Robert Rohloff KOTV Storm Tracker (2026)

26/04/2026

TORNADO WATCH ISSUED:

Tornado watch until midnight.

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 152
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
515 PM CDT Sun Apr 26 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northwest Arkansas
North Central and Northeast Oklahoma

* Effective this Sunday afternoon from 515 PM until Midnight CDT.

* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely

SUMMARY...Isolated severe thunderstorms are expected to develop
across north-central Oklahoma late this afternoon. These storms will
track east through the evening into northeast Oklahoma and far
northwest Arkansas. Supercells capable of producing tornadoes, a
couple of which could be strong, large to very large hail, and
damaging wind gusts are possible.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 95 statute miles
east and west of a line from 30 miles northwest of Bartlesville OK
to 20 miles south of Tulsa OK. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/
ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions

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23/04/2026

MULTI DAY SEVERE WEATHER EVENT:

We will have severe weather in parts of NE OK for the next several days. Not surprising as we are in the terrible 20's of April with a history of severe storms in this time frame.

There are still questions as to the level of the severe events.

Thursday evening: The threat has been trending up and we should have a tornado watch by late afternoon or early evening. The area with the best chance of a tornado at this time will be NW of Tulsa.

It was thought the cap would hold and limit storms back to the west and SW of OKC. However there is now an indication the cap will be breached and this will allow strong supercells to form with all hazards, very large hail, high winds and a few tornadoes.

Friday's threat may be far SE OK depending on where the cold front ends up. Saturday and Sunday both could have significant severe weather as the cold front returns as a warm front. Both days already have a 30% area from the SPC indicating significant severe weather in our area.

Note this first graphic may be expanded further south and into more of our area with a 10% tornado coverage which is significant.
The hail threat is increasing also.

I will update the weekend when we get more data.

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06/04/2026

Tonight join use for a one hour special AHEAD OF THE STORM.

We have some interesting information and insights into our severe weather. It is on at 9:00 pm on KOTV 6.

21/03/2026

FIRE WEATHER WARNING: Red Flag

Sunday will be a red flag day so please do not burn. Winds are going to increase and dewpoints are going to drop and fire spread index is near or in the critical category.

We have had many days of controlled burns with many of the burns still ongoing. With the weather change some of these burns may become "uncontrolled".

No indications of good rains until probably April and of course we will go from sunny to stormy weather around the first of the month.

We are currently transitioning from a La Nina to a El Nino. Indications are it could be a very strong El Nino which may give us a very dry late spring and summer and very hot temperatures. Note the 7 day rainfall chart, not good at all for our drought.

Link to drought forecast: https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/spring-outlook-drought-forecasted-to-expand-in-us-west-parts-of-plains

ENSO Alert System Status: La Niña Advisory / El Niño Watch

Synopsis: A transition from La Niña to ENSO-neutral is expected in the next month, with ENSO-neutral favored through May-July 2026 (55% chance). In June-August 2026, El Niño is likely to emerge (62% chance) and persist through at least the end of 2026.

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10/03/2026

Tornado Watch to our west:

A large storm with 3-4 inch hail and a developing tornado is moving into west OKC at this time we will see severe weather after about 10 pm in NEOK.

09/03/2026

FRIDAY'S TORNADO SURVEYS:

Friday got a bit out of hand, I almost got wacked twice by tornadoes, first on the N. Tulsa tornado as I was on Hwy 75 about 4600 N in the construction zone when it crossed Lewis. I bailed off at 56th St and headed east and escaped the tornado as it passed behind me.

Later I was sitting on the east side of Inola next to the high school when I observed the wall cloud dropping small funnels. I decided to head east and again was caught in the outer tornado winds as I headed east on E 590 road.

I went north on Hwy 69 and at Hwy 69A the winds were so strong the rain was horizontal and you could only see about 10-20 feet. I pulled over to get some wind measurements and the first one was 76 mph, hurricane force. Then I had 83 mph and the wind was out of the west so I knew the rotation was north of me. The final reading was 103 mph, even knowing the rotation was north of me that really got my attention.

