US Weather Desk (2025)

28/10/2025

Hurricane Melissa 5:00pm advisory
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

..CENTER OF MELISSA EMERGING FROM THE NORTHERN COAST OF WESTERN JAMAICA...
..DAMAGING WINDS. CATASTROPHIC FLASH FLOODING, AND LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE CONTINUES IN JAMAICA...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.5N 77.7W
ABOUT 15 MI...20 KM E OF MONTEGO BAY JAMAICA
ABOUT 200 MI...325 KM SW OF GUANTANAMO CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...921 MB...27.20 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Meteorological Service of Bermuda has issued a Hurricane Watch
for Bermuda.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Jamaica
* Cuban provinces of Granma, Santiago de Cuba, Guantanamo,
Holguin, and Las Tunas
* Southeastern and Central Bahamas

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Haiti
* Cuban province of Camaguey
* Turks and Caicos Islands

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Residents in Jamaica should
remain in a safe shelter. In the warning area in Cuba, residents should seek safe shelter. In the Bahamas, preparations to protect life and property should be completed later tonight.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Melissa was located near latitude 18.5 North, longitude 77.7 West. Melissa is moving toward the north-northeast near 8 mph (13 km/h). A turn toward the northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected this evening, followed by a faster northeastward motion on Wednesday and Thursday. On the forecast track, the core of Melissa will move away from western Jamaica this evening. After that, the center is expected to move over southeastern Cuba later tonight and early Wednesday morning, move across the southeastern or central Bahamas later on Wednesday, and approach Bermuda Thursday and Thursday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 145 mph (230 km/h) with higher gusts. Melissa is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Melissa is expected to reach southeastern Cuba as an extremely dangerous major hurricane, and it could still be a major hurricane when it moves across the southeastern Bahamas. NOAA and Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft will be investigating Melissa this evening.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles (315 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 921 mb (27.20 inches).

27/10/2025

11AM ADVISORY: Melissa is now a catastrophic Category 5 hurricane with 165 MPH winds. Pressure of 908mb ties it with Hurricane Maria for the 10th lowest pressure on record in the Atlantic Basin. A historic hurricane strike is forecast in Jamaica tomorrow.

Hurricane Melissa Advisory Number 25
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM EDT Mon Oct 27 2025
..CATEGORY 5 MELISSA EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWARD LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT...
..CATASTROPHIC AND LIFE-THREATENING WINDS, FLOODING, AND STORM SURGE EXPECTED ON JAMAICA TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.4N 78.2W
ABOUT 145 MI...230 KM SW OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
ABOUT 330 MI...530 KM SW OF GUANTANAMO CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...165 MPH...270 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...908 MB...26.82 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Jamaica
* Cuban provinces of Granma, Santiago de Cuba, Guantanamo, and
Holguin.

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Southeastern and central Bahamas
* Turks and Caicos Islands

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Haiti
* Cuban province of Las Tunas

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued
36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside
preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be complete in Jamaica and rushed to completion in Cuba.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Melissa was located near latitude 16.4 North, longitude 78.2 West. Melissa is
moving toward the west near 3 mph (6 km/h). A slow turn toward the northwest and north is expected later today, followed by a turn
toward the northeast and a faster forward speed on Tuesday. A northeastward motion is expected on Wednesday and Thursday. On the
forecast track, the core of Melissa is expected to move over Jamaica tonight and early Tuesday, across southeastern Cuba Tuesday night,
and across the southeastern Bahamas on Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 165 mph (270 km/h) with higher gusts. Melissa is a category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are likely before Melissa makes landfall on Jamaica on Tuesday. However,
Melissa is expected to reach Jamaica and southeastern Cuba as an extremely powerful major hurricane, and will still be at hurricane
strength when it moves across the southeastern Bahamas. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles The minimum central pressure estimated from the latest Air Force
Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft data is 908 mb (26.82 inches).

