Cincinnati Weather Spot (2026)

20/02/2026

Thursday, Feb 19, 2026, 7:58PM: Good evening, Cincinnati Weather Spot. Apologies for the delay in posting, however between being under the weather and work being hectic, it has made for a difficult pursuit that would likely not include sleep.

As most of you are aware, we are expecting storms this evening. In fact, it’s already started raining at my house. Wind and hail are what I’m looking at right now, but there is some tornadic activity in Indiana. Stay weather aware and near your trusted weather outlet.

Storms will continue for a few hours, watches are likely. I’m not seeing much by way of instability but these storms have been going severe. I think outside of what was mentioned, the risk is on the low end but it’s not out of the realm of possibilities.

I’ll have a better forecast for this week and next, tomorrow!

[Bobby]

25/01/2026

Sunday, Jan 25, 2026, 9:52AM: How awesome to wake up to the snow on the ground this morning. I'm all bundled up inside today, and I hope you are too, unless you have to go out for something necessary or essential work. I've attached the latest snow emergency level map from data I found this morning below.

As a reminder of snow emergency levels...

Level 1/Yellow: Roadways are hazardous with blowing or drifting snow; caution is advised.

Level 2/Orange: Roadways are hazardous with blowing/drifting snow and ice; only essential travel is advised. Only those who feel it is necessary to drive should be out on the roadways.

Level 3/Red: All roadways are closed to non-emergency personnel. Stay off the roadways unless it is absolutely necessary to travel.

Have a good Sunday, and stay warm!

[Bobby]

25/01/2026

Saturday, Jan 24, 2026, 10:32PM: Before heading to bed for the evening, I wanted to give one last update on current snow emergency levels as snow is falling across our coverage area. THIS WILL CHANGE. Here is a current look across our coverage area.

As a reminder of snow emergency levels...

Level 1/Yellow: Roadways are hazardous with blowing or drifting snow; caution is advised.

Level 2/Orange: Roadways are hazardous with blowing/drifting snow and ice; only essential travel is advised. Only those who feel it is necessary to drive should be out on the roadways.

Level 3/Red: All roadways are closed to non-emergency personnel. Stay off the roadways unless it is absolutely necessary to travel.

Have a good evening, and stay warm!

[Bobby]

24/01/2026

Saturday, Jan 24, 5:46PM: Snow has begun falling, and while an update now isn't really necessary, it is for two specific reasons.

The first reason is because there is a spot of air that is pushing against the snow, making it slower to arrive. While the forecast remains the same, it's just taking a little bit longer to get here. If you haven't seen snow start falling, don't fret - it's still coming. Just taking a little bit longer to make its arrival. Snow IS falling in the atmosphere, it's just not making it ground level yet.

The second reason is because, as you know, this page has never really featured any graphics that were made specifically by or for Cincinnati Weather Spot. I was able to finally make my first graphic today - be nice, I'm still learning to make them, and they will get better as I get better. I did, though, want to share an updated map of our coverage area and the map of snowfall. It remains consistent with what I've said, and higher localized snowfall totals are possible. This graphic, though, is a "win" for me.

Happy Saturday!

[Bobby]

24/01/2026

Saturday, Jan 24, 2026, 2:31PM: Confidence is still continuing to grow with the post that was made last night as we continue to see models agree on the system that will be moving into our area in the next few hours, and throughout the night and tomorrow.

As we get closer and closer to this event and system, models are showing relatively low amounts of snow for our coverage are for Saturday afternoon. By midnight, the central and northern part of our area could see up to 2" of snow on the ground with more piling up down to the south. Snow is going to be slow to accumulate at first, but it won't stay that way for long. When you wake up by Sunday morning, though, it will be an entirely different view.

Sunday morning we could see anywhere from 4-8" of snow on the ground, with higher amounts in the southern part of our area. The models that I look at when putting out these posts show a wedge of warm air on the surface, which could produce some sleet and freezing rain. Along that line of warmer air aloft, that could produce some of the highest snowfall rates.

If the wintery mix sets up the way models are indicating it might, it will change snow totals. On the other side to that, if the snow continues, we will see what I forecasted yesterday to see. That doesn't change my perspective or my predicted snowfall totals, some areas could see totals on the lower end, and some areas could see totals on the higher end.

We continue to watch the system and will keep you updated with drastic changes, if needed. Attached to this post are current temperatures, and they will continue to drop.

Stay safe, and stay warm!