Here are the results of the NWS Tulsa storm survey. Tomorrow we will have more severe weather as of now hail and wind are the main threats with a low tornado threat. However I am going to wait until tomorrows data is in just because of how the severe season has started out.

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Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
154 PM CDT Mon Mar 9 2026
..NWS Damage Survey for 03/06/2026 Tornado Event - Update 2...
Update...Updated to include the Bristow, Beggs and Castle tornadoes.
Overview...Supercells that developed ahead of a dry line over
central Oklahoma moved through northeastern Oklahoma during the
evening of the 6th. Several of these thunderstorms produced multiple
tornadoes, a couple of which were strong. NWS Tulsa meteorologists
surveyed storm damage Saturday and Sunday, and details for eight confirmed
tornadoes follow below. We are still investigating other reports, and
additional surveys may be needed for this event in the coming days.
Bristow Oklahoma Tornado...

Rating: EF1
Estimated Peak Wind: 100 to 110 mph
Path Length /statute/: 6.2 miles
Path Width /maximum/: 270 yards
Fatalities: 0
Injuries: 0

Start Date: 03/06/2026
Start Time: 05:18 PM CST
Start Location: 3 WNW Bristow / Creek County / OK
Start Lat/Lon: 35.855 / -96.449

End Date: 03/06/2026
End Time: 05:32 PM CST
End Location: 6 NNE Bristow / Creek County / OK
End Lat/Lon: 35.913 / -96.366

Survey Summary:
The tornado developed approximately 4 miles northwest of Bristow,
west of South 401st West Avenue and north of West 221st Street
South. Moving northeast, it crossed South 401st West Avenue,
where it destroyed a single-wide mobile home and an outbuilding.
As the tornado continued northeast across State Highway 16, it
uprooted trees and snapped large limbs. At the intersection of
State Highway 48 and West 181st Street South, the tornado
impacted an industrial site, collapsing overhead doors and
removing roof sections from two metal buildings. The tornado
maintained a northeast track, breaking additional tree branches
along South 337th West Avenue, before dissipating north of State
Highway 66.
TULSA OKLAHOMA TORNADO...

Rating: EF1
Estimated Peak Wind: 105 to 110 mph
Path Length /statute/: 6.0 miles
Path Width /maximum/: 600 yards
Fatalities: 0
Injuries: 0

Start Date: 03/06/2026
Start Time: 06:24 PM CST
Start Location: 4 NE Gray / Osage County / OK
Start Lat/Lon: 36.175 / -96.022

End Date: 03/06/2026
End Time: 06:34 PM CST
End Location: 4 SSE Sperry / Tulsa County / OK
End Lat/Lon: 36.244 / -95.958

Survey Summary:
This tornado developed near N Gilcrease Museum Road, north of W
Newton Street. It moved northeast damaging a number of homes,
damaging the roof of an apartment complex, uprooting trees, and
snapping numerous large tree limbs in neighborhoods west of N Tisdale
Parkway. It crossed into Tulsa County near W Apache Street. The
tornado damaged many homes and snapped numerous large tree limbs
between the county line and the Gilcrease Expressway. It continued to
move northeast damaging many homes north of the Gilcrease Expressway,
and intensified as it approached E 36th Street N. An office building
was severely damaged and the Tulsa Technology Center was severely
damaged as the tornado approached N Peoria Avenue. Numerous trees
were snapped and uprooted in that area. The tornado moved north-
northeast across E 46th Street N and dissipated north of E 61st
Street N. Many homes were damaged, a few trees were uprooted,
numerous large tree limbs were snapped, and mobile homes were damaged
in that portion of the path. This tornado produced a tornadic debris
signature from the KINX WSR-88D.
Castle Oklahoma Tornado...