26/10/2025

SUNDAY MELISSA UPDATE WITH Bryan Norcross RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING HURRICANE MELISSA'S MULTI-DAY ASSAULT ON JAMAICA BEGINS TODAY

An extremely dangerous and unnerving scenario will unfold tonight, tomorrow, and Tuesday across the eastern half of Jamaica, including the capital, Kingston. Extreme rainfall is forecast—it will be measured in feet. Winds at landfall on the south coast look likely to be at least Category 4. Storm surge is forecast up to 13 feet above normal high tide in the bays and harbors east of the landfall point.

Here is the National Hurricane Center's strong and direct warning about what's coming to Jamaica: "Extensive infrastructural damage, long-duration power and communication outages, and potentially prolonged isolation of communities is likely."

Hurricane Melissa will crawl west today over the near-record warm Caribbean water while increasingly pumping tropical moisture on tropical storm-force winds against the tall mountains. Tropical downpours will saturate the ground, laying the groundwork for flooding and mudslides to come.

The consensus of multiple computer forecasts is that the energy in the water will power Melissa to a high-end Category 4 or Category 5 intensity. The National Hurricane Center is explicitly forecasting Category 5 strength overnight tonight.

Tomorrow, Melissa is forecast to make a hard right turn, slowly increase its forward speed, and slam into Jamaica's south coast as the strongest storm on record to hit the island. The current expectation is that the winds with Melissa will be significantly stronger than those with Hurricane Gilbert in 1988, which caused widespread destruction – although Melissa’s strongest winds will be in a south-to-north corridor. Gilbert raked the island east to west.

Along with the devastating winds, Melissa will push the Caribbean water over the coast up to 13 feet above normal high tide. This will be devastating to areas in bays and harbors where the peak storm surge is pushed over the shoreline near and to the east of where the center of the storm makes landfall.

It’s too close to call whether Kingston, the capital and by far the largest concentration of population in Jamaica, will be the focus of the worst impacts from Melissa. A deviation of 50 miles one way or the other can make a tremendous difference in what happens at any particular place. But Kingston is especially vulnerable to storms moving from south to north because its harbor opens to the south.

If Melissa makes landfall a short distance west of Kingston, the peak winds will rip through the city, and the storm surge will devastate the coastline. The harbor acts like a catcher's mitt and enhances the surge. The Kingston International Airport is on a narrow peninsula in the harbor. If the worst of the wind and surge is focused there, the airport looks to go underwater.

Every imaginable step to preserve life needs to be taken in the parts of Jamaica forecast to be impacted by Hurricane Melissa. It's critical that people find a place to that will remain above potential floodwaters in concrete buildings where they can hide from the wind. Unbelievably, hiding might be required for more than 24 hours.

OTHER AREAS AT RISK

The extreme flood threat continues on the Tiburon Peninsula in Haiti, where a total of 3 feet of rain is forecast. Heavy rain and flooding are possible in other parts of the country as well. Heavy rainfall along the southern coast of the Dominican Republic will continue in spots, then slowly taper off as Melissa creeps farther away.

Hurricane conditions look likely in the eastern provinces of Cuba, so the government there has issued a hurricane watch. The southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands also appear to be in Melissa's path. While the storm will likely still be formidable when it passes over Cuba and the islands, at least it will be moving at a pretty good clip.

Bermuda will have to keep an eye on it late in the week. It's forecast to head in that general direction.

Slow-moving intense hurricanes don't hit mountainous islands very often. But when they do, the results are catastrophic. In 1963, Hurricane Flora crossed over Haiti and parked over eastern Cuba. It was a giant storm that dumped some 5 feet of rain in Jamaica, which was on the periphery. Towns were washed away in Haiti. Eastern Cuba was devastated.

We can only hope that Melissa spares as many people on Jamaica as possible from its worst impacts. It’s critical that everyone understands the magnitude of the threat.

