AQWx Forecasting

AQWx Forecasting Official Forecasting page of Anthony Quintilian. Certified Weather Forecaster, PSU25. Severe weather forecaster for Tornado Tacklers.

🌩️STRONG STORMS AND FLOODING POSSIBLE🌩️Forecast: It's going to be a busy few days in the northeast, with rain starting e...
06/22/2026

🌩️STRONG STORMS AND FLOODING POSSIBLE🌩️

Forecast: It's going to be a busy few days in the northeast, with rain starting early this afternoon and going through tomorrow night. Rain should start in the northern regions before coverage grows in the evening, with thunderstorms likely after 4pm. Some of these thunderstorms could be strong to severe and even a spin up tornado is possible. Tomorrow, rounds of showers and thunderstorms also expected

Hazards: Extreme downpours that could lead to flash flooding, vivid lightning, winds of 50-60mph, and even a small tornado threat.

Attached is:
Image 1- Severe threat. A Level 2/5 (yellow) and 1/5 (green). Main risk will be strong winds but a tornado is possible
Image 2- Tornado threat. A very small but nonzero chance of a quick spin up tornado after 4pm
Image 3- Flash Flood risk. Level 2/4 in yellow, 1/4 in green.
Image 4- Flood Watch issued for most of I-95 cooridor
Image 5- Total rain possible. Some areas expected to get 2+ inches (purple) and most of region over an inch, depending on where strongest storms set up
Image 6 - Timing and location of storms

06/18/2026

Fathers Day Weekend Forecast- what a treat!

Friday - 9/10🌤️💨Mostly sunny, temps in low 80s with low humidity and a bit breezy. No chance of rain

Saturday - 9/10 🌤️💨 Mostly sunny, temps in low 80s, low humidity, a little windy. No chance of rain

Sunday - 9/10 🌤️ A few clouds, temps in low 80s, low humidity and a light breeze. An extremely small chance of an evening sprinkle

It doesn't get much better than this!

⚡️SEVERE WEATHER SUNDAY⚡️After a warm, sunny start to the day, there is the chance at some severe storms tonight. Here's...
06/14/2026

⚡️SEVERE WEATHER SUNDAY⚡️

After a warm, sunny start to the day, there is the chance at some severe storms tonight. Here's the rundown:

First Image: Storms are expected to start up later this afternoon/evening. Timing seems to be after 4pm, with most of the severe potential 6-11pm

Second Image: Overall severe risk level 2/5 for most of the region. Not everyone will be getting a severe storm but those who do will pack a punch with lightning and downpours

Third Image: Wind risk - areas in red are most susceptible to winds of 50-70mph with any thunderstorms that form.

Fourth Image: Tornado risk - there is a very small chance of a quick spin up tornado in the green shaded area. No strong tornadoes expected, and overall not expecting much

Fifth Image: Hail risk - brown shaded region has the chance at pea to penny sized hail, but also a very small risk

06/11/2026

Weekend Weather update!
Severe weather possible Friday and Sunday.. Let's break it down:

Friday: 7/10⛅️🌩️Partly cloudy with temps in low 90s and humid. Afternoon/evening thunderstorms possible (level 2/5 severe risk), with some severe including 60+mph winds, torrential downpours and vivid lightning. Not everyone gets a storm, but those who do will get quite a show

Saturday: 9/10 ☀️Partly cloudy, light breeze but sunny all day. High temps in the upper 80s and a bit humid, but definitely the best day of the weekend

Sunday: 7/10🌤️🌩️ Partly cloudy for most of the day, with temps in the mid 80s and humid. There is a risk (2/5) for severe weather in the later afternoon/evening, and this one needs to be monitored for a tornado threat. More info as we get closer

⚡️Severe Weather Thursday⚡️Today - temps will reach mid 90s with soupy conditions and high humidity. Later this afternoo...
06/11/2026

⚡️Severe Weather Thursday⚡️

Today - temps will reach mid 90s with soupy conditions and high humidity. Later this afternoon/evening (after 4pm), storms should start to pop up, with the strongest from 6-9pm.

First image: Level 2/5 severe risk for the entire area

Second Image: Damaging wind threat. The area in red has the best chance of seeing winds over 60mph, while yellow has less confidence, but still could be scattered severe storms

Third Image: Timing of storms. The main threats will be winds of 60mph, lots of lightning and heavy downpours. Not everyone sees a storm, but those who do will have quite a show

‼️⚡️SEVERE WEATHER UPGRADE- LEVEL 3 ENHANCED‼️⚡️THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS INCREASTED THE SEVERE WEATHER EVENT TODA...
06/06/2026

‼️⚡️SEVERE WEATHER UPGRADE- LEVEL 3 ENHANCED‼️⚡️

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS INCREASTED THE SEVERE WEATHER EVENT TODAY TO A LEVEL 3. DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS UP TO 85MPH POSSIBLE.

