07/08/2026
🎙️ IT'S OUT!
Why Do We Keep Being Surprised? – Rethinking Strategic Foresight in an Uncertain World
This was a fascinating conversation.
My guest on the latest episode of The Focus is Patti Morrissey, founder of Global Foresight Strategies, who has spent three decades working across the U.S. national security establishment.
We started by talking about strategic foresight—but the conversation quickly opened into something much bigger.
Iran's nuclear program. Trump. American political change. Putin and Russian disinformation. Strategic surprise. Whether autocracies are better at thinking long term. And ultimately: what conditions could lead to World War III?
But the question running through the entire conversation is:
👉 Why, when governments have access to so much information, do they keep getting surprised?
This one gave me plenty to think about.
🎥 Watch the full episode here:
https://youtu.be/NAbrVwyoDJY?si=HP9N6savdxgV5WDF
And let me know in the comments:
What major threat do you think governments can see coming—but still aren't adequately preparing for?