't worry too much if you didn't understand it... but I did try to simpify key points and hopefully it'll give y'all a better idea of what's happening over the next few days.

A video that I created mostly for documentation purposes... but hopefully this can also give y'all an idea on what to expect over the next few days. Sorry th...

03/14/2025

Getting dinner and then recording a video about everything from tonight to Sunday. It's going to be a lot... so stay tuned.

03/14/2025

We just had a stunner in the meteorology community... for the third time ever, Storm Prediction Center (SPC) issued a Day 2 high risk of severe weather (level 5 out of 5) for Alabama and Mississippi tomorrow. The only two other times were 4/7/2006 and 4/14/2012 events. This high risk was issued because tomorrow will be one of very rare times when you have favorable thermodynamics and extremely powerful kinematics overlapping each other that is only seen in top-tier tornado outbreaks. In fact, we haven't seen a meteorological setup like this since the legendary Super Outbreak of 2011 that took place on April 27th of that year.

I'll save a more detailed weather summary for later tonight or tomorrow, but basically, what I'm saying is tomorrow has a chance to be a rare, widespread, and likely destructive weather event. A surging warm front over northern MS and AL should have storms spamming brief tornadoes, while the open sector to south of that front and east of the Pacific cold front (where the high risk area is) is capable of bearing classic discrete supercells capable of producing EF3+ tornadoes between Jackson (MS) and Atlanta (GA). The threat doesn't end there as these storms may continue to produce tornadoes well into overnight hours across eastern Alabama, Georgia, southeastern Tennessee, and far, far western Carolinas. This event will eventually flame out and become a mostly wind storm for the Carolinas on Sunday, with a conditional threat for an isolated tornado.

And all of this is to not mention what is going down tonight with another major severe weather event that will unfold across Missouri, Illinois, Indiana, western Kentucky, western Tennessee, and northern Mississippi. That discussion will come in a separate post a bit later this afternoon.