03/07/2025
Thursday will likely see a sharper trough pass New England, with a surface cold front moving across the region later in the day. This will likely provide the basis for another round of scattered showers and thunderstorms, especially later in the day. The front looks to cross New England through the afternoon hours, which will provide the basis for some storms to become stronger across southern and central New England.
Looking at the ingredients for severe weather, ample shear will be present with the cold front providing lift. Moisture will be in place ahead of the front, though it won’t exactly be off the charts. Instability is rather marginal and will be the biggest limiting factor. The greatest threat will be damaging straight-line winds. With a cold pool aloft and plenty of shear, large hail will also be possible. Without deep moisture in place, the threat of torrential rainfall and flash flooding will be lower.
The timing of the front will likely cross much of interior northern New England in the morning to early afternoon, before storms have a chance to really organize, so Vermont and northern New Hampshire will have the lowest thunderstorm threat. Southern New England will have the highest threat, however, storms will still be scattered in nature (rather than widespread), so not everyone will get one.
Temperatures will likely gradually rebuild Saturday and Sunday, with each day a notch warmer than the last. Dry weather looks to be in store for Saturday with high pressure overhead ahead of a system that will be over the Great Lakes. Timing on any showers for later in the weekend and early next week remains uncertain, but overall, typical summer weather looks to hold strong for the foreseeable future.
