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Casey's Weather Page Follow this page for weather updates for South MS / South AL

15/07/2025

7/15/25 4pm update: An area of low pressure is currently moving west across the northern Florida peninsula. This low will track westward into the northeastern Gulf by late tonight or early Wednesday. Conditions are generally favorable for slow development (if the system remains offshore) and a tropical depression could form by the middle to late part of this week as it moves west across the northern Gulf. The formation chance through 48 hours is now 40% (medium) and the formation chance through 7 days is 40% (medium). Regardless of whether or not we get a named system, we can expect heavy rainfall which could lead to flooding concerns by the middle to latter part of the week. In addition, the rip current risk quickly increases to a High Risk by Thursday.

Continue to monitor updates from us, the National Hurricane Center, and other reliable sources. Take time to look through your hurricane season preparedness kit and stock up on any items that you're missing. Also, make sure to bookmark our local hurricane season one-stop shop: www.weather.gov/srh/tropical?office=mob

15/07/2025

Latest Tuesday afternoon 18z spaghetti models for Invest 93 on tropicaltidbits.com. Shifted north some based on current center placement. This path would likely remain a rainmaker as it treks westbound not giving much time over water. Confidence increases in the AM after center passes through the state. If it reforms south then chances increase for Dexter. NHC keeping development chances at 40%. www.spaghettimodels.com

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15/07/2025

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Starting to get some of the first tropical model tracks in for 93L. These will likely shift until we get a well defined center. Regardless, chances of a tropical system tracking along the Gulf coast are increasing. Heavy rain will be the biggest threat, too soon to know where the bullseye for heavy rain will be. Time frame to watch for Louisiana, South MS is Wed-Fri for any potential impacts. 8:17 PM 7.14.25

Just a little summertime tropical weather post..
29/06/2025

Just a little summertime tropical weather post..

24/06/2025

⚠️⛈Potential of severe storms late Wednesday.

24/06/2025
23/06/2025

⚠️The latest forecast calls for Wednesday June 25th to be the hottest day of the week with daytime highs lifting up to a range of 95 to 100 up along and north of I-10 to 90 to 94 along the beaches and barrier islands. Considering dewpoints in the lower to mid 70's, the feel like temperatures could soar to an oppressive 107 to 112 degrees. Heat Advisories May Be Required. https://www.weather.gov/safety/heat

10/06/2025
09/06/2025
03/05/2025
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTEDSevere Thunderstorm WarningNational Weather Service Mobile AL644 PM CDT Sat Mar ...
15/03/2025

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Mobile AL
644 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Northwestern Mobile County in southwestern Alabama...
Southwestern Washington County in southwestern Alabama...
George County in southeastern Mississippi...
Southeastern Greene County in southeastern Mississippi...

* Until 730 PM CDT.

* At 644 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 10 miles northwest
of Wade, or 13 miles south of Lucedale, moving northeast at 55 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage
to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
Leakesville and Lucedale.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 PM CDT for southwestern
Alabama...and southeastern Mississippi.

&&

LAT...LON 3130 8854 3116 8818 3074 8849 3073 8881
TIME...MOT...LOC 2344Z 212DEG 47KT 3074 8868

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

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