Robert Rohloff KOTV Storm Tracker

26/08/2025

Big sale great time to pickup the best grills made!

21/08/2025

Cooler weather and rain next week:

We will finally see a break from the high heat index numbers we have been experiencing. It has also started to dry out, I know some had some decent rains recently but it was hit and miss any many did not get the needed water.

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Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
103 PM CDT Thu Aug 21 2025

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-221030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
103 PM CDT Thu Aug 21 2025

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
DAY ONE...Rest of Today and Tonight.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Isolated thunderstorm chances will persist this afternoon across
portions of southeast Oklahoma. Gusty winds and brief heavy
downpours would accompany the strongest storms. Thunderstorm
chances diminish around sunset.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.
DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
FRIDAY...No Hazards.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
WEDNESDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Hot and humid conditions will persist through the weekend, with
slight thunderstorm chances for portions of northeast Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas associated with an approaching cold front. The
weather pattern will change by early next week with widespread daily
shower and thunderstorm chances forecast beginning Monday and
continuing through mid week. Areas of heavy rainfall are possible
along with temperatures well below late August normals.

19/08/2025

A reminder of a unique storm over Oklahoma

Remember 18 years ago when Oklahoma was dealing with it's own Erin? One of the rare times in recorded history when a tropical system actually intensified over land, and it happened right here in Oklahoma. We have the story in today's Ticker: https://ticker.mesonet.org/

30/07/2025

COLD FRONT MOVES INTO OK!!!

30/07/2025

Brief break from the heat getting close!

I hate the high heat index numbers we have been experiencing. It appears that we will see cooler temperatures for the weekend which will be nice. A interesting development for hurricane season, NOAA and other groups were predicting an above average hurricane season this year.

It appears that a rare Atlantic La Nina may be setting up allowing for cooler water in the Atlantic. This may limit the development of hurricanes and their intensity. Development closer in to the US would still be possible. So we shall see if this development can reduce the hurricane threat.

Current air temps across the U.S.

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Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
213 PM CDT Wed Jul 30 2025

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-311015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
213 PM CDT Wed Jul 30 2025

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Portions of eastern OK and northwest AR.
ONSET...This afternoon.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...Significant.
AREA...Areawide.
ONSET...Ongoing.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...West-Central Arkansas.

DISCUSSION...
Widespread dangerous heat continues today, with the hottest
conditions across west-central Arkansas. Afternoon heat indices
will reach 105-113F for all areas. A few isolated storms will pop
up this afternoon, mainly over the higher terrain of far eastern
Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. A few additional storms will form
near a cold front tonight in northeast OK. This front will bring
cooler air into the area.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.
DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Dangerous Heat Potential.
FRIDAY TO MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
TUESDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Hot conditions continue Thursday, though mainly south of I-40 with
scattered storms throughout the area, especially in the afternoon.
Cooler air continues to move in with highs in the 80s Friday to
Saturday. Scattered storms will persist at times through Monday,
with the main affects being gusty winds, brief heavy rain, and
lightning. Severe weather is not anticipated. Heat will begin to
build back in by the middle of next week.

15/07/2025

HURRICANE SEASON IS STARTING TO FIRE:

For those of you heading down to the FL AL beaches you will be getting very wet this week. A low is expected to show some development as it moves very slowly west along the FL panhandle towards LA.

This could develop into tropical storm Dexter later this week, very heavy rains will cause flooding along the coast of the Gulf of America. Invest 93L is moving across FL and has a moderate chance right now of development.

Early track guidance has it curving north into LA and AR.
WE DO NOT NEED MORE RAIN HERE......

As I have stated previously I am concerned a tropical system could make it up into OK this season and cause serious flooding due to how much rain we have already this year. We are just getting started for the Hurricane season so stand by.

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17/06/2025

SEVERE STORMS TONIGHT:

We have a good chance of severe thunderstorms with winds of 80-100 mph and a few tornadoes this evening with the greatest risk from Hwy 412 and north.

We are also under another flood watch due to the possibility of heavy rains. I expect a tornado watch to be issued for the area by late afternoon or early evening. Main threat will be very strong winds with the storms, 80-100 mph winds are hurricane force winds and they will knock down power poles and trees so expect power outages in some areas.

From Travis:

I think it's safe to say we're all BEYOND tired of this... but we need folks to stay plugged into the weather once again tonight.
Severe storms will become likely this evening near the Oklahoma/Kansas state line and will eventually expand across southeast Kansas and northeastern Oklahoma after dark late tonight. All modes of severe weather will be possible overnight: Damaging winds (potentially significant 80+ mph winds with a few storms), large hail, and even a few tornadoes. Flash flooding will also be a significant concern. Southeastern Oklahoma will initially be quieter tonight before storms spread south early Wednesday morning.
Keep checking in through the evening for the updated timeline. Our storm trackers will be out and our weather team will be here keeping tabs on all of these storms for you!

NWS Tulsa

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
Issued by National Weather Service Norman OK
310 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181045-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
310 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
DAY ONE...Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Overnight and early Wednesday morning.

HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD RISK.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...vernight and early Wednesday morning.

DISCUSSION...
An intense complex of thunderstorms is expected overnight tonight
with a cold front and a greater risk of severe weather. Damaging
wind gusts and hail are possible. There is the potential for bowing
segments within the complex of thunderstorms, which may result in a
risk for significant wind gusts--especially in areas generally along
and west of the Interstate 44 corridor...and in areas near the Kansas/
Oklahoma border. Heavy rainfall associated with this complex may also
result in localized flooding.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.
DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY...Dangerous Heat Potential.
SATURDAY...Dangerous Heat Potential.
SUNDAY...Dangerous Heat Potential.
Monday...Dangerous Heat Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Strong to severe thunderstorms remain possible on Wednesday as
the cold front lingers across the area. Damaging wind gusts and
hail will remain the primary hazards. Heavy rainfall may also
result in some flooding threat. There is uncertainty on where the
greatest risk of severe weather will be as it will depend on the
exact location of the front, which will be influenced by the
previous night`s complex of thunderstorms. The risk of storms
should end from northwest to southeast late Wednesday into early
Thursday. Dangerous heat will return for the end of the workweek
and into the upcoming weekend.

