08/08/2026
Researchers just analyzed the health records of 2.56 million children — the largest study yet on MMR vaccine timing — and found no link to autism.
Scientists at the University of Washington used the Cosmos electronic health record database to track more than 2.5 million U.S. children with linked birth and parent data from January 2015 through December 2024, following each child until age 8 or their last recorded doctor's visit before the study ended.
The specific question wasn't just whether the MMR vaccine causes autism — a claim already contradicted by decades of prior research — but whether the timing of that first dose mattered. Some parents specifically worry that vaccinating closer to age 2 raises risk more than vaccinating earlier. The data found no such pattern: children who received their first MMR dose anywhere between 11.5 and 24 months showed no increased likelihood of an autism diagnosis compared to children vaccinated at other ages.
The study's design specifically worked around a common flaw in earlier vaccine-autism research. Observational studies on this topic are vulnerable to a specific kind of bias — children who see doctors more often, whether due to developmental concerns or general healthcare access, are simultaneously more likely to both get vaccinated on schedule and receive an autism diagnosis, which can create the illusion of a link where none exists. Accounting for that pattern is part of what makes this dataset's scale and design meaningful.
The findings arrive during a genuinely consequential year for measles in the U.S. — the CDC has recorded over 2,300 cases in 2026 alone, the highest count since 1991, with 93% of infections occurring in unvaccinated people.
The researchers describe the result plainly: the data reinforces existing evidence supporting the safety of MMR vaccination, adding one more large, carefully controlled dataset to a research base that has consistently failed to find the association many parents still fear.
source: Burstain, J.M., Burstain, T.L., & Jacques, D. (2026).