Agrometerology and Natural Risk management

10/05/2026

25/04/2026

ni hojjana
***
(Ebla 25 hanga Caamsaa 01, 2026) Eegamu
Yaada Waliigalaa
Torban dhufan keessa kutaaleen Oromiyaa baay’een rooba ni argatu. Hamma roobaa irratti hundaa’uun bakkeewwan sadiitti qooduun ni danda’ama:
• Rooba Cimaa (Milimeetira 60 oli):
• Kutaaleen Kibbaa fi Kibba-Bahaa, keessattuu Guji, Guji Lixaa, Boorana, fi Boorana Bahaa rooba cimaa (halluu cuquliisa cimaa) ni argatu.
• Godinaaleen akka Jimmaa, Iluu Abba-Boora, fi Bunnoo Beddellee kutaaleen tokko tokkos rooba gaarii ni argatu.
• Rooba Giddu-galeessaa (Milimeetira 20 - 60):
• Godinaaleen akka Baalee, Baalee Bahaa, Arsi Lixaa, fi Arsi akkasumas Harargee Lixaa fi Bahaa rooba giddu-galeessa ta’e (halluu cuquliisa ifaa) ni argatu.
• Rooba Xiqqaa (Milimeetira 20 gadi):
• Kutaaleen Oromiyaa Dhihaa fi Kaabaa kanneen akka Wallagga (Lixaa, Bahaa, Qellem, Horroo Guduruu), Shawaa (Lixaa, Kaabaa, Bahaa, Kibba-Lixaa) fi Finfinnee naannawa ishee jiran rooba xiqqaa (halluu magariisa) argatu jedhamee eegama.
Dhaamsa fi Of-eeggannoo
1. Qonnaan Bulaadhaaf: Naannolee roobni salphaa hanga giddugaleessaa keessatti eegamu (fakkeenyaaf Guji fi Boorana) bishaan roobaa kufisuu fi lolaa qabachuun barbaachisadha.
2. Horsiisee Bulaaf: Naannolee gammoojjii keessatti roobni kun margaa fi bishaan horiidhaaf waan ta’uuf carraa gaariidha.
3. Lolaa: Bakkeewwan halluu cuquliisa cimaa qaban keessatti lolaan tasaa uumamuu waan danda'uuf xiyyeeffannoo gochuun barbaachisaadha.
Gabaabaatti, torban kun kutaalee kibbaatti rooba cimaa, kutaalee kaabaa fi dhihaatti immoo rooba xiqqaa kan qabudha.

Agrometeorology Advisory

08/04/2026

, 2026)
***
1. Rooba Cimaa (Milimeetira 90 - 200)
Naannooleen dhihaafi giddu-galeessa Oromiyaa tokko tokko rooba jabaa argatu. Isaanis:
• Jimmaa, Iluu Abbaa Boor, Buno Beddee, naannoo baha Wallaggaa fi Horroo Guduruu Wallaggaa.
• Naannooleen kunneen halluu cuquliisaan waan hammatamaniif, roobni isaanii baay'ee cimaa dha.
2. Rooba Giddu-galeessaa (Milimeetira 30 - 90)
Naannooleen baay'een rooba giddu-galeessaafi gaarii ta'e argatu. Halluun isaanii magariisa gubbaafi magariisa ifaa dha:
• Wallagga Dhihaa, Qellem Wallagga, Shawaa Dhihaa, Shawaa Kaabaa fi Shawaa Kibba Dhihaa.
• Akkaataa kaartaatiin, Shaggar City fi Finfinneenis rooba giddu-galeessaa kana keessatti ramadamu.
3. Rooba Xixiqqoo (Milimeetira 5 - 30)
Naannooleen bahaafi kibbaa rooba gad-bu'aa argatu. Halluun isaanii magariisa baay'ee ifaa dha:
• Arsii, Arsii Dhihaa, Baale, baha Baale, Gujii, Gujii Dhihaa, Boorana, Harargee Bahaa fi Dhihaa.
Gabaabaatti: Torbee kana keessa dhiha Oromiyaatti rooba cimaa, giddu-galeessaatti rooba gaarii, bahaafi kibbaatti immoo rooba xixxiqqootu eegama. 💪💪

Agrometeorology Advisory

02/04/2026

(Ebla 01–07, 2026) Eegamu

Akka ragaa raaga qilleensaa yeroo ammaatti, naannoon Oromiyaa torban jalqabaa Eblaatti qophii rooba arfaasaa (Belg) keessa jirti. Haalli roobaa hamma isaa kutaalee naannichaa adda addaa keessatti akka armaan gadiitti ibsama:

