Tristen Anderson Meteorology

25/06/2024

Good Morning Guys!

Many of you should be waking up/working to some heavy rain and thunder this morning as strong thunderstorms produce gusting winds pushing through Lower Michigan/Northern Indiana!

These storms will continue to push southward, bringing gusty winds, minimal hail, and frequent lightning. Stay safe and enjoy cooling off a bit after many days of extreme heat!

21/05/2024

There's a risk for severe weather over portions of North West Indiana over the evening hours tonight into early tomorrow morning.

Hazards: The main threat will be potential damaging winds. Some spotty small hail and a quick spinup tornado can't be ruled out.

Timing: 11PM to 3AM

Notes: I personally don't expect storms to be fairly strong as they cross into NW Indiana, but there should be a wind risk associated with a weakening swath of thunderstorms. With that said, the main risk for today's event is much further west into W IL into IA. I will be monitoring the environment as storms start to move across the Midwest.

Send a message to learn more

07/05/2024

Tornado threat looks to be increasing. The line of storms aren’t too severe right now, expect them to move on amid the main line that’s starting to fire off to the west.

*note, I did update the timing section of my previous post, check it out*

07/05/2024

Okay, lets break it down

There is an Enhanced Risk (3/5) for severe weather capable of tornadoes (some strong), potentially very large hail, and damaging wind gusts today.

*updated timing section per new model guidance and current environment forecasting*

Timing: Stroms are now firing across Eastern IL and starting to move into Western Indiana. More storms are expected to continue developing in IL and strengthen. They should move into the NW IN region around 20/21z (4-5).

Notes: As mentioned, tornadoes will be the main threat. NW IN looks to have a small corridor of enhanced vorticity. If storms can take hold of that, tornado chances will become more likely.

Also, there is a chance that a storm might not hit your area. Due to the discrete manner of these storms, they can become often hit-or-miss. Please keep an eye on the sky and listen to your local meteorologists!

As always, if you have any questions, please let me know! I will try to respond to them as soon as possible!!

*Had to cut this post short because FB glitched and deleted my previous draft*

07/05/2024

Finals week is here so sorry I’m lagging a bit behind. I will post an update real soon regarding the severe weather risk in Northern Indiana!

06/05/2024

Very dangerous day shaping out today.

28/04/2024

My heart goes out to all affected by the dangerous storms tonight. The real killer is not knowing when dangerous storms will materialize, and letting your guard down when you think that fail modes are winning in the short term. Yes, storms didn’t materialize the way we thought, but as we can all see, it looks like that may have well been on the “for the worse” side of the table. Nocturnal storms are killers and it is terrible to think what some of these towns will be looking like when the daylight breaks…

For now, here’s a photo of a possible tornadic feature (whether it be wall cloud or actual tornado, we don’t know yet) as it approached Okemah

01/04/2024

Although not related to the South Bend area, I will be chasing today’s severe weather event down here in southern Oklahoma! Very large hail, gusty winds, and potentially strong tornadoes forecasted for today!

28/02/2024

Unfortunately, the video won’t work as of tonight. I will continue to work on the back end of it in hopes to have something in prepared by the next event (which I don’t see for a little bit lol)

Severe tsm watch has been issued. While tornado threat is lower than before, it is not a zero threat!

Main threats are severe hail and severe wind!

28/02/2024

Currently trying to get a small video up to highlight the ongoing severe threat in IL.

In the meantime, if there are any questions, please fire away!!!

26/02/2024

2/26/24 Update:

There is a marginal severe risk for late-night hall across northern Indiana tonight. Not too concerned with any severe implications with tonight's weather. The timing will be late evening into the overnight hours.

Tomorrow:

There is a slight risk for our area.

What: Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms, associated with large hail (some hailstones could be up to 2 inches in diameter for our area), gusty winds, and a couple of tornadoes.

When: For the South Bend area, models are suggesting potential for prefrontal convection around 4-5pm, but the main severe weather is expected from the evening into the overnight hours Tuesday night.

Notes: It's not common for us to experience severe weather this early in the year, but it has been shown time and time again that Mother Nature doesn't care what time of year it is. While I don't believe it's going to be a banger of an event, if Mother Nature wants to be destructive, she will. Please make sure to have something to wake you up overnight in the event of a severe weather event!!! Please stay weather aware by following the Indiana Weather Network and US National Weather Service Northern Indiana!

25/02/2024

Hi Guys!!!

Hope everyone is doing well. While I would love to take this chance to talk about my current experiences down here in Norman, Oklahoma, we have some serious business to attend to regarding next week's weather!

There is currently a slight risk that spans from just south of the Missouri Bootheel, all the way through Illinois, and most of Indiana, stopping at Southern Michigan.

So what's going on?

- There is a trough (region of low pressure) that will bring up some unseasonably warm air to the region (enjoy it!!!). From there, the trough will start to eject. Closer to the surface, this will look like the classic cold front setup.

So what looks to be the main hazard?

-The main hazard looks to be damaging winds.
-We CAN NOT rule out tornadoes with this setup. Due to favorable thermodynamics, such as satisfactory moisture, hodographs that are in the realm of favorable for tornado development, and potential for surface-based cyclogenesis (a region of low pressure forming due to a cool thing called a shortwave, lowering pressure (ask me if you have more questions on it!)). The point is, the region that will most likely experience tornadoes, if any at all, will be on the western side of the Slight Risk, but we still can't rule it out for our area completely!

So when should we be expecting any severe weather?

- Late Tuesday Afternoon into the evening hours
- With time, the models will get better with timing!

Finally, I will always continue to update the South Bend area in any event regarding severe convective weather. With that said, as a college student, I've come to realize that I have little life outside of schoolwork (Yes I can thank my Calculus 3 class for that). I highly recommend everyone follow my friends at the Indiana Weather Network, and of course, make sure to follow the US National Weather Service Northern Indiana