25/04/2026
https://www.facebook.com/share/p/1L62pEhyLw/
An El Niño event is expected from mid-2026, impacting global temperature and rainfall patterns.
WMO’s global seasonal climate update signals a clear shift in the Equatorial Pacific. Sea-surface temperatures are rising rapidly, pointing to a likely return of El Niño conditions as early as May–July 2026. Forecasts indicate there is a “nearly global dominance of above-normal land surface temperatures” in the next three months, along with regional variations in rainfall patterns.
El Niño (and La Niña) is one of the most powerful climate patterns on Earth. It occurs when ocean surface temperatures warm in the central and eastern Equatorial Pacific, typically every 2-7 years for around 9-12 months.
Note: WMO does not use the term “super El Niño” because it is not part of standardized operational classifications.
What to expect?
🌡️ Warmer global climate
🔥 Increased chances of extreme weather such as heatwaves and heavy rainfall
🌧️ Increased rainfall in parts of southern South America, the southern United States, the Horn of Africa and central Asia
🥵 Drier conditions over Australia, Indonesia, and parts of southern Asia
☔ During the Boreal summer, increase of hurricanes in the central/eastern Pacific Ocean, but fewer in the Atlantic Basin
WMO will release a full El Nino Update in late May, after the end of the so-called ‘spring predictably barrier’.