1. Godinaalee Roobni Itti Dabalu (Hamma Ol’aanaa)
Kutaalee bahaa fi kibba Oromiyaa keessatti roobni cimaan ni eegama.
• Godinaalee: Arsi, Arsi Lixaa, Baale Bahaa, Baale Lixaa, Harargee Bahaa, Harargee Lixaa, Gujii, fi kutaalee ol-ka’oo Booranaa.
• Haala Isaa: Roobni kun cimaa (heavy) ta’uu danda’a; keessumattuu Ebla 1 hanga 3tti carraan isaa ol’aanaadha.
• Akeekkachiisa: Bakkeewwan gaarren jala jiranitti balaa lolaa (flash flood) fiduu waan danda’uuf of-eggannoon ni barbaachisa.
2. Godinaalee Rooba Giddu-galeessaa Argatan
Kutaaleen giddu-galeessaa fi kibba lixaa Oromiyaa rooba ga’aa fi wal-fakkaataa ta’e argatu.
•bGodinaalee: Jimma, Iluu Abbaa Boora, Bunnoo Beddellee, Wallagga Bahaa, fi Shawa Lixaa.
• Haala Isaa: Roobni kun qonnaan bultoota qophii lafa qonnaa fi facaasaa jalqabaatiif baay'ee murteessaadha.
• Trendii: Roobni kun torban walakkaa booda (Ebla 4–5) xiqqoo qabbanaa’aa deemee aduun mul’achuu danda’a.
3. Godinaalee Roobni Itti Xiqqatu (Gogiinsa Giddu-galeessaa)
Kutaaleen dhiha fageenyaa fi kutaalee gammoojjii kibbaa tokko tokko keessatti roobni ni xiqqaata.
• Godinaalee: Wallagga Lixaa, Qellem Wallagga, fi Gammoojjii Booranaa (kibba fageenyaa).
• Haala Isaa: Bakkeewwan kanneenitti ho’i aduu hamma tokko dabaluu danda’a (digrii seentigreedii 32°C ol).
• Trendii: Ebla 6 fi 7 carraan roobaa gadi bu’aadha.
________________________________________
Cuunfaa Gabaasaa
Guyyaa Haala Roobaa Haala Qilleensaa Carraa Roobaa
Ebla 1 Baay'ee Dabala Hurrii fi Rooba Cimaa 95%
Ebla 3 Giddu-galeessa Rooba Diinnisaa 65%
Ebla 5 Ni Hir’ata Aduu fi Duumessa 15%
Ebla 7 Baay'ee Xiqqaadha Aduu Giddu-galeessa 20%

@ Advisory

27/03/2026

27/03/2026

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This map shows the likelihood of receiving heavy rainfall (more than 50mm) across different regions between March 27 and April 02, 2026.

1. The Color Scale (The "Chance" of Rain)
The bar on the left shows the percentage (%) chance that a specific area will get over 50mm of rain:

Deep Red/Dark Brown (80% – 95%): These areas are almost certain to see heavy rain.

Orange/Red (60% – 70%): There is a high chance of heavy rain.

Green (20% – 40%): Heavy rain is possible but not guaranteed.

White/Pale Blue (Less than 10%): Very little chance of seeing 50mm of rain.

2. High-Risk Areas (Where to expect the most rain)
The southern and central parts of the map are the primary focus for this week:

Southern Oromia: Zones like Guji, West Guji, and parts of Borena/East Borena are in the deep red zone. This indicates a 90% chance of heavy rainfall.

Central Regions: Areas such as Bale and Jimma also show high probabilities (70%–80%).

Eastern Highs: Parts of East Harerge have a significant orange patch, meaning a 60% chance of heavy rain.

3. Lower-Risk Areas (Lighter rain or dry)
The Western and Northwestern parts (like Kelem Wollega, West Wollega, and Ilubabor) are mostly white or light green. This means they are unlikely to reach that 50mm threshold this week.

Summary for Daily Life:
***
If you are in the Red or Dark Orange zones, you should prepare for:

Potential Flooding: Heavy rain over a short period can lead to localized flooding.
Agricultural Impact: While good for crops that need water, very heavy rain can sometimes wash away seeds or make fields too muddy to work in.
Travel Delays: Expect slippery roads and potential disruptions in the southern districts.

Agrometeorology Advisory

24/03/2026

🌱 Importance of Nitrogen for Plants 🌱

Nitrogen (N) is the backbone of plant growth and