Rating: EF0
Estimated Peak Wind: 70-75 mph
Path Length /statute/: 5.0 miles
Path Width /maximum/: 160 yards
Fatalities: 0
Injuries: 0

Start Date: 03/06/2026
Start Time: 06:38 PM CST
Start Location: 4 WSW Mason / Okfuskee County / OK
Start Lat/Lon: 35.549 / -96.416

End Date: 03/06/2026
End Time: 06:45 PM CST
End Location: 2 N Mason / Okfuskee County / OK
End Lat/Lon: 35.599 / -96.351

Survey Summary:
Chaser video and a debris signature from KINX WSR-88D indicated
this tornado began west of highway 48 about 6 miles north-
northwest of Castle. The tornado crossed highway 48 where it
damaged the roof of two mobile homes and downed small branches
along E980 road before dissipating.
OWASSO OKLAHOMA TORNADO...

Rating: EF1
Estimated Peak Wind: 90 to 100 mph
Path Length /statute/: 2.0 miles
Path Width /maximum/: 180 yards
Fatalities: 0
Injuries: 0

Start Date: 03/06/2026
Start Time: 06:38 PM CST
Start Location: 4 W Owasso / Tulsa County / OK
Start Lat/Lon: 36.267 / -95.921

End Date: 03/06/2026
End Time: 06:41 PM CST
End Location: 3 WNW Owasso / Tulsa County / OK
End Lat/Lon: 36.291 / -95.899

Survey Summary:
This tornado developed just west of N Yale Avenue and north of E
76th Street N. It uprooted a tree as it crossed N Yale Avenue and
moved northeast across a neighborhood on E 82nd Street N. Several
homes were damaged, light poles were blown down, and large tree
limbs were snapped. The tornado blew down power poles and snapped
large tree limbs as it crossed E 86th Street N. Outbuildings were
damaged and large tree limbs were snapped by the tornado as it
crossed N Hudson Avenue, and then crossed N Sheridan Avenue,
where it dissipated.
COLLINSVILLE OKLAHOMA TORNADO...

Rating: EF2
Estimated Peak Wind: 125 to 135 mph
Path Length /statute/: 4.7 miles
Path Width /maximum/: 150 yards
Fatalities: 0
Injuries: 0

Start Date: 03/06/2026
Start Time: 06:55 PM CST
Start Location: 3 E Collinsville / Rogers County / OK
Start Lat/Lon: 36.361 / -95.784

End Date: 03/06/2026
End Time: 07:02 PM CST
End Location: 3 S Oologah / Rogers County / OK
End Lat/Lon: 36.396 / -95.714

Survey Summary:
This tornado developed over heavily wooded, inaccessible (by road)
terrain, east of N 161st East Avenue, where the KINX WSR-88D detected
a tornadic debris signature. The tornado moved east-northeast across
the Caney River, and then destroyed a home and damaged several others
south of the river. A large recreational vehicle was rolled and
severely damaged. Numerous trees were snapped and outbuildings were
damaged. The tornado then moved through another area of inaccessible
terrain and crossed the Caney River again, and then crossed the S
4090 Road. Large tree limbs and power poles were snapped as it
crossed the E 430 Road, and the tornado dissipated north of the E
430 Road.
Beggs Oklahoma Tornado...

Rating: EF3
Estimated Peak Wind: 135 to 140 mph
Path Length /statute/: 6.8 miles
Path Width /maximum/: 950 yards
Fatalities: 2
Injuries: 2

Start Date: 03/06/2026
Start Time: 07:17 PM CST
Start Location: 1 WNW Beggs / Okmulgee County / OK
Start Lat/Lon: 35.748 / -96.088

End Date: 03/06/2026
End Time: 07:29 PM CST
End Location: 3 SSW Liberty / Okmulgee County / OK
End Lat/Lon: 35.812 / -96.004