[Bobby]

24/01/2026

Friday, Jan 23, 2026, 9:01PM: Good evening, Cincinnati Weather Spot. As you know, one of the things that I have shared consistently before is that I would rather be late than be wrong. Make no mistake - every outlet has been talking about this storm coming, I just was waiting until I saw tonight's model runs to put out my thoughts, timing, and all of that fun stuff.

One thing that usually never happens is models agreeing. With this storm, however, models have typically been in agreement all along. Totals have varied a bit, we did see the system shift northward some, but models have been in agreement.

This system coming is should have huge snowflakes, and with huge snowflakes, that means they should pile up quickly as up to an inch of liquid gets drained out of the atmosphere. On a standard 10:1 model, in normal circumstances, that translates to 10" of snow. With the way that temperatures are trending with this system, I'm believing that rations in the 12:1 to 16:1 range are possible, meaning a foot to sixteen inches of snow could fall.

The "Kuchera" snowfall algorithm converts forecast precipitation (liquid equivalent) into snowfall using temperature profiles through the atmosphere, instead of assuming a fixed snow ratio. While both instances are good and we rely on them to forecast, the Kuchera model typically gives more realistic snowfall totals, especially when the snow is expected to be light/fluffy, which is what we are anticipating with this system. The moisture in the atmosphere and the temperature profile in the bottom mile or so of this storm (what is referred to as the 850mb layer), I'm relying heavily on the Kuchera for this system.

The two biggest questions here are around timing and when the system is going to hit our coverage area, and of course, totals. Lets start with the timing of the storm. Before we get into all of that, though, I want to give some guidance/information on the models and images you may see other folks share.

I've scoured the 18z run of the GFS model, the 00z run of the NAM (amongst previous runs of that model), and the latest 18Z run of the Euro model. They all remain consistent on the timing of the storm. It's going to enter Western Indiana, Northern Kentucky and Southwestern Ohio between 2:30 and 4. Models are pretty consistent that by 4PM, we should all have snow falling - with potentially 0.1 of accumulation. Once snow starts, where we may experience a brief timeframe where it's not snowing, it's going to be consistently snowing through Sunday evening.

Now.. totals. Our entire area is in for some nasty weather, but if you're like me and like snow, I'm welcoming it with open arms. There is a chance for isolated higher totals a little south of our coverage area, and you'll see that indicated on the images attached, but without any further ado...

I think our entire coverage area is going to see between 10-15" of snow throughout the next 2 days. I've attached model images to this post. The NAM is from the 00Z run, the GFS is from the 18Z run, and the Euro is from the 18Z run. You can see they are all agreeing.. mostly. The GFS showing 17" I think is on the high end, but anything is possible. I'm playing this a bit conservative as things can change.

If I have any updates, I will post them tomorrow and I'll have the weekly forecast on Sunday!

[Bobby]

12/01/2026

Sunday, Jan 11, 2026, 8:18PM: Good evening, everyone. What a whirlwind of a few weeks it has been. I messed up my back before Christmas and when folks have told me before "back problems are no fun" and I didn't believe them, I got to live it out in real life, in real time. They are indeed no fun.

Aside from that, today, I got to join my friend Meteorologist Nick Dunn in the WHIO studio's and got to pick his brain on some weather stuff. What an experience that was. Aside from Nick being one of the nicest, most genuine people I've ever met, the smarts that he brings to this craft is unmeasured. While we all know I'm still learning and have a lot to learn, Nick helped me understand things I didn't quite understand and answered the "dumb" (I say in quotes because folks say there is never a dumb question but.. I should've known what I asked) questions I had. Overall a great learning and worthwhile experience. Learned so much that's going to help me in the forecast this week.

That said, let's get into it...

Tonight, we're going to begin clearing up overnight and we start the day with partly cloudy skies on Monday. Monday morning will see the need for winter coats again as we start the morning relatively chilly. Monday afternoon appears to be very overcast and mild. We start to see a temperature increase, but that's not going to stick around long. High on Monday of 43°. Monday night, we fall back into party cloudy skies with more clouds as the night progresses. Low around 32°.

Tuesday brings some sun for us, but not much. Looking at models, and the call for "mostly sunny", I just don't see it more than 2-3 hours during the day. Going to stick with the mostly cloudy skies throughout the course of the day. High on Tuesday at 52°, with a low of 37°.

Here's where the forecast starts to get a bit tricky going into Wednesday-Saturday. Rain moves into the area, and because temperatures are going to be hovering around the 44° mark, it will stick to rain for a bit. As temperatures drop to near freezing, and probably after sunset, that rain will turn to show showers. I do have some confidence in that we will see snow showers, but it's still too early to determine amounts or anything of that nature. As temperatures drop throughout the day, they remain consistent overnight.

