10/11/2023
On November 7, 2016, I made some predictions. The pandemic response was unforseen resulting in new variables. The forcast seems to be delayed by about 3 years but looks to be back on track.
I will update and ammend this going forward.
“Canadian prime minister Justin Trudeau will continue to pull away from America, economically and culturally.”
- Trudeau countered almost every Trump policy and has weaponized support for American ideals against Canadian citizens. Now, it appears the Canadian government is encouraging support for Hamas in direct contrast to America’s longstanding support for Israel.
“American president Donald Trump's comments about the legality of homos*xuality is only the tip of his "surprisingly" libertarian agenda.”
- Trump served the office well and had more respfor the position than previously thought. He never wavered from the position of decentralizing policy to the state level. This drastic deviation from the Bush era of the GOP has defined a new definition of American Conservatism.
“International free trade with America will become more privatized.”
- This happened. Many forget how difficult it was for companies to trade internationally without government overreach. Trump oversaw the formation of several private trade agreements that boosted economies both domestic and foreign.
“Legalization of cannabis and related products will come shortly in both Canada and America.”
- Canada followed through on October 17, 2018. America has maintained decentralized state governance and as of this prediction, 20 states and 4 federal territories have decriminalized possession.
“President Trump will turn his controversial nature on Congress rather than the public and begin to suggest disestablishmentarian ideas (they likely will not be passed)”
- This happened. Trump did not succeed in “draining the swamp” in the most overt sense but was successful in reforming the GOP and splitting DNC support with unelectable socialism… for now.
“One such idea will be the legalization of s*x work.”
- This was proposed but is a state issue. Several states have legalized or decriminalized the practice.
“Deported illegal immigrants from Mexico will be legally brought back into America under work visas to build the wall.”
- This happened. Border maintenance continues to be a viable method for obtaining a work visa.
“The wall will create new industry towns along the southern border.”
- Wall construction was not as economically driving as previously thought and Mexico ended up putting forth much of the funding.
“The population increase and traffic will prevent illegal border crossings. The wall itself will have little to no effect other than be a conduit for job creation and economic growth.”
- Information on wall construction is limited, but communities with more investment in border security show better results for legal immigration.
“The deportation of immigrants will cause Mexico's economy to spiral downward very quickly.”
- Not quite. This came from the influx of Venezuelan refugees in 2018, not American deportées. The Mexican government responded by funding their own border security and reaping the economic rewards themselves.
“Massive inflation in other countries increases the buying power of the American dollar.”
- This was true. Until the intentional disruption of supply chains in 2020, the USD was quickly gaining buying power. Unfortunately, the federal government’s investment in social issues has depleted the economic sway it had in 2019.
“Canada will seek a unified economy with the EU.”
- CETA signed September 21, 2017 as a provisional agreement but the EU is fracturing.
“Since leaving the EU, Great Britain will likely seek economic alliance with America.”
- This was going to happen. The UK was officially declared independent as of January 31, 2020 and a UKUSFTA scheduled. However, it has not been persued post-pandemic.
“Germany will attempt to secede from the EU.”
- Not really. Support for German political sovereignty peaked in 2019 but no motion has been carried. However, tensions between Germany and France over resource management strategies is causing significant instability in the EU.
“Other American economic allies will be Russia, China, Brazil, and Germany (if it is successful in seceding from the EU).”
- This is moot post pandemic.
“Canada will find itself in economic opposition to America within the next five years.”
- With the pandemic extension of 3 years that puts the prediction before November, 2024. Although China and Russia were the assumed catalyst, Israel may be the defining factor in choices regarding economic alliance (see below). Although, America has significantly reduced its involvement with China and condemned many of its international policy, while Canada has continued to remain friendly.
“This will cause unrest in relations between Canada and Great Britain. The queen will be removed from Canadian Currency coinciding with her death. Not to be replaced with the new monarch.”
- Unrelated. Disassociation from the monarchy seems to be instigated from within, independent of economic action. Canada has officially recognized the authority of King Charles III, but many government officials, including PM Trudeau, have publically expressed distaste for the monarchy and a desire to dispense with it.
Regardless, new Canadian coins will depict the new king, so this is wrong. Perhaps future King William will be shunned instead.
“British Queen Elizabeth II will die within the next five years.”
- With 3 year “pandemic-shift”: Died September 8, 2022.
“One of the largest political divides between Canada and America will be Israel. Canada will shift its support toward the Palestinian state and America will unwaveringly support Israel.”
- Accurate and current
“A third North American nation will emerge within the next 10 years. Unsure what group will settle but it will be formed under the pretense of protection from the growing political dispute between Canada and America.”
- Still likely. Adjusting for pandemic, an unrecognized declaration of independence will be levied before 2029.
“Germany will successfully secede from the EU within the next 10 years. Other territories and nations surrounding it will voluntarily join Germany's borders.”
- Misunderstood. Germany and it’s partners will maintain the declared Union while membership declines due to policy updates from Berlin. An appropriate update to the prediction would be to see a European reformation before 2029.
“President Trump will con China into one of the worst trade deals of their history. Their currency is powerful now but will quickly depreciate and crash causing them to rely on the new, very powerful American dollar. This will likely be the cause of their strong economic allegiance to Russia and America.”
- This is moot post pandemic.
“Brazil will quickly follow suit as the buying power of their currency relies on the strength of China's economy.”
- Completely the opposite. Brazil appears to be following a similar path as Canada by maintaining ties with China and disassociating with America or Russia.
“President Trump will be assassinated during one of his two terms.”
- Still possible. Has endured arguably the worst character assassination and political assassination. If his second term is successful, it will violently end before 2029.
“President Trump will be added to mount Rushmore.”
- No. He’ll get his own monument post mortem.