Survey Summary:
The tornado began on the west side of Beggs, directly impacting
the Beggs Public Schools campus.The High School and Middle School
roof sustained significant damage, and the bus barn also
suffered heavy damage to the roof and overhead doors. As it moved
northeast, it crossed 15th Street, uprooting and snapping trees.
After crossing Happy Camp Road, it destroyed outbuildings and
began a brief jog northward, paralleling North 180 Rd. The
strongest and widest phase of the tornado occurred as it moved
east along Grimes Road. One single-wide manufactured home was
completely destroyed and several other single-family residences
were heavily damaged with the loss of roofs and windows. Two
fatalities and two injuries occurred at one homestead where a
double-wide manufactured home was completely destroyed and
several automobiles were moved and tossed 20 to 30 yards. A nearby
barn was destroyed and heavy limb loss occurred on large trees.
The tornado then continued northeast crossing State Highway 75,
where it threw a metal shipping container across the lanes and
uprooted trees. The tornado dissipated after crossing North
205 Road about three miles south of the Tulsa County line.
BROKEN ARROW OKLAHOMA TORNADO...

Rating: EF0
Estimated Peak Wind: 80 to 85 mph
Path Length /statute/: 1.5 miles
Path Width /maximum/: 130 yards
Fatalities: 0
Injuries: 0

Start Date: 03/06/2026
Start Time: 08:03 PM CST
Start Location: 1 NNW Oneta / Wagoner County / OK
Start Lat/Lon: 36.037 / -95.721

End Date: 03/06/2026
End Time: 08:06 PM CST
End Location: 2 NNE Oneta / Wagoner County / OK
End Lat/Lon: 36.047 / -95.699

Survey Summary:
This tornado developed just south of the Muskogee Turnpike, east
of S 225th East Avenue. It moved northeast across a neighborhood
west of S 241st East Avenue, and then into the southern portion
of Forest Ridge. The tornado uprooted a few trees, damaged the
roofs of several homes, snapped large tree limbs, and blew down
large sections of privacy fences.
INOLA OKLAHOMA TORNADO...

Rating: EF1
Estimated Peak Wind: 100 to 105 mph
Path Length /statute/: 6.6 miles
Path Width /maximum/: 350 yards
Fatalities: 0
Injuries: 0

Start Date: 03/06/2026
Start Time: 08:29 PM CST
Start Location: Inola / Rogers County / OK
Start Lat/Lon: 36.147 / -95.509

End Date: 03/06/2026
End Time: 08:41 PM CST
End Location: 3 W Chouteau / Mayes County / OK
End Lat/Lon: 36.192 / -95.406

Survey Summary:
This tornado developed over the southern portion of Inola, and
moved northeast across the east side of town. One home had a
portion of the roof blown off, and a number of other homes
received minor damage. Many large limbs were snapped from trees.
The tornado then moved northeast across the E 595 Road, where the
roof of a home was damaged and trees were blown down. It uprooted
trees as it moved across the E 590 Road, crossed Highway 412, and
blew a portion of the roof from a home on the E 580 Road. The
tornado moved into Mayes County near the E 580 Road, where large
tree limbs were snapped and several power poles were blown down.
It moved across open country until it dissipated near the W
570 Road and S 427 Road. The tornado produced a tornadic debris
signature from the KINX WSR-88D.

&&

EF Scale: The Enhanced Fujita Scale classifies tornadoes into the
following categories:

EF0.....65 to 85 mph
EF1.....86 to 110 mph
EF2.....111 to 135 mph
EF3.....136 to 165 mph
EF4.....166 to 200 mph
EF5.....>200 mph

NOTE:
The information in this statement is preliminary and subject to
change pending final review of the events and publication in
NWS Storm Data.

06/03/2026

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT TODAY:

I have held off on this post until the data settles out. We have known Friday would be a severe storm day, the question was the location and timing.

We have a threat of tornadoes in Eastern Oklahoma today. Unfortunately we had a mother and daughter killed by a tornado last night out near Fairview OK.

We also have a highlighted threat area for Tuesday so stay tuned on updates for then.

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
507 AM CST Fri Mar 6 2026

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-071115-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
507 AM CST Fri Mar 6 2026
..SEVERE WEATHER LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
TORNADO.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Late Afternoon.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Late Afternoon.

HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Late Afternoon.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Late Morning.

