26/02/2025
In the complex tapestry of Kenyan politics, historical patterns often repeat themselves, offering valuable lessons for contemporary leaders. One such narrative involves Jaramogi Oginga Odinga, a figure who had already begun forging his own political path by the early 1990s.
As the push to oust President Moi intensified, a group of influential figures, including Paul Muite, Kenneth Matiba, and Charles Rubia, converged to discuss forming a formidable alliance with Jaramogi. This coalition aimed to challenge Moi's regime, with Jaramogi potentially leading the charge as a joint presidential candidate after constitutional reforms.
These discussions took place without Jaramogi's initial knowledge, involving other key figures like Bishop Henry Okullu and Joab Omino. When approached, Jaramogi expressed skepticism, drawing from past experiences of political betrayal, particularly the tumultuous Kikuyu-Luo alliances of the colonial and post-independence eras. Despite these reservations, he agreed to the alliance after being assured of genuine support.
However, the dynamics shifted when Matiba, while recovering abroad, was persuaded by some Mt. Kenya politicians that he could successfully challenge Moi alone. This led to a change in alliances after the introduction of multipartism, with some abandoning their commitment to Jaramogi. Muite remained steadfast in his support, but the divided opposition ultimately handed Moi another term.
Jaramogi, familiar with political betrayals, launched his own presidential bid, supported by a few Mt. Kenya politicians like Muite and Gitobu Imanyara. His passing the following year marked the end of an era.
Today, as Raila Odinga navigates the complex landscape of Kenyan politics, he would do well to heed the lessons of history.
The offer of support from figures like Gachagua should be viewed with caution, as historical patterns suggest that such alliances can be fleeting and driven by ulterior motives.
Gachagua's intentions might be more about personal vendettas than genuine support, and even if successful, such a partnership could lead to a chaotic government, mirroring the divisions seen in UDA.
The contrast between Raila's inclusive approach to political appointments and Gachagua's belief in prioritizing communities that voted for the government could further exacerbate these divisions.
