02/11/2025
Good Sunday afternoon. Showers are struggling to move out this afternoon leaving mostly cloudy with light rain. Sunny skies will return for the new week with shower chances returning on Friday.
Could we see an early November snow? The GFS (Global Forecast System) and Canadian models show a chance for snow however the European model is a bit more conservative, putting light snow chances for eastern Kentucky around Cawood, and areas along the Kentucky Virginia border.
As we look toward winter, I have made a decision on forecasting snow and ice and going more with how it impacts people and not so much the amount of snow. The reason being, you have your normal forecast for snow, then there is the 10th, 50th and 90th percentile forecast when in reality, no one knows how much snow will fall.
Unless I change my mind, we are going more to IMPACT BASED forecasts. We can start with no impact to very minor, then minor impacts and major impacts. If it's snowing, roads are wet/spots of slush, that would be none to very minor. When there is a little more snow on roads, we would use moderate impact. High impact would be when roads are covered and travel is difficult to impossible.
There are a couple of other ideas I have with this ........ what's your opinions?