Thursday and Friday remain pretty status quo. It's going to be cold cloudy. Nothing really to write home about - lows in the upper teens to 20's, highs in the upper 20's to 30's. There is the potential for some scattered snow showers both days, but still too far out to tell if it will be anything worthwhile or the timing. Right now, Thursday morning and Friday evening look like potential times, but I'll have an update later this week on that.

Saturday and Sunday are just what I said about Thursday and Friday. Pretty status quo, nothing to write home about. Just breezy and cold.

I have seen some speculation of some snow coming this weekend and there has been some hype surrounding it. Nick and I had a great conversation about it earlier because right now, I'm just not buying into the mantra that there is going to be snow. Models are showing that snow is there, but there isn't a system to support it. Remember that when you see pages put out data on potential snow 7-10 days out, that you are putting trust into a computer predicting the future and that far out is a bit difficult. Additionally, as models run, folks should take into account the different models from the globe, the NWS data, the SPC data, and the consistency of the models agreeing AND the system that is there for dependable weather. One thing I've always thought was I'd rather be late than be wrong.

I will update the page as things happen and as models run throughout this week for snow in our area. Have a good week!

[Bobby]

22/12/2025

Sunday, Dec 21, 2025, 8:39PM: Good evening, everybody. I'm really excited for the New Year and everything to come with Cincinnati Weather Spot. This is a place where I find solace, and it's a calm in the storm and after everything shared previously, happy to be sitting down and sharing this weeks forecast with you. Unfortunately, and much to my sadness, a White Christmas is out of the picture and the chances of it are quite simply - none.

We start the week with cloudy skies, which will be around all day. The chance of scattered showers is present in the evening hours and overnight. Not a significant amount of rain, but the potential of showers is there. High of 47° with a low of 33°.

Tuesday starts off cloudy and with scattered shower changes. Temperatures remain pretty consistent with a little bit of a warmth. High near 55° and a low of 38°.

Christmas Eve starts cloudy for the daytime with showers moving into the area Wednesday night. Santa might get a little wet! Highs stick around in the 50's - near 54°. Temperatures overnight stay consistent, which solidifies the chances of snow on Christmas being none. Low of 37°.

Christmas Day is cloudy with some of that lingering rain hanging around the area. Temperatures continue to rise with a high near 62°. Showers remain possible throughout the day and into the evening, with a low on Christmas in the mid 50's - around 54°.

Friday and throughout the weekend, I'm not super confident on. My forecast is likely to change during the week, but want to throw out what I am currently seeing and if I need to change it or update anything, I can throughout the week.

Friday, temperatures are going to be in the high 50's, nearing 60. Models are disagreeing temperature wise, but what I can see is it's going to be between 59° and 62° for the high. Showers will likely still be in the area. We drop for the low in the mid 40's. The high, though, will be shortly after midnight and slowly drop all day.

Saturday will also likely be the same as Friday with the high for the day peaking after midnight and dropping consistently, but slow, throughout the day. Showers don't seem too prevalent throughout the day, but there is a possibility. The high of 55°, as mentioned, will be shortly after midnight and we drop throughout the day. Low in the mid 30's.

Sunday is a mostly cloudy day. Sunday should return us to a normal cycle where the high is during the day and not some random time overnight. Peaks of sunshine, but potential for some showers. High near 53°, with a low in the high 20's.

As mentioned, if I need to update the forecast this week, I will. If there is little reason for me to, I'll wish everyone a Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays now. I hope 2026 is the best year yet for you and yours!

Have a fantastic week.
[Bobby]

14/12/2025

Sunday, Dec 14, 2025, 11:29AM: Happy Sunday, Cincinnati Weather Spot. As the snow moved out of the area last night and some totals came in, I am happy I waited until the latest model rounds to put out my post. Our coverage area saw anywhere from 6.2" in Springboro, to 5.1" in Lebanon, to 4.9" at CVG Airport. Other areas included were Madeira at 4.8", Cherry Grove at 4.6. In Kentucky, Hebron saw 3.8", and Florence saw 4.9". Overall, a decent amount of snow for our area.

Behind the snow, though, arctic air moves in. Lows fall into single digits. The Bengals game today will likely feel like -4, with an actual air temperature around 8 degrees. With folks going back to school and work tomorrow, Monday will be brutally cold. The morning temperatures will be around 0 or 1, and the "feels like" temperatures will be below zero. Bundle up, it's going to be frigid.

