05/05/2023
Can EDCA Make the Philippines Another Ukraine?
EDCA will induce a proxy war and the Philippines will become another Ukraine. Already, the Australians and Japanese are joining the Americans in planning joint patrols of the West Philippine Sea. This is the beginning of the proxy war that will spill the blood of Filipinos, who have nothing to do with the US war against China.
The danger is, with people’s protests intensifying, the US may be forced to install clandestine bases without the knowledge of the people. Such activities were reported by media during the old days of Subic in American hands, wherein secret undersea missile silos were reportedly built in Subic Bay.
A killer-drone EDCA base can be easily installed secretly in a fully-fenced small lot. It can house a mini-runway for drones that can reach Taiwan from Cagayan-Isabela. In fact, some drones do not need a runway and can be launched vertically. The US however may not want the risk of having secret bases discovered by residents, as “walls have ears”. The US would rather pass through formal channels supported by existing mutual defense treaties, like EDCA, rather than resort to violations.
The pro-EDCA advocates argue that the Philippines urgently needs a defense against the bully tactics of China in the WPS, using lasers against the Philippine Coast Guard (PCG) and shooing away Filipino fishermen within Philippine territory, as legalized by the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS).
There are however options that do not have to risk a full-blown proxy war. The Vietnamese have regular water-canon skirmishes with China in the Paracel group of islands. The Philippines should learn lessons from the Vietnamese model, showing defiance against China on their own without US help. The problem is guts.
Will the Filipino forever fall on his knees against China, which was Duterte’s foreign policy? The more we show subservience, the more China will step on us. The Vietnamese succeeded in closing down a Chinese oil rig 200 nautical miles from Vietnam using water-cannon harassment and a nationwide boycott of Chinese imports. China realized they could not operate such a rig so close to Vietnam with massive opposition.
Will the Filipino die for the cause of the Americans, who look at the Philippines as a pawn for their war against China?