SiWeather Network

08/11/2024

-----------PUBLIC NOTICE-----------

23/10/2024

21/10/2024

21/10/2024

Hurricane Oscar Intermediate Advisory Number 7A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162024
800 PM EDT Sun Oct 20 2024
..OSCAR BRINGING HURRICANE CONDITIONS, HEAVY RAINFALL, AND STORM
SURGE TO PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA...

SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.2N 74.5W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM W OF THE EASTERN TIP OF CUBA
ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM E OF GUANTANAMO CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 240 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* North coast of the Cuban Provinces of Holguin and Guantanamo to
Punta Maisi

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* North coast of the Cuban Province of Las Tunas

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Southeastern Bahamas
* South coast of Cuban Province of Guantanamo
* North coast of the Cuban Province of Las Tunas

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* North coast of the Cuban Province of Camaguey
* Central Bahamas

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests in the remainder of the Bahamas should monitor the
progress of Oscar.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM EDT (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Oscar was located
near latitude 20.2 North, longitude 74.5 West. Oscar is moving
toward the west-southwest near 6 mph (9 km/h). A turn toward the
northwest and north is expected on Monday and Tuesday. On the
forecast track, the center of Oscar is expected to continue moving
across eastern Cuba tonight and Monday, then emerge off the northern
coast of Cuba late Monday and cross the central Bahamas on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher
gusts. Weakening is expected as Oscar interacts with the mountainous
terrain of eastern Cuba, but Oscar could still be a tropical storm
when it moves north of Cuba late Monday and then moves across the
central Bahamas on Tuesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 10 miles (20 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles
(75 km). A weather station at Punta Maisi in eastern Cuba reported a
sustained wind of 53 mph (85 km/h) and a gust of 81 mph (130 km/h)
within the past couple of hours.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 988 mb (29.18 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Oscar can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header WTNT41 KNHC
and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml

WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in the warning area and
possible in the watch area of Cuba tonight.

Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area and
possible in the watch area of Cuba tonight and Monday. Tropical
storm conditions are expected in the warning area in parts of the
southeastern Bahamas and possible in the watch area in parts of the
central Bahamas Monday into Tuesday.

RAINFALL: Through Wednesday morning, rainfall amounts of 6 to 12
inches with isolated amounts of 18 inches are expected across
eastern Cuba. Across the southeastern Bahamas, 3 to 5 inches are
expected, with isolated amounts around 8 inches. Across the Turks
and Caicos, an additional 2 to 4 inches of rain is expected through
Wednesday morning.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Hurricane Oscar, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total
Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?rainqpf

STORM SURGE: Water levels of 1 to 3 ft above normal tide levels are
expected along the north shore of Cuba in areas of onshore winds.
Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and
destructive waves.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

20/10/2024

Contact us today!

20/10/2024

Alert #11 on Hurricane Oscar issued by The Bahamas Department of Meteorology Sunday, 20th
October, 2024 at 6 PM EDT.

… OSCAR CLOSE TO LANFALL IN CUBA…

Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for portions of the Southeast Bahamas. The islands are
Crooked Island, Acklins, Long Cay, Ragged Island and Inagua.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that Tropical Storm conditions could be experienced on these
islands within 36 hours or is being experienced.
All warnings have been discontinued for the island of Mayaguana. The all clear is given for
Mayaguana.

A Tropical Storm Watch remains in effect for the islands of the Central Bahamas. This includes
Cat Island, Exuma, Long Island, Rum Cay and San Salvador.

A Tropical Watch means that tropical Storm conditions could be experienced within 48 hours or is
being experienced

At 5 PM EDT, the center of Hurricane Oscar was located near latitude 20.5 degrees North and
longitude 74.3 degrees West, or about 50 miles southwest of Matthew Town, Inagua, or about 165
miles south-southeast of South Long Island, about 370 miles southeast of New Providence.
Oscar is moving toward the west-southwest near 6 MPH. A continued west-southwestward motion at
a slow forward speed is expected through tonight, followed by a turn toward the northwest and north on
Monday and Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Oscar is expected to make landfall along the
northern coast of Eastern Cuba shortly. The system is then expected to move across eastern Cuba tonight
and Monday. Oscar is then forecast to begin moving a bit faster to the northeast across the Central
Bahamas on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are estimated to be near 80 MPH with higher gusts. After Oscar makes
landfall, significant weakening is expected, but Oscar could still be a tropical storm when it moves north
of Cuba late Monday and then moves across the Central Bahamas on Tuesday.