The most likely area of destructive winds is in the pink region, but anywhere in the dashed lines is susceptible. This could be a life threatening situation - if you know anyone in the dashed region, please let them know.

Timing of winds is:
Harrisburg: 5pm
Allentown: 5-6pm
Easton: 6-7pm
Philly: 6-7pm
Trenton: 7-8pm
New Brunswick: 730-830pm
NYC: 8-9pm
Washington DC/Baltimore: 8-9pm
NJ Coast: 9-10pm

Additionally, a small tornado threat is also present (green area second pic), as well as extreme lightning and flash flooding for all storms

PLEASE STAY WEATHER AWARE TONIGHT

⚡️⛈️SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE⚡️⛈️Timing of today's severe storms:Today's severe threat is going to be strongest north and we...
06/06/2026

⚡️⛈️SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE⚡️⛈️
Timing of today's severe storms:

Today's severe threat is going to be strongest north and west of the i95 corridor (red area). Most of the day will be sun/clouds with temps near 90. Storms will start to pop up after 6pm, and at 7pm could start to reach severe strength. 8-10pm looks like the bulk of the severe event, with storms losing intensity as they get closer to the shore. Most of the severe threat will wind down after midnight.

Threats are: winds up to 70mph, small hail, vivid lightning and downpours. Not everyone will reach severe strength, but most should get at least some form of storm this evening.

⚡️🌩️SEVERE WEATHER SATURDAY⚡️🌩️Line of strong severe storms tomorrow after 4pm. Here is a rundown on tomorrow night's se...
06/05/2026

⚡️🌩️SEVERE WEATHER SATURDAY⚡️🌩️
Line of strong severe storms tomorrow after 4pm.

Here is a rundown on tomorrow night's severe weather for the tristate area:

First image: Severe hazards. A level 2/5 (yellow) for most of the region with a level 1/5 (green) as well. The main concern will be winds of over 60mph. The likeliest area for this is in red area, with yellow being possible and brown being scattered. There is also a small hail threat (brown) for northern portions of the area

Second image: Timing of storms. Sun most of the day, but first storms should start around 5pm, with strongest storms between 6-11pm from west to east

Third Image: Wind gusts. There will be swaths of 60+ mph winds as a squall line will likely form and pull through the area. These will be downburst wind gust, which will be fast and intense

Fourth Image: Lightning. A big concern will be lightning, as the very unstable atmosphere will make for a lot of cloud to ground strikes

Fifth Image: Nerdy atmosphere look. This data supports severe wind gusts, with an "inverted V" showing up between the dew point and temperature spread, meaning very strong downburst winds. Additionally, wind profiles are very straight, and "DCAPE" levels (bottom left) are extreme (anything over 500 is high). We also have high "lapse rates," supporting the chance for small hail.

Not everyone will get severe storms, but likely most of the area will get rain, and a large area will have lightning. Details will be updated tomorrow.

06/04/2026

Weekend forecast June 5-7
Summer weather! Here is each day's ratings and expectations:

Friday- 9/10☀️. Sunny skies, high temps in the low 90s (80s at coast), with a light breeze and a bit humid, but not unbearable. Humidity increases through the night

Saturday- 7/10☀️⛈️🥵. Sun most of the day and some storms in evening. The high temps will be in the mid 90s and very humid, and evening will bring some thunderstorms, a few severe. Updates may be necessary on timing, but thinking is after 7pm. Not a washout

Sunday- 8/10🌤️🌦️. Sticky morning, then times of clouds and sun, not as humid with high temps in mid 80s. There is a chance of a passing shower in the afternoon/evening, but not a washout

05/29/2026

Weekend Forecast - improvement for sure! Here are my thoughts/ratings for the NJ/NYC area:

Friday: ☀️9/10. Some clouds, but high temps will be in mid 70s with low humidity. Tonight, more clouds and maybe a passing shower

Saturday: 🌤️💨7/10. While it'll be dry and mostly sunny, it'll be cool and windy. High temps will be in the low/mid 60s, with winds gusting to 40-45 mph to start the day, and should taper off by evening. It'll feel a bit chilly for the end of May

Sunday: ☀️9/10. No complaints- Sunny, high temps in the upper 70s, but possibly a bit cooler at the shore (mid 60s), and a little breezy in the evening.

Best day? Sunday for sure!

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Westwood, NJ

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