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Decision Desk HQ Elections Returns, Analysis and Projections.

11/12/2025

Everything is bigger in Texas, including the candidate filing deadline! Gabby Birenbaum from The Texas Tribune joined DDHQ to talk about the ins and outs of Texas's big races, including what Jasmine Crockett's candidacy vs. James Talarico in the Democratic primary means for . https://zurl.co/lWyMo

In this week's newsletter, a look at candidates who might get accused of "carpetbagging" by running in states or distric...
08/12/2025

In this week's newsletter, a look at candidates who might get accused of "carpetbagging" by running in states or districts that are mostly or totally new to them. This includes at least 4 former or current House members running in 2026, such as Madison Cawthorn & Chris Collins. https://zurl.co/J8573

04/12/2025

In this week's DDHQ Podcast, we talked Tennessee with Jacob Rubashkin from Inside Elections! We dug into the special election result — especially the contest's high turnout — and what it may say about next year's midterms. https://zurl.co/1lULh

DDHQ has a big preview of today's special election. The GOP favored to win the Trump +22 district, but limited polling...
02/12/2025

DDHQ has a big preview of today's special election. The GOP favored to win the Trump +22 district, but limited polling says it's close & both parties' super PACs have spent $$$. A Dem upset would rank among biggest recent special election flips. https://zurl.co/9KZWR

DDHQ has an in-depth preview of the special election for Tennessee's 7th District happening on Tuesday (tomorrow)! The s...
01/12/2025

DDHQ has an in-depth preview of the special election for Tennessee's 7th District happening on Tuesday (tomorrow)! The solidly Republican seat looks competitive, so while the GOP is favored to hold onto the seat, a Democratic upset can't be written off. https://zurl.co/QNK00

The holiday season is here, which means 2026 is close at hand. DDHQ put together a 2026 Primary Primer covering next yea...
25/11/2025

The holiday season is here, which means 2026 is close at hand. DDHQ put together a 2026 Primary Primer covering next year's primary election calendar, which stretches from March to September. Every state. Every notable race. https://zurl.co/GU2YG

20/11/2025

Maps, maps & more maps. This week, the DDHQ Podcast toured the 6 states that have redistricted their congressional maps. A big ? is Texas, where a federal judicial panel just blocked the new map. https://zurl.co/8GZMB

2025 election review in this week's DDHQ newsletter: How Mamdani won NYC, why California's redistricting measure passed ...
17/11/2025

2025 election review in this week's DDHQ newsletter: How Mamdani won NYC, why California's redistricting measure passed so easily & how swingy Georgia voted über blue for Public Service Commission. https://zurl.co/Rgd00

13/11/2025

Let's talk polling in 2025. Decision Desk HQ's podcast explored why polling is important, what challenges it faces, building polling averages, and what happened in the 2025 polls with two FiveThirtyEight alumni, Mary Radcliffe & G. Elliott Morris, who are founders of the new polling website FiftyPlusOne. https://zurl.co/DwRoZ

As the longest shutdown in US history persists, President Trump’s approval has dropped by 5.7 points in the past two wee...
12/11/2025

As the longest shutdown in US history persists, President Trump’s approval has dropped by 5.7 points in the past two weeks. His net approval, negative 13 points, is the lowest it has ever been during his second term.

With the introduction of Wesley Hunt into our Texas Senate Republican Primary average, Ken Paxton regains the lead over incumbent John Cornyn.

14-day change in averages:

🟠Presidential Disapproval +5.7%
🟣Trump Unfavorable +1.8%
🟣Vance Unfavorable +1.2%
🟢Schumer Favorable +2.3%
🟣Democratic Party Unfavorable +1.2%
🟣Republican Party Unfavorable +1.0%
🔵Democratic Generic Ballot +0.6%
🟤Wrong Track +7.2%
🔴Paxton +4.7%

You can follow the polling movement, including generic ballot crosstabs and Texas Senate Republican Primary, on our website.

DDHQ's Monday newsletter delved into the results in Virginia and New Jersey with 10 maps, charts & tables. Read it here:...
11/11/2025

DDHQ's Monday newsletter delved into the results in Virginia and New Jersey with 10 maps, charts & tables. Read it here: https://zurl.co/Vbw2J

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DDHQ's newsletter explores Virginia & New Jersey's election results in 10 charts, maps, and tables. In both states, Demo...
10/11/2025

DDHQ's newsletter explores Virginia & New Jersey's election results in 10 charts, maps, and tables. In both states, Democrats won double-digit victories for governor, took/kept full control of state government, and won their largest state legislative majorities in recent times. https://zurl.co/1s6Vt

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Decision Desk HQ

Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ) has been reporting US Election Results since 2012. DDHQ’s approach to election results collection and reporting is based on leveraging the technological changes in how people vote and how election authorities collect and report those votes. We are the only election collection service that reports on all levels of elections from the presidency to local town board and everything in between.