
05/09/2025
STILL CRAZY AFTER ALL THESE YEARS: State and local Republicans gathered in Barrington last week to enthusiastically smile and pose for photos with Donald Trump Jr at a private event he headlined, seemingly oblivious to the fact that it's been over a decade since a Republican has won a statewide election in Illinois.
Publicly, Illinois Republican Party leaders are shrugging off a sluggish start to their 2026 election efforts with an incomplete roster of largely lackluster candidates.
Things are so bleak for the party's attempts at maintaining any relevance whatsoever, some Illinois Republicans are even warming to the idea of a candidate β who lost his race by over 12 points in 2022 β to just try again.
But with the Illinois State Fair and Labor Day both in the rear-view mirror, Republicans are becoming increasingly less likely to turn the tide, despite any spin intended to prevent candidates, volunteers and voters from sitting 2026 out.
And while the November 2026 midterm elections are over a year away, Illinois primary elections are March 17, leaving little time to right the ship that hasn't seen a statewide Republican victory since Bruce Rauner defeated Democrat Pat Quinn in 2014 for governor.
With no candidates yet announced for comptroller or treasurer, Illinois GOP chair Kathy Salvi maintains Republicans have ample time to recruit candidates that she says will lead to βa lot of good Republican victories in 2026.β
But Salvi's spin is less comforting coming from a state party chair facing rumors from inside her party of her intention to resign well before the March primary.
The field of announced candidates is so uninspiring that even failed 2022 GOP nominee for governor, Darren Bailey, is seriously considering another run, either at the top of the ticket, or as Lieutenant Governor for Palatine Township Highway Commissioner and Cook County GOP chair, Aaron Del Mar.
A Bailey-Del Mar ticket would be a do-over for both men: Del Mar, running with Gary Rabine, came in fourth out of six candidates in the 2022 GOP primary for Lieutenant Governor with 6.5% of the vote, while Bailey won the party's nomination for governor, only to be trounced in the general election by Gov JB Pritzker, losing by more than 12 points.
Given the significant duration since their last statewide win, Illinois Republicans seem to have learned little, if anything, nor do they appear remotely interested to understand why Illinois voters can't stomach voting for their candidates.
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It shouldn't come as a surprise that the party's last statewide election win was in 2014, some seven months before Donald Trump rode down an escalator at Trump Tower to call Mexican immigrants criminals and rapists while announcing his candidacy for presidency.
In that time since, Illinois Republicans ignored all the flashing red warning signs of Trump's toxicity with voters in a state where roughly 75% of its population is urban and suburban.
Instead, with every election cycle that passes, the party is consistently plagued with its loud MAGA base insisting those losses are because candidates aren't MAGA enough for voters, moving the party even further to the right, with absolutely expected results.
Not surprising, 2026 is shaping up to be yet another election cycle where the MAGA wing dominates the narrative, forcing RINOs ("Republicans In Name Only") to keep quiet or just leave politics (or the state) altogether.
But MAGA Republicans in Illinois have a proven track record over the last decade of fooling themselves, and any remaining moderates try to put lipstick on that political pig or just do their best to ignore the orange elephant in the White House altogether.
While acknowledging Trump's toxicity, particularly with women and suburban voters, Salvi "urged party members not to publicize their differences with the president," according to a Chicago Tribune article highlighting infighting within the party.
Southwest suburban state senator John Curran told the Chicago Tribune βenthusiasm that the Republican base has for President Trump is a huge help here in Illinois.β
And party leaders are quick to repeat a talking point about a perceived improvement in Illinois for Trump in 2024, when he lost by less than ten percentage points, over 2016 and 2020 when he lost by 17 points. In reality, Trump received a mere 2,200 more votes in 2024 than in 2020, as Kamala Harris in 2024 underperformed Joe Biden's 2020 total by nearly 410,000 votes.
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The aftermath of Trump's 2016 election for Illinois GOP was swift and expected, particularly in the historically Republican collar counties of Chicago.
Will County Democrats won big in 2018, winning every county-wide office and flipping the Republican-led county board.
Democrats in DuPage County have seen even bigger gains in the years since 2016 where, earlier this year, Republicans lost 49 of 49 partisan elections under the leadership of county GOP chair Kevin Coyne.
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Given the party's refusal to come to terms with the reality of Trump's unpopularity with Illinois voters, the Chicago Tribune's Editorial Board asked if Republicans will be able to "find a reasonable candidate for governor this time around?"
Bailey has yet to officially announce a decision, as he and Del Mar are still discussing a possible ticket together, with the Illinoize reporting a source told the outlet an initial meeting between the two "went well", and they both posed for a photo together with Don Jr at the Barrington event.
DuPage County Sheriff James Mendrick was first to announce he was seeking the gubernatorial nomination, already selecting Aurora businessman Robert Renteria as his running mate.
Ted Dabrowski, a conservative activist from Wilmette, has yet to make an official announcement, but "sure looks like a man running for the stateβs highest office," according to the Daily Herald, having created a campaign committee, filing paperwork with the Illinois State Board of Elections and loaning the campaign $250,100. He also recently resigned from Wirepoints, a right-wing Illinois political think tank that hasn't been able to accomplish much of anything for the Illinois GOP.
While Dabrowski may position himself as a moderate, the Tribune editorial board called him a "lightning rod" who would "have to completely reinvent himself as a bridge builder"; despite focusing less on social issues than Bailey, he will likely receive criticism for being a member of the anti-LGBTQ+ group New Trier Neighbors and for previously aligning with the Naperville-based anti-LGBTQ+ hate group founded by Shannon Adcock, Awake Illinois.
Finally, Lake Forest businessman Joseph Severino is ruffling feathers on social media β particularly in Will County β for regularly confronting behavior from members of his party he considers hypocritical.
Follow Will County Clown Car throughout the 2026 election season for complete coverage of the Illinois GOP circus.
*** SOURCES ***
"Illinois Republicans rally around President Donald Trump, but internal infighting continues"
Rick Pearson/Chicago Tribune, 8/14/25
https://www.chicagotribune.com/2025/08/14/illinois-republicans-rally-around-president-donald-trump-but-internal-infighting-continues/
"Editorial: For 2026, Illinois GOP must find a commonsense candidate"
Editorial Board/Chicago Tribune, 9/2/25
https://www.chicagotribune.com/2025/09/02/illinois-republicans-governor-ilgop-2028/
"Bailey, Del Mar Meet, But No Agreement on Ticket"
Patrick Pfingsten/The Illinoize, 9/2/25
https://www.theillinoize.com/articles/bailey-delmar-meet-no-agreement
"Wilmette's Dabrowski preparing gubernatorial campaign"
Russell Lissau/Daily Herald, 9/2/25
https://www.dailyherald.com/20250902/illinois-state-politics/wilmettes-dabrowski-preparing-gubernatorial-campaign/