07/31/2025
We badly need rain here in the St. John's and surrounding areas, but also the rest of the Island.
We will see a few spotty and scattered showers tomorrow, however they will be hit and miss, so not everyone will see it, and anyone who does, it's very likely that won't accumulate much if anything.
Here's the good news... There is some beneficial rainfall coming Friday Night through Saturday Night. The bad news... is that not everyone will see the beneficial rainfall.
From what I am seeing right now, and looking at the RGEM/RDPS model, it still looks like the most of the rain will stay farther South, Areas like Cape Race and the Southern tip of the Avalon could see 20 to 30mm, as for St. John's and the Metro... looking at 2-4mm, MAYBE up to 5mm, and then Bay Roberts and rest of the Avalon, looking at under 2mm.
Now looking at the GEM Canadian model, the rain is closer to the Island, and the heaviest rain will reach the Metro with amounts of 15-20mm, UKMET model also has this, but slightly lesser rainfall. The NAM, GFS, ECMWF, ICON & SPIRE models wants to put the system far south, giving us little to no rainfall, and then you have the RDPS, RGEM, GEM & UKMET bringing it closer, so it's a split decision, this will be a hard forecast, and will be watching closely, but as of now, I am leaning towards the RDPS & GEM models.
Full new update and Forecast Tomorrow morning, and on air! at CHMR 93.5 FM! at 12pm and every hour til 8pm!