05/07/2025
When armed police prevented the arrest of Bosnian Serb leader Milorad Dodik on April 23, it marked the latest escalation in a growing crisis afflicting Bosnia, one that some warn could be an existential test for the fragile country. How could police themselves prevent an arrest? The answer lies in Bosnia and Herzegovina’s notoriously complicated governing system, the result of the 1995 Dayton Agreement and its subsequent amendments.
Despite its complexity and deep flaws, the Dayton system has persisted for three decades. Arguably, it has preserved peace at the price of functionality. Now, Dodik—the president of the Serb-dominated Republika Srpska, which he has frequently suggested should secede from Bosnia—threatens to tear even this system to the ground, with potentially drastic consequences, Andrew MacDowall reports.
Milorad Dodik, the leader of Bosnia’s Serb-dominated region, is using the politics of brinksmanship, while doubling down on his secession threats.