DISCUSSION...
Showers and perhaps an isolated thunderstorm remain possible this
morning across northeast Oklahoma. No severe weather is expected
this morning. By mid to late afternoon, thunderstorm development
will be possible along and ahead of a dryline positioned across
eastern Oklahoma. Storm development will likely be dependent on
how much warming occurs, as expansive cloud cover may tend to
reduce heating this afternoon. If convective temperatures can be
met, widespread severe weather will be possible this afternoon and
evening. The environment will support all severe hazards
including large hail up to two inches in diameter, wind gusts in
excess of 70 mph, and tornadoes. This severe threat would extend
well into the evening hours and expand east into northwest
Arkansas with time.

By late evening and overnight, additional thunderstorms will be likely
along an advancing cold front. The severe threat will continue
with large hail, damaging winds, and at least a limited tornado
potential as the front moves south through the region tonight.
Clearing and decreasing precipitation potential will occur behind
the front.

In addition to severe weather potential, storms today and tonight will
be capable of producing torrential rainfall and localized flash
flooding. Flash flood concerns are highest across southeast
Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas, especially in locations which
received the most rainfall in the past 48 hours.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... Activation of
the Regional Spotter Network Likely.
DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
SUNDAY...No Hazards.
MONDAY...Thunderstorm...High Fire Weather...and High Wind Potential.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm...High Wind...and Heavy Rain Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm and Heavy Rain Potential.
THURSDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorms are likely to be ongoing Saturday morning across
far southeast Oklahoma. At least a limited threat of severe
weather will persist with this activity until the front clears the
area during the day. Following the frontal passage, high pressure
will provide quiet weather for the remainder of the day and on
Sunday. Additional thunderstorm potential returns early next week
as the next upper level disturbance influences the region. The
threat for severe storms may also tend to increase during this
time, particularly on Tuesday.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

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28/02/2026

BUCKLE UP MARCH IS COMING IN LIKE A LION:

I have been on numerous wildfires the last two weeks due to our ongoing drought. It has been over 50 days since the Tulsa area had a 1/4 inch of rainfall. If winds had been stronger we really would have had wildfire disasters due to how much dead vegetation is out in the fields.

I met some firefighters from Montana up in Osage County on a 14 day deployment. I welcomed them to Oklahoma and told them they will get a real treat all types of Oklahoma weather in the next two weeks. Drought, of course we end that with floods, Summer well 82 degrees is a good taste. Tornadoes very possible as we enter a very active weather period. Snow and Ice you only think winter is done, maybe not.

We will start with this week, the rain is coming which is good we need it badly Severe storms are possible mid to late week.

First graphic is the 7 day rainfall a good start to help the drought.

Note Tuesday could be another wildfire day.

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1245 PM CST Sat Feb 28 2026

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-011845-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
1245 PM CST Sat Feb 28 2026

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Primarily northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Isolated thunderstorms are ongoing this afternoon across eastern
Oklahoma and may spread across northwest Arkansas this afternoon.
A brief strong storm with small hail is possible and any outdoor
activities should monitor the lightning hazard.
Additionally, near record warmth and gusty winds will locally
raise grassland fire weather concerns through early evening
primarily across northeast Oklahoma.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.
DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
MONDAY and TUESDAY...Thunderstorm and High Wind Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm and Heavy Rain Potential.
THURSDAY and FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Near daily shower and thunderstorm chances will exist over the
next week. The best chances for locally heavy rainfall and
possibly a few strong to severe storms will be during the middle
to latter part of next week.

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1154 AM CST Sat Feb 28 2026
..New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1150 AM CST Sat Feb 28 2026

- Grassland fire weather concerns this afternoon w/ near record high temps.

- Shower and thunderstorms ongoing with continued isolated to
scattered coverage through Saturday night.

- Higher rain chances Sunday especially north. Cold front across
the area with wide range in temperatures.

- An unsettled weather pattern over the next week with multiple
periods of showers and thunderstorms. There is the potential
for both severe weather and heavy rainfall hazards.

