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Unreal UFO supercell at Sunset two nights ago in Northeastern New Mexico. Career storm structure that I am beyond gratef...
09/06/2025

Unreal UFO supercell at Sunset two nights ago in Northeastern New Mexico. Career storm structure that I am beyond grateful to have witnessed!

I have snapped the best pictures of my career on this trip and we are only half way through! Many more pictures to come!

A tornado ropes out over Akron, Colorado on May 23rd, 2025. This was tornado 2 of 3 or 4 that we saw that day. We are 2 ...
28/05/2025

A tornado ropes out over Akron, Colorado on May 23rd, 2025. This was tornado 2 of 3 or 4 that we saw that day.

We are 2 weeks through ICECHIP and it has been an incredible experience. Being able to contribute to the science of meteorology is incredible, and being able to see amazing storms and tornadoes at the same time is even better. Plenty of pictures to come!

MORE SIGNIFICANT SEVERE STORMS TODAY:The SPC has issued a level 4/5 “moderate” risk for areas of southern IL today. This...
16/05/2025

MORE SIGNIFICANT SEVERE STORMS TODAY:
The SPC has issued a level 4/5 “moderate” risk for areas of southern IL today. This is a wind and hail driven moderate risk, with 15% hatched tornado probabilities and 45% hatched hail probabilities for southern IL into KY.

I have included hrrr forecast frames simulating where storms could be later today as a proxy for what could happen later today. It won’t play out exactly this way, but it’s a good indicator.

Storms will fire a little after noon and track across Central/Southern IL. Storms will carry all hazards with them as they move through the region. Storms will be out of IL by 9pm. Everyone stay safe!

SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER TODAYToday (Thursday, 5/15/25) will feature significant severe thunderstorms in the northern ...
15/05/2025

SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER TODAY

Today (Thursday, 5/15/25) will feature significant severe thunderstorms in the northern Illinois and Chicago area. Tornadoes and severe wind gusts will be possible, but giant hail will be the biggest threat from these storms. A billion dollar severe weather disaster is possible in Chicago today.

Severe storms will initiate around 5-6 pm to the west of Chicago. Storms will quickly intensify in a highly favorable environment as they enter the Chicago metro. Storms will exit the Chicago area around 8-9 pm.

Friday will also feature significant severe thunderstorms in central and southern IL. All severe hazards will be possible from storms both today and tomorrow.

A tornado watch will likely be issued at some point this afternoon ahead of storm development. Keep an eye on my story for quick local updates. Stay safe today!

MARCH-APRIL TORNADO OUTLOOK VERIFICATION: In early March, I created and posted a tornado activity outlook for the March-...
01/05/2025

MARCH-APRIL TORNADO OUTLOOK VERIFICATION:

In early March, I created and posted a tornado activity outlook for the March-April timeframe. Using Climatological telleconnections, ocean sea surface temps, and my own long range synoptic forecast I came to the conclusion that a very active March and April were likely in the areas highlighted in red, above average tornado activity was likely in orange, and below average tornado activity was likely in blue. To verify the forecast, I overlayed tornado reports from March and April, and re-drew my forecast contours over the map. The lines of my redraw are not exact to the original map, but they are very close. The result is what you see on the first image.

This was one of, if not the best long range forecasts I have ever made. I highlighted the Midwest/Ohio valley and the Deep South as being at risk for large tornado outbreaks. Several high end severe outlooks and high end severe setups occurred in these areas.

Notably, I left out May and June from this outlook. This is because from March it is very hard to forecast tornado activity for these months. I will try to create a May and June forecast soon here, but graduation from college is coming up soon and it’s crunch time in my classes. I will be graduating from NIU with a meteorology degree in about a week or so.

Thank you for your continued support on this page. I am so happy to be able to supply accurate local forecasts to y’all. This page is so much fun to run, and has played a huge part in my growth as a meteorologist and a storm chaser. I will be partaking in a field campaign called ICECHIP to study hail and hail producing storms this spring and summer in the plains. Follow along by following the instagram page.

LOCALIZED TORNADO OUTBREAK POSSIBLE TODAY Several tornadoes are possible this afternoon in northern IL. A few tornadoes ...
19/03/2025

LOCALIZED TORNADO OUTBREAK POSSIBLE TODAY

Several tornadoes are possible this afternoon in northern IL. A few tornadoes may be strong potentially. Storms will also be capable of severe hail and wind, and hail will be the main threat north of I-88. Simulated radar is included in the post. Everyone stay safe today! I will be storm chasing this afternoon

Localized tornado outbreak appears possible tomorrow from noon to about 8 pm. Updates will constantly be posted on my st...
19/03/2025

Localized tornado outbreak appears possible tomorrow from noon to about 8 pm. Updates will constantly be posted on my story, so watch my story to remain up to date. More updates to come!

SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER TODAY:A level 4/5 moderate risk has been issued for a massive chunk of the Midwest. Several s...
15/03/2025

SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER TODAY:

A level 4/5 moderate risk has been issued for a massive chunk of the Midwest. Several significant tornadoes are expected in the southern part of the state, with isolated tornadoes possible across the entire state. A level 5/5 high risk was considered, but ultimately differed until later. It still may be issued in the last outlook of the night, buts it’s unlikely. Nonetheless, this will be a significant, impactful setup.

Non-thunderstorm wind gusts ahead and behind this line of storms will be very strong, prompting high wind warnings and wind advisories across the state. I am currently positioned ahead of these storms, preparing to chase. I will also be chasing in Dixie alley tomorrow, where a potentially generational tornado outbreak may occur. Sorry for the shorter post. Simulated radar is included in the post, as well as a rough map of expected arrival time of storms and associated hazards. Everyone have a way to get warnings tonight! Dangerous night ahead for many.

Severe weather incoming on Friday! Updates to come, but tornadoes appear likely Friday night across Illinois
11/03/2025

Severe weather incoming on Friday! Updates to come, but tornadoes appear likely Friday night across Illinois

SPRING TORNADO ACTIVITY FORECAST: Meteorological spring is here, and the question on many weather-savvy minds is “how ac...
01/03/2025

SPRING TORNADO ACTIVITY FORECAST:
Meteorological spring is here, and the question on many weather-savvy minds is “how active will this spring be for tornadoes?”. After taking into account climatological data, relevant global circulations, and thoughts of fellow meteorologists, here is my tornado activity forecast for the April-March timeframe.

MARCH: I expect March to end up near or above average in tornado count across the country, with hotspots of tornado activity in the South and mid-Mississippi valley. An outbreak of tornadoes may be possible as well. March may start off slow and colder in some areas, but I expect a ramp up in tornado activity around mid-late March. An increase in troughing in the west would lead to storm chances increasing, especially for the south. Locally in IL, we would see a cold side and a warm side of the system, with the cold side potentially bringing snow. The overall storm track (track of the low pressure system) should change to being more northerly, which would set up complicated forecasts for snow on the cold side and severe weather on the south side. Northern IL may yet see a few more snows before April, where I expect a massive increase in activity.

APRIL: I expect this April to be very active, likely ending up above average in tornado count. April is typically the sweet spot for powerful synoptic scale systems (troughs and ridges) and abundant moisture from the gulf. Coupled with a shift of what is known as the MJO (Madden-Julian oscillation, a global oscillation that has big effects on our severe weather), the stage could be set for big time tornado outbreaks in April. The hotspots of tornado activity would be focused on the Midwest/Ohio valley, as well as the south. April has been particularly active over the last couple years, and I expect that trend to continue. Be on the lookout for multiple opportunities for tornadoes across the state this April.

One massive driver for tornado activity is ENSO (El Nino Southern Oscillation), and this year we expect a transition from La Niña to Neutral conditions, which typically increases tornado and severe activity in the Midwest. Be sure to stay safe this spring!

Hurricane Helene has left a confirmed 116 people dead and thousands missing or unaccounted for in its wake from Florida ...
30/09/2024

Hurricane Helene has left a confirmed 116 people dead and thousands missing or unaccounted for in its wake from Florida up to the Carolinas and Virginia. This hurricane will be etched in the record books with the incomprehensible amount of destruction it caused. The hurricane was devastating enough by itself, but tropical moisture soaked the southeast for up to two days prior to landfall. This rain saturated the ground and made it easier for trees to topple, and for flooding to occur. Intense debris flows rocked Appalachian communities, rivers flowed out of their banks and washed away roads- even entire towns, and floodwaters reclaimed entire towns as ancient floodplains came back to life.

States like North Carolina and Florida have been absolutely devastated by this storm. If you can find the time, please consider donating to relief efforts for the area. Check up on loved ones in affected areas.

This hurricane was so immense and anomalous due to a rare interaction with an upper level low that was sinking south, drawing ever closer to the hurricane. The cut off upper level low, combined with hot Gulf of Mexico waters set the state for extremely widespread impacts. Another tropical system will make its way to the gulf in the coming days where more warm waters await. There is a non-zero chance it could bring impacts to the same areas Helene affected.

Back on the night of August 27th, high based, elevated storms fired up and spit out countless tall, sprawling lightning ...
17/09/2024

Back on the night of August 27th, high based, elevated storms fired up and spit out countless tall, sprawling lightning bolts across the northern IL skies. I stayed up until 2am shooting beautiful lightning from multiple rounds of storms. These are some of the best lightning shots I’ve ever snagged. None of these pictures are stacked, meaning every lighting bolt occurred within the 20-25 second exposure.

Storms will return and bring some much needed rain to parts of IL starting late this week, and continuing into next week. We aren’t entering a super rainy pattern, so storm chances and rain will be isolated for most areas. Severe weather may occur in Iowa/Minnesota, and may migrate to IL. I will keep an eye on the pattern and report on any severe weather chances. Storm/rain chances will increase as October nears. shot on

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