25/10/2025

Hurricane Melissa Advisory Number 18
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM EDT Sat Oct 25 2025
..MELISSA LIKELY STARTING TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY AND EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE TOMORROW...
..LIFE-THREATENING AND CATASTROPHIC FLASH FLOODING AND LANDSLIDES EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN HISPANIOLA AND JAMAICA INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 75.5W
ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM SE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
ABOUT 250 MI...405 KM WSW OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...974 MB...28.77 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Cuba has issued a Hurricane Watch for the Cuban
provinces of Granma, Santiago de Cuba, Guantanamo, and Holguin.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Jamaica

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Southwestern peninsula of Haiti from the border with the
Dominican Republic to Port-Au-Prince
* Cuban provinces of Granma, Santiago de Cuba, Guantanamo, and
Holguin.

A Tropical Storm Warning in effect for...
* Southwestern peninsula of Haiti from the border with the
Dominican Republic to Port-Au-Prince

Interests elsewhere in Haiti, the Dominican Republic, Cuba, the southeastern and central Bahamas, and the Turks and Caicos Islands
should monitor the progress of Melissa.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Melissa was located near latitude 16.6 North, longitude 75.5 West. Melissa is moving toward slowly the west near 3 mph (6 km/h). A slow westward motion is expected tonight through the end of the weekend. A turn to
the north and northeast is forecast on Monday and Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Melissa is expected to move near or over Jamaica during the weekend and early next week, and it could be near or over eastern Cuba by the middle of next week.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid intensification is forecast to continue
over the next day or so and Melissa is forecast to become a major hurricane tomorrow and is expected to still be a major hurricane
when making landfall in Jamaica early next week. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles. The estimated minimum central pressure is 974 mb (28.77 inches).

23/10/2025

11AM ADVISORY: Tropical Storm Melissa struggling to intensify -- for now -- but is likely to do so soon, reaching major hurricane status over the weekend.

Very significant impacts are possible for Jamaica with the country in the forecast cone.

Tropical Storm Melissa Advisory Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM EDT Thu Oct 23 2025
..MELISSA REORGANIZING AND EXPECTED TO BEGIN INTENSIFYING SOON...
..HEAVY RAINS AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING EXPECTED FOR PORTIONS OF HISPANIOLA AND JAMAICA THROUGH THE WEEKEND...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.4N 74.9W
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM SE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
ABOUT 280 MI...450 KM SW OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Southwestern peninsula of Haiti from the border with the
Dominican Republic to Port-Au-Prince
* Jamaica

A Tropical Storm Warning in effect for...
* Jamaica

Interests elsewhere in Haiti, the Dominican Republic, and Cuba should monitor the progress of Melissa.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Melissa was located near latitude 15.4 North, longitude 74.9 West. Melissa is moving toward the north-northwest near 2 mph (4 km/h). A slow northward motion is forecast during the next day or two, followed by a westward turn over the weekend. On the forecast track, Melissa is expected to move closer to Jamaica and the southwestern portion of Haiti during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradually strengthening is forecast over the next day or so, followed by more rapid intensification this weekend. Melissa is forecast to become a hurricane in a couple of days and a major hurricane by the end of the weekend. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).

22/10/2025

The National Hurricane Center now calls for Melissa to become an extremely dangerous Major Hurricane in the Western Caribbean by early next week. Hispaniola, Jamaica, The Caymans, Cuba, and The Bahamas should start hurricane preps as soon as possible. 🌀

11AM ADVISORY: Tropical Storm Melissa is meandering over the central Caribbean Sea with strengthening forecast in the days ahead. It is now projected to become a major hurricane by next week while potentially tracking near or over Jamaica.

Tropical Storm Melissa Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132025 1100 AM EDT Wed Oct 22 2025 ...

MELISSA DRIFTING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...

...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF HISPANIOLA AND JAMAICA OVER THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...

INFORMATION/LOCATION...
14.4N 73.6W ABOUT 300 MI...485 KM SSW OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI ABOUT 325 MI...525 KM SE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...

* Southwestern peninsula of Haiti from the border with the Dominican Republic to Port-Au-Prince

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...