This week brings the kind of weather that people get stuffy, and colds from. The changing of the temperature so rapidly, and the air outside brings some unwelcome visitors to our immune system. Make sure when you're going out, you bundle up when necessary and if you don't have to go outside, I wouldn't.

Today, conditions will be cloudy to sunny. Some very cold temperatures, wild chills will be -8 to 0 throughout the day. High 11°. Tonight, except frigid temperatures, low of -1°.

Monday, mostly sunny but still very cold. The afternoon feels like the mid-teens, with a high near 23°. Monday night shows partly cloudy skies, with a low of 15°.

Tuesday except a mixture of clouds and sunshine. Temperatures start to "warm up", with a high near 35°. Tuesday night, partly cloudy skies with a low around 31°.

Wednesday brings some shows to us, but temperatures continue on that upward trend. High around 42°. Wednesday night, the showers remain in the area, but scattered. Low of 37°.

Thursday has scattered showers still in our area, with mostly cloudy skies. Again, temperatures continue that upward trend. High near 55°. Thursday night, however, temperatures dip again - low around 25°.

Friday brings more cold temperatures. We drop back down to the 20's and 30's, with a high of 39°, and Friday night, dipping into the mid 20's - near 25°.

Saturday has the chance of bringing more showers in the morning, but partly cloudy skies in the afternoon. We jump back up in temperature to near 50°. Saturday night, temperatures dip again to around 29°.

Sunday shows a few more showers in the morning, then just lingering clouds in the afternoon. High of 42° during the day, with temperatures dipping to a low of 30° overnight.

Have a great week!
[Bobby]

13/12/2025

Saturday, Dec 13, 2025, 9:17AM: Good morning. As promised, I said I would have an update this morning and my update is that there isn't much of an update. The latest runs of the HRRR model indicate some higher snowfalls than the image I shared last night, but nothing to write home about - I am still well within my limits from what I posted last night.

Timing still appears to be on-par with what was mentioned last night, starting between noon and 2PM. It's going to get cold, friends. If you like snow, buckle up and enjoy it. If you don't, I'm sorry.. it's still coming! For your viewing pleasure, I've attached the 7AM run of the HRRR model showing snowfall predictions until 7AM Sunday morning.

Unless something considerably changes between now and snowfall time, which is highly unlikely, I'm going to let this one ride. I'll have an updated weekly forecast out by tomorrow evening.

Have a fantastic day!
[Bobby]

13/12/2025

Friday, Dec 12, 2025 7:51PM: While there have been numerous posts from me previously about revamping Cincinnati Weather Spot, and bringing it back, I've taken some time for reflection, and pulled my head out of where it didn't belong to realize that I don't have to have fancy graphics every time I make a post like my counterpart, Dan, at Dayton Weather Spot. The information is still valid, and I still have knowledge to share - so why not share it? Actions speak louder than words, but in the wise words of Patrick Ness, "it's not how we fall, it's how we get back up again."

I wanted to make a post previously, but didn't for numerous reasons. Models continually change and what was on the model this morning could've vastly changed to this evening. One thing I've learned from Dan is that we'd rather be late than be way wrong. That said, if you wanted snow, it's coming. While there is still 15-16 hours before snowfall starts, it's good to be prepared. I plan to have an updated timetable tomorrow morning, but for now, let's get into the nitty gritty.

The rest of the evening tonight should be dry with temperatures just north of freezing. On Saturday, we'll be in the 20's with another system dropping snow on us in the afternoon and into the early night. This system looks to start between noon and 2PM and should be out of our area between 9:30PM and 11:00PM. This system has the potential to drop 4-6" on most of our coverage area, with the southern part in Kentucky dropping between 2-4". I've added the latest HRRR model of snow fall to this post. If you wanted snow - we're going to get some snow.

Saturday night into Sunday is going to be unbearably cold. We could hit 0° in some spots, and on Sunday, we're struggling to hit and maintain 17°. Sunday night will get down to the frigid temperatures - I'm seeing 0°-1°. While there will be sunshine Sunday, it's going to be darn cold.

While I'm still figuring this out, I plan to have a more detailed weekly forecast out by Sunday. Thanks for being here, for following me, and for the patience. One of my favorite sayings is - keep your fork, the best is yet to come.. and that is oh so true.

[Bobby]

18/06/2025

Wednesday, June 18, 2025, 1:55PM: Here is the NOAA SPC outlook for today. Timing appears to be between 6PM and 11PM.

Intense downpours, strong winds and lightning are very likely. We could pick up a quick 0.5-1" rainfall.

[Bobby]

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