Isobar Insights

Isobar Insights All things weather related from hurricanes and tornadoes to blizzards and ice storms: Forecasts, Modeling, Satellite, Radar, Impacts, Response & Recovery.

Stay up to date on the weather and severe storms throughout the United States.

11/06/2024

***HURRICANE RAFAEL AT 100 MPH***

Rafael has strengthened quite a bit and it's possible he reaches major hurricane status as a category 3 hurricane prior to landfall in western Cuba. From there, he will take a trek into the central Gulf of Mexico before taking aim somewhere along the northern-central Gulf Coast of the United States.

VOTING TODAY? For the majority of the Country, weather is not an issue and will not inhibit your ability to go out and c...
11/05/2024

VOTING TODAY? For the majority of the Country, weather is not an issue and will not inhibit your ability to go out and cast your ballot. 💯

In other news, we again have more tropical concerns. Tropical Storm Rafael has formed in the central Caribbean Sea, currently near the island of Jamaica. Rafael has 60 mph sustained winds and is expected to become a hurricane later today.

From there, he is expected to move generally NW toward and over western Cuba before emerging into the central Gulf of Mexico to eventually take aim at the northern/central Gulf Coast by this coming weekend. As a reminder, Hurricane Season runs through November 30th. We will be keeping an eye on Rafael over the next several days.


10/29/2024

Remember Tropical Storm Nadine turned Hurricane Kristy? 🌀 Check out the evolution of Kristy being picked up in the Pacific Ocean by a large trough where she then dissipates before moving into California and the southwest United States 👀

Hurricane Kristy in the eastern Pacific Ocean (previously Tropical Storm Nadine in the Caribbean Sea) is now a powerful ...
10/24/2024

Hurricane Kristy in the eastern Pacific Ocean (previously Tropical Storm Nadine in the Caribbean Sea) is now a powerful 160 mph category 5 hurricane. Fortunately, she will stay out to sea and not threaten any land. A show for the fish and one we can watch safely at home. 👀

***ICYMI***A few days ago I posted about Tropical Storm Nadine in the Caribbean Sea that made landfall in Belize with 60...
10/23/2024

***ICYMI***

A few days ago I posted about Tropical Storm Nadine in the Caribbean Sea that made landfall in Belize with 60 mph winds. The discussion at that point was whether the remnants of Nadine would move into the Eastern Pacific Ocean and spawn into another Tropical Storm/Hurricane. Well, we now have ex-Nadine turned MAJOR HURRICANE KRISTY! 😮

Hurricane Kristy is heading west away from any land, but is already a 125 mph Category 3 Hurricane with additional strengthening expected before weakening and dissipating by early next week.

(We have had storms in the past that become named and then weaken to Tropical Depressions, only to restrengthen again to earn their name back. Since Nadine made landfall and re-emerged in the Pacific, she received the new name Kristy since the Pacific Basin has a different set of names from the Atlantic).

Tropical Storm Oscar is the only show in town now; Oscar is currently over far eastern Cuba as a 45 mph TS. He will begi...
10/21/2024

Tropical Storm Oscar is the only show in town now; Oscar is currently over far eastern Cuba as a 45 mph TS. He will begin moving north and then northeast across the central Bahamas on his way out to sea. Good news 💯

10/19/2024

HURRICANE OSCAR

Oscar has developed north of the Dominican Republic as a very small Hurricane with current winds of 80 mph. He is expected to move across the southern Bahamas and near/on the northern coast of Cuba before turning northeast to again impact the Bahamas on his way out to sea.

10/19/2024

TROPICAL STORM NADINE

Time ran out for Nadine to develop further as she has made landfall in Belize with 60 mph winds. Primary risk is heavy rainfall across the Yucatan and into southern Mexico. Nadine, also has "a high chance of reforming in the eastern Pacific basin during the early to middle part of next week," according to the National Hurricane Center.

‼️Things can evolve quickly in the tropics this time of year and in the last 24 hours, we now have Tropical Storm Nadine...
10/19/2024

‼️Things can evolve quickly in the tropics this time of year and in the last 24 hours, we now have Tropical Storm Nadine and Hurricane Oscar in the Atlantic Basin ‼️

Tropical Storm Nadine has just made landfall in Belize, near Belize City, with 60 mph winds. If Nadine had another 24 hours over water, she likely would have blown up into a strong hurricane, but time ran out... Crazy enough, the remnants of Nadine, "have a high chance of reforming in the eastern Pacific basin during the early to middle part of next week," according to the National Hurricane Center. This is something we will continue to watch for.

Hurricane Oscar is TINYYYY - not only tiny as a whole, but Oscar only has a 3 nautical mile sized eye/center! 🤯 Oscar is expected to move across the southern Bahamas and on/near the northern Cuba coast before turning sharply northeastward to cross the Bahamas again before heading out to sea. We will continue to monitor Hurricane Oscar as he moves through the Bahamas and out to sea.

Do you love cold and snow or mild conditions? NOAA's 2024-2025 Winter Forecast was released yesterday and it's all about...
10/18/2024

Do you love cold and snow or mild conditions?

NOAA's 2024-2025 Winter Forecast was released yesterday and it's all about La Niña. During La Niña, waters off the Pacific coast are colder; so what do La Niña winters typically lead to?

A typical La Niña winter in the U.S. leads to higher chances for cold and snow in the northwestern part of the Country while South and Southeastern to Mid-Atlantic states usually experience more dry conditions with above normal temperatures.

This year's winter forecast from NOAA is right in line with this thinking. This doesn't mean cold and snow will not be seen in the South to Mid-Atlantic, but it does mean winter storm chances may be less likely than normal. This forecast will be updated in late November by NOAA.

For the most part, the Atlantic Basin is fairly quiet of any immediate development of tropical activity and the United S...
10/18/2024

For the most part, the Atlantic Basin is fairly quiet of any immediate development of tropical activity and the United States should remain void of threats for now.

The disorganized showers and thunderstorms north of Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands is not expected to develop into anything more than that as it moves westward to west-northwestward at around 20 mph before nearing Hispaniola and the southeastern Bahamas this weekend. It then is expected to encounter strong upper-level winds by early next week meaning it will likely remain a non-threat.

The area of low pressure in the northwestern Caribbean Sea in is slowly becoming better organized with the NHC saying the "environmental conditions appear conducive for some
additional development over the next day or so, and a short-lived
tropical depression or storm could form before the system moves
inland over Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico on Saturday." The good news is that it will run out of time over the warm Caribbean waters to develop much more than that. The primary threat will be locally heavy rainfall across portions of Central America and southern Mexico through the weekend.

10/16/2024

I initially created this page to solely focus on the meteorology, modeling, forecasts, and impacts of Hurricane Milton. While the recovery efforts surrounding Hurricane Milton are still ongoing, I have moved forward with the plan of expanding this page to cover all weather from hurricanes and tornadoes to blizzards and ice storms.

If you are interested in staying up to date on the weather and severe storms throughout the country, please remain in the group, now 'Isobar Insights,' and invite your friends. After all, winter is quickly approaching, and there will be a lot to follow along with focused on upcoming cold, ice, and snow! ❄️

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