* Jamaica A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere in Haiti, the Dominican Republic, and Cuba should monitor the progress of Melissa.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Melissa was located by Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft near latitude 14.4 North, longitude 73.6 West. Melissa is moving slowly toward the west-northwest near 2 mph (4 km/h). A continued slow forward speed and a gradual turn to the northwest and north-northwest is expected during the next couple of days, followed by a turn back westward by the end of the week. On the forecast track, Melissa is expected to approach Jamaica and the southwestern portion of Haiti later this week. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Some gradual strengthening is anticipated during the next few days, and Melissa could become a hurricane by Friday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. The minimum central pressure estimated by aircraft dropsonde data is 1000 mb (29.53 inches)

21/10/2025

11AM ADVISORY - Tropical Storm Melissa has formed in the Caribbean Sea. It is forecast to become a hurricane this week, though there is high-uncertainty in its future track. A hurricane watch is in effect for parts of Haiti and a Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Jamaica.

Tropical Storm Melissa Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM EDT Tue Oct 21 2025
..THE 13TH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON FORMS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA...
..HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF HAITI...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.3N 71.7W
ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM S OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A Hurricane Watch has been issued for the southern peninsula of
Haiti from the border with the Dominican Republic to Port-Au-Prince.
The government of Jamaica has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for the
island.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Border with Dominican Republic to Port-Au-Prince

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Jamaica

At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of the newly formed Tropical Storm Melissa was located near latitude 14.3 North, longitude 71.7 West. Melissa is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h). A decrease in forward speed and a gradual turn to the northwest and
north is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, Melissa is expected to approach the southwestern portion of Haiti
and Jamaica later this week.

Surface observations and satellite data indicate that the maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual
strengthening is expected during the next few days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).

18/10/2025

Organized severe weather is expected today (10/18). Damaging winds, a few tornadoes, and hail may occur. Stay weather aware during the afternoon/evening.

17/10/2025

A storm system will slowly continue to press across the central U.S. Friday and Saturday with widespread showers and thunderstorms. Slight risks for severe thunderstorms and excessive rainfall have been issued Saturday from the Ozarks into the mid-Mississippi River Valley with potential for damaging winds, large hail, tornadoes, and flash flooding.

16/10/2025

NOAA’s National Weather Service Winter Outlook has been released.

This outlook shows the likely temperature and precipitation the U.S. could experience during meteorological winter (December 1, 2025 through February 28, 2026) and drought conditions through January 31, 2026.

Here are the highlights:

🌎La Niña conditions are expected to develop later this fall and will be a factor in the winter outlook.

🌡️A milder-than-average winter is favored across the southern tier of the country and along the Eastern Seaboard.

💧Wetter-than-average conditions for the Ohio Valley and southern Great Lakes region, along with most of Alaska, are also favored. Drier-than-average conditions are forecast in the desert Southwest, along the Gulf Coast, and from Florida to the Carolinas.

🌤️Drought conditions are expected to persist and worsen from southern Texas to California.

NOAA’s seasonal outlooks provide the likelihood that average temperature and total precipitation for the three-month period will be above-, near- or below-average and how drought conditions are anticipated to change in the months ahead.

Keep In Mind: The outlook does not project seasonal snowfall accumulations as snow forecasts are generally not predictable more than a week in advance, and cold weather can still be experienced in areas that are warmer-than-normal over the course of the season.

16/10/2025

Severe weather this week: A storm system developing across the Plains may cause locally severe weather in western Kansas and southwestern Nebraska today, before pushing into Oklahoma, Kansas, and Missouri on Friday. By Saturday, a threat for tornadoes, damaging wind gusts and hail is expected to develop across parts of the Ark-La-Tex, Ozarks and mid Mississippi Valley.

15/10/2025

Looking ahead, a storm system moving out of the Central U.S. is expected to bring a severe weather and flooding threat to the Mid-Mississippi Valley on Saturday.

US Weather Desk

28/10/2025

27/10/2025

26/10/2025

25/10/2025

23/10/2025

22/10/2025

21/10/2025

18/10/2025

17/10/2025

16/10/2025

16/10/2025

15/10/2025

Address

Website

Alerts

Contact The Business

Shortcuts

Share

Our Story