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07/06/2025

SEVERE STORMS EARLY MORNING SATURDAY:

Storms should not produce tornadoes like this morning but winds could be 70-80 mph. The morning storms should clear for Tulsa Tough by late morning, and the afternoon will be rain free.

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Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
531 PM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-071000-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
531 PM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
DAY ONE...Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...After Midnight.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Late Tonight.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...After Midnight.

DISCUSSION...
Another complex of thunderstorms is expected to develop late this
evening and overnight, moving across eastern Oklahoma and into
Northwest Arkansas by Saturday morning. Damaging winds will again
be a threat along with heavy rainfall and continued flooding
concerns across the region. The tornado threat appears lower with
this system, but there is a very low chance for a tornado or two
with the stronger line of storms.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely.
DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
SATURDAY and SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
TUESDAY...No Hazards.
WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Strong to severe storms may be ongoing early Saturday as another
thunderstorm complex impacts the region. A similar pattern is
likely to develop Saturday night into Sunday with the focus for
strongest storms shifting south to mainly parts of southeast
Oklahoma. Yet another thunderstorm complex is likely Sunday night
into Monday and may impact southeast Oklahoma. Repeated instances
of heavy rain will likely lead to flash flooding and main stem
river flooding.

03/06/2025

Possible tornadoes tagged Severe Thunderstorm Watch

Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center.

03/06/2025

Possible Flash Flooding

03/06/2025

Severe Storms and Heavy Rain returns:

We do not need more rain but all indications are we will see around 4 inches this week with a few areas pushing 7 inches plus. We will also have several chances for severe storms in the area starting overnight tonight.

Storms should move into the Tulsa Metro after about 2 a.m. with the main threat strong winds and some hail. Heavy rains will also start with this first line of storms, additional storms are forecast for Tuesday afternoon and evening with all modes of severe weather possible with high winds and large hail the main threat but the tornado threat has been slowly increasing and we will have to see what the overnight storms leave behind for the afternoon storms. A increased tornado threat is possible but we will have to wait to see where the left over boundaries set up.

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Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
451 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-031030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
451 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
DAY ONE...Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...After 11 PM.

HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...After 11 PM.

DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorms are forecast to spread into northeast Oklahoma late
this evening and continue into the early morning hours Tuesday.
Storms are likely to be strong to severe as they approach eastern
Oklahoma but then experience a weakening trend into the overnight
hours. A window for severe weather will exist across portions of
northeast Oklahoma with locally damaging winds the primary hazard.
Additionally, locally heavy rainfall is possible with any area
that experiences persistent overnight storms.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.
DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
TUESDAY...Severe Thunderstorm and Heavy Rain Potential.
WEDNESDAY through SUNDAY...Thunderstorm and Heavy Rain Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorms may be ongoing early Tuesday with heavy rainfall possible.
Renewed thunderstorm development is expected by mid afternoon across
northeast Oklahoma with storms expanding in coverage and spreading eastward
through Tuesday night. Severe storms are likely at times especially from
mid afternoon through late evening with large hail and locally damaging
winds the primary hazards. Heavy rainfall is also likely and flash flooding
could develop quickly as soils remain saturated from recent heavy rains.
The unsettled weather pattern will continue through late week into the
weekend with near daily thunderstorm chances. Multiple periods of both
severe weather and flooding potential will likely develop through the
week with details refined in updated forecasts.

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
141 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025

OKZ054>068-070-071-073-030900-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FA.A.0009.250603T0500Z-250604T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Osage-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes-
Delaware-Creek-Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-Cherokee-Muskogee-
McIntosh-Pittsburg-
Including the cities of Okemah, Tahlequah, Checotah, Nowata,
Claremore, Sapulpa, Pawhuska, Jay, Okmulgee, Miami, Pryor,
Bartlesville, Muskogee, Grove, Vinita, Wagoner, McAlester, Tulsa,
and Pawnee
141 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025
..FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT CDT TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible.

* WHERE...Portions of east central, northeast, and southeast
Oklahoma, including the following counties, in east central
Oklahoma, Cherokee, Muskogee and Okfuskee. In northeast Oklahoma,
Craig, Creek, Delaware, Mayes, Nowata, Okmulgee, Osage, Ottawa,
Pawnee, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner and Washington OK. In southeast
Oklahoma, McIntosh and Pittsburg.

* WHEN...From midnight CDT tonight through Wednesday morning.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers,
creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- Multiple rounds of thunderstorms are expected through
Wednesday morning. Training of thunderstorms could lead to
locally heavy rainfall. Widespread rainfall totals of 1-3
inches will be possible, with isolated totals of 3-5 inches
within the watch area.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood
Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared
to take action should flooding develop.

19/05/2025

TORNADO WATCH ISSUED:

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 292
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1205 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northwest Arkansas
Central and Eastern Oklahoma

* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 1205 PM until
700 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
Several tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely
Widespread large hail and scattered very large hail events to 4
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely

SUMMARY...Multiple clusters of intense thunderstorms will develop
through the afternoon across central and eastern Oklahoma, spreading
into northwest Arkansas by early evening. Supercells capable of
strong tornadoes, very large hail, and damaging winds are possible.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 115 statute miles
east and west of a line from 20 miles north northeast of
Bartlesville OK to 10 miles southwest of Durant OK. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 4 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.

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