07/04/2026
This is no joke. If you currently have money in the market, it’s worth staying alert.
The situation around Iran could have a strong impact on the oil market. If attacks on energy infrastructure occur, oil prices could rise even further. And when oil goes up, almost everything becomes more expensive: fuel, transport, food, production, and everyday expenses.
That, in turn, can push inflation higher again. If inflation comes back stronger, the U.S. central bank may not only delay rate cuts, but could even be forced to raise interest rates further. That would be another blow to the markets, credit, and the overall economy.
We’re already seeing signs of nervousness. Stocks are falling, capital is flowing out of riskier assets, and large players are increasingly moving into cash. The pattern looks very similar to what the world has seen before major crises: rising oil, inflation pressure, high interest rates, and a weakening market.
This doesn’t mean a crash is certain. But the warning signals are becoming more serious.