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Decision Desk HQ Fast and reliable results and analysis for elections at every level. Results: https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com
Analysis: https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com

The DDHQ Forecast rates Pennsylvania's 10th district as Lean Democratic.In a rematch of 2024's House election, Janelle S...
10/09/2026

The DDHQ Forecast rates Pennsylvania's 10th district as Lean Democratic.

In a rematch of 2024's House election, Janelle Stelson has a 64% probability to beat incumbent Rep. Scott Perry.

Stelson has held a consistent lead in the model since May.

Decision Desk HQ PA-10 Forecast (9/10):

Probabilities:
🟦 Stelson: 64%
🟥 Perry: 36%

Projected Vote Share:
🟦 Stelson: 51%
🟥 Perry: 49%

Explore this race on Votes: https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/races/2026-11-03/pennsylvania-us-house-10-general-election/forecast

In Michigan's 7th congressional district, Democrat Will Lawrence is the favorite.The DDHQ Forecast gives Lawrence a 66% ...
10/09/2026

In Michigan's 7th congressional district, Democrat Will Lawrence is the favorite.

The DDHQ Forecast gives Lawrence a 66% probability of winning, with incumbent Tom Barrett at a 34% probability.

This is one of the key Democratic targets and will play a key role in House control.

Decision Desk HQ MI-07 Forecast (9/10):

Probabilities:
🟦 Lawrence: 66%
🟥 Barrett: 34%

Projected Vote Share:
🟦 Lawrence: 52%
🟥 Barrett: 48%

Explore this race on Votes: https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/races/2026-11-03/michigan-us-house-7-general-election/forecast

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