Decision Desk HQ

25/06/2025

Polling averages this week offer a muddied look at public opinion. The President’s approval trended downward for a third consecutive week, while Republicans flipped the Generic Ballot Question in their favor. All candidate favorabilities inch higher over the last seven days, except for Donald Trump. 7-day change in averages:

Presidential Disapproval +1.9%
Trump Unfavorable +0.3%
Vance Favorable +2.4%
Musk Favorable +0.2%
Schumer Favorable +0.4%
Right Track +0.9%
Republican Generic Ballot +1.9%

You can follow the polling movement, including tracking crosstab averages on Presidential approval, on our website.

24/06/2025

In tonight’s election, we’re covering more than 150 races in 6 different states, including New York City’s Democratic primary for mayor. Following the decision by incumbent Mayor Eric Adams to run as an independent in November, the Democratic primary has become a tight race between former Governor Andrew Cuomo and State Representative Zohran Mamdani.

Polls close for the NYC primary election at 9 p.m. ET, and you can follow the results for all races on our website.

18/06/2025

A check on polling this week shows a significant souring of public opinion toward Trump and his administration.

Presidential approval is now five points underwater, and recent polling shows Americans moving firmly toward the belief that the country is on the wrong track.

7-day change in averages:

Presidential Disapproval +3.0%
Trump Unfavorable +1.5%
Vance Unfavorable +2.7%
Musk Unfavorable +3.4%
Schumer Favorable +2.2%
Wrong Track +6.9%
Democratic Generic Ballot +0.1%

You can follow the polling movement, including tracking crosstab averages on Presidential approval, on our website.

17/06/2025

Tonight, we’re tracking more than 200 races across 5 states, including Virginia’s crowded Democratic primary for lieutenant governor. 6 Democratic candidates, including State Senators Ghazala Hashmi and Aaron Rouse, hope to face off against Republican nominee John Reid in November.

Polls close for the VA primary election at 7 p.m. ET, and you can follow the results for all races at our website.

11/06/2025

The most significant movement in this week’s polling average update notes negative changes in both Trump and Musk’s favorability.

After their spat, both have seen public opinion dip in recent days, primarily due to losses in favorability among polled Republicans.

7-day change in averages:

Presidential Disapproval +0.3%
Trump Unfavorable +1.9%
Vance Favorable +0.5%
Musk Unfavorable +1.6%
Schumer Favorable +0.5%
Wrong Track +1.7%
Republican Generic Ballot +0.5%

You can follow the polling movement, including tracking crosstab averages on Presidential approval, on our website.

11/06/2025

Decision Desk HQ projects Mikie Sherrill to win the Democratic primary in the New Jersey Governor’s race.

: 8:14 pm ET

Follow live results on our website.

11/06/2025

Decision Desk HQ projects Jack Ciattarelli to win the Republican primary in the New Jersey Governor’s race.

: 8:10 pm ET

Follow live results on our website.

10/06/2025

Tonight, we’re tracking nearly 700 races in 8 different states, including the race to succeed Phil Murphy as NJ Governor. While former state representative Jack Ciattarelli, endorsed by Trump, is the clear favorite on the Republican side, the Democratic primary features a crowded field of hopefuls. Rep. Mikie Sherrill is the current favorite, but Jersey City Mayor Steven Fulop, Newark Mayor Ras Baraka, and Rep. Josh Gottheimer are also key players to watch in tonight’s election.

Polls close for the NJ primary election at 8 p.m. ET, and you can follow the results for all races on our website.

27/05/2025

Today, we've launched a new candidate favorability polling average for Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer.

Schumer's favorability currently rests 14.3 points underwater.

You can follow all polling movement, including Presidential approval crosstabs at https://decisiondeskhq.com/polls/averages/

31/10/2024

Polling has captured an oversample of the white educated voter. What might this mean for the accuracy of polls?

We assess this and more in our latest episode of “Let Me Finish”:
https://zurl.co/o9Hz

View our live polling averages: https://elections2024.thehill.com/Check out our website: https://decisiondeskhq.comTrack election results live: decisiondeskh...

28/10/2024

Early voters have been coming out in droves, making this election hard to compare to the 2020 election. In this episode of “Let Me Finish,” we discuss the difficulty of analyzing early voting patterns, the latest polls, and the closing messages of Donald Trump and Kamala Harris.

Watch more here:
https://zurl.co/VBUK

View our live polling averages: https://elections2024.thehill.com/Check out our website: https://decisiondeskhq.comTrack election results live: decisiondeskh...

25/10/2024

The Rust Belt states of MI, WI, and PA are critical for the election. Had Hilary Clinton won them in 2016, she would have been President, and had Donald Trump won them in 2020, he would have had a second term.

A look at the impact these states would have if the election were held today:
https://zurl.co/9LRT

View our live polling averages: https://elections2024.thehill.com/Check out our website: https://decisiondeskhq.comTrack election results live: decisiondeskh...