Hurricane-force winds only extending outward up to 10 miles from the center and tropical-storm-force
winds extend outward up to 45 miles from the center.
While Tropical Storm winds have discontinued over Inagua, heavy rainfall and thunderstorms with
possible tornadic activity will continue into tonight.

Residents in Ragged Island, Cat Island, Exuma, Long Island, Rum Cay and San Salvador should
begin making preparation for possible tropical storm conditions on Tuesday.

The next Alert on Hurricane Oscar will be issued at 8 PM.
ISSUED BY: Jeffrey Simmons

Send a message to learn more

20/10/2024

SIWXN
HURRICANE OSCAR ADVANCED TRACK
5 PM UPDATE ON HURRICANE OSCAR
20/10/24

TROPICAL STORM WATCHES REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.

TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS.

THE NEXT ALERT ISSUED BY THE BAHAMAS MET SERVICE IS AT 6PM EDT 20/10/24.

Bahamas Meteorology

20/10/2024

*SIWXN*
*TROPICAL UPDATE*
*SUNDAY OCTOBER 20, 2024*
*11AM UPDATE*
FROM THE NHC PUBLIC ADVISORY:
*_The government of the Bahamas has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for the Central Bahamas._*
*_A Hurricane Warning Remains in effect for the Southeastern Bahamas_*

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Oscar was located
near latitude 20.7 North, longitude 73.9 West. Oscar is moving
toward the west-southwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A continued
west-southwestward motion at a slow forward speed is expected
through tonight, followed by a turn toward the northwest and north
on Monday and Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Oscar
is expected to make landfall along the northeastern coast of Cuba
later this afternoon or evening. The system is then expected to move
across eastern Cuba tonight and Monday. Oscar will then accelerate
northeastward across the central Bahamas on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher
gusts. Oscar is expected to reach the northeastern coast of Cuba as
a hurricane later this afternoon. Weakening is expected after
landfall, but Oscar could still be a tropical storm when it moves
north of Cuba late Monday and moves across the central Bahamas on
Tuesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 10 miles (20 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles
(75 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure measured by aircraft
dropsonde observations is 986 mb (29.12 inches).

HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS:

Rainfall:
Southeastern Bahamas
3 to 5 inches are expected, with isolated amounts around 8 inches.

Storm Surge:
A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding on Great Inagua Island in the
southeastern Bahamas, where water levels are expected to be between 2 and 4 feet above normal tide levels.

20/10/2024

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Oscar was located near latitude 20.8 North, longitude 73.6 West. Oscar is moving toward the west-southwest near 12 mph (19 km/h).

A continued west-southwestward motion at a slower forward speed is expected through tonight, followed by a turn toward the northwest and north on Monday and Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Oscar
will move away from Great Inagua later this morning before making landfall along the northeastern coast of Cuba later this afternoon or evening. The system is then expected to move across eastern Cuba tonight and Monday. Oscar will then accelerate northeastward across the central Bahamas on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds as recently reported by Air Force Reconnaissance data remains near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Oscar is expected to reach the northeastern coast of Cuba as a hurricane later this afternoon. Weakening is expected after landfall, but Oscar could still be a tropical storm when it moves
north of Cuba late Monday and moves across the central Bahamas on Tuesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 5 miles (10 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles
(75 km).

The minimum central pressure measured by aircraft dropsonde data is 986 mb (29.12 inches).

20/10/2024

*SIWXN*
*TRACKING HURRICANE OSCAR*
*11 PM ENHANCED TRACK*
*SATURDAY OCTOBER 19, 2024*

20/10/2024

Not out of the woods for Turks & Caicos and The Southeast Bahamas. Here is the latest track from The NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center