&&
SHORT TERM...
(Through tonight )
Issued at 1150 AM CST Sat Feb 28 2026

Corridor of high based showers and and isolated storms ongoing
across E OK will continue eastward through the afternoon with
rainfall amounts remaining light but isolated lighting hazard risk
for outdoor activities. Cold front moves through NE OK into far NW
AR late overnight with a continued axis of elevated convection
possible from SE OK through NW AR though overall coverage is
likely to remain low.

&&
LONG TERM...
(Tomorrow through Saturday)
Issued at 1150 AM CST Sat Feb 28 2026

The cold front evolution Sunday through Monday will have a large
impact on local conditions with expanding cloud cover and rain
chances along and north of the front with continued unseasonably
warm temperatures south of the boundary. An expanding area of
convection appears likely by mid morning Sunday north of the front
across S KS with and ESE motion keeping higher rain chances across
far NE OK into NW AR from afternoon through evening. This scenario
will reinforce the frontal zone and further sharpen the
temperature gradient across the region.

The frontal zone will attempt to lift northward Sunday night into
Monday and likely become more aligned SW to NE with widely varying
temps expected again across the forecast area. Precip chances will
gradually wane as weak ridging aloft develops downstream of the
evolving southwestern CONUS troughing.

Unseasonably warm temperatures return area wide Tuesday as the
warm sector spreads northward. Shortwave trough is currently timed
to eject across the central CONUS Tuesday night into Wednesday
with an increase in shower and storm chances with the associated
frontal passage. The degree of moisture return will be the focus
for any uptick in severe weather potential as wind fields will be
strong with the wave passage. The unsettled pattern continues into
late week with more pronounced troughing across the western CONUS
and multiple periods of showers and storms likely across the
Plains late week into next weekend.

17/02/2026

INCREASING WILDFIRE DANGER!

The next few days we will see significant Wildfire danger, already today there are major fires in western Oklahoma into Kansas. We have a Fire Watched issued for Thursday.

Englewood KS is being evacuated now for a Wildfire from OK. Winds have been 50-70 mph with humidity in single digits. On Thursday the lower humidity will reach our area and are expected to be in the teens with winds of 30 mph.

We have a lot of fuel from dead vegetation due to the field being green well into fall. If you live in rural areas make sure you have the brush cut back several hundred feet from your buildings.

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1115 AM CST Tue Feb 17 2026

ARZ001-002-010-011-OKZ054>071-180600-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FW.A.0001.260219T1600Z-260220T0200Z/
Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Osage-Washington OK-Nowata-
Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes-Delaware-Creek-Okfuskee-
Okmulgee-Wagoner-Cherokee-Adair-Muskogee-McIntosh-
1115 AM CST Tue Feb 17 2026
..FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING FOR VERY DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS FOR NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...

The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a Fire Weather
Watch, which is in effect from Thursday morning through Thursday
evening.

* AFFECTED AREA...In Arkansas, Benton, Carroll, Washington, and
Madison counties. In Oklahoma, Osage, Washington, Nowata,
Craig, Ottawa, Pawnee, Tulsa, Rogers, Mayes, Delaware, Creek,
Okfuskee, Okmulgee, Wagoner, Cherokee, Adair, Muskogee, and
McIntosh counties.

* WIND...West to west-northwest at 15 to 25 mph, gusting 30 to 35
mph.

* HUMIDITY...15 to 20 percent.

* TEMPERATURE...Upper 60s to Lower 70s.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly.
Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A fire weather watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur.

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KOTV - News On 6

08/02/2026

I hope all of you are enjoying the warm weather the next few days. I on the other hand have found real winter. Low this morning 8 degrees HI a whopping 20 degrees.

I am in Grand Rapids MI. Weather looks to great back in Tulsa until the end of the week. We may see some rain which is desperately needed before fire season starts.

After Valentine’s Day the weather pattern changes and it looks to become active. Severe weather looks to be possible but cold air will be not too far north so anything is possible.

Robert Rohloff KOTV Storm Tracker

26/04/2026

23/04/2026

06/04/2026

21/03/2026

10/03/2026

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