Old Man Ponderings

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Old Man Ponderings I am fully independent and a bit curmudgeonly. I utilize statistical methods to discover truth, probabilities, dispel myths and predict future events. Truth is.

I do not care about fanciful stories created in the media but truth. Data often leads to the truth, and so shall we! Politics, tribes and affiliations are never relevant when searching for the truth. We hope to educate along the way but agreement with our conclusions is not our goal. We analyze data utilizing years of quality based training and results orientation. We think myths, false interpretations and hidden agendas that permeate common thought are for lemmings and need to be discarded. From sports to politics to entertainment to health to climate change, myths and beliefs have evolved from opinions, non-comparative facts and hidden agendas. Once truth is realized, and delusion abandoned, progress for the betterment of all can be realized.

Time Blindnees is a load of BS.
01/10/2026

Time Blindnees is a load of BS.

For weeks, I’ve been mulling over the chapter you’re about to dive into. Should I be my unapologetically honest self, or slap a layer of sugar on my words to fit into the molasses-drenc…

28/09/2026

Did you know that science has proven that YOU are a 50th cousin, or less, to EVERYONE else on Earth? Yes everyone! So stop denigrating your cousins and start protecting them! We are all family.

Overcoming AI fear.
24/09/2026

Overcoming AI fear.

Explore the transformative power of AI and its potential to redefine society, offering solutions to pressing global challenges and advancing humanity.

22/09/2026

Since asked ....
Week 1: Saints +6.5, Broncos +2.5, Vikings +1.5, Giants +2.5, Commanders +5.5 Bucs +3.5 (4 Wins and 2 Losses)
Week 2: Saints +8.5, Raiders +7, Seahawks -4.5, Commanders +3.5 (3 Wins and 1 Loss)
Week 3: Dolphins +10.5, Falcons +6.5, Jets +6.5, Titans +3.0, Bears +3.5 plus a late add Ravens -3.5 (just realized they play the Cowboys in Rio so both teams are away)

My algorithm predominantly values defense with these factors being causal related to winning: offensive 2nd half possession time, penalties, offensive given up QB sacks, offensive yds per pass completion, pts given up, yds given up per rush attempt, pass yds per attempt given up.

I only play 5 point or better overlays to account for natural variation. Plus, you have to hit at 55% to cover the Sportsbook Vig. All explained before so if you don't understand don't play and good luck to others.

15/09/2026

Watching the politicians in DC today trying to figure out if AI is good or bad. Decided it’s the equivalent of watching a colony of ants trying to figure out if a golf ball is edible.

Have any of these knuckleheads ever created an algorithm? Watched someone create one? Or even know what one is, much less self learning AI? The lack of elected intelligence is amazing! 🤨

13/09/2026

If you ever think that AI is all knowing, every model picked the Rams to win by 3-5 points in Australia Thursday night. They lost by 20.😏

Such is life.

12/09/2026

I wonder how many people realize that 1.2 million Americans died of COVID-19 (think about that number compared to other tragedies) and if the vaccine had not been made available when it was the 1.2 million would have been closer to 4.2 million?

Also, 1 in 20 people (6%) who contracted COVID-19 resorted to unproven treatments like hydroxychloroquine or ivermectin instead of the vaccine.

Such is life, and credible scientific data derived truth, if we want to learn something.

11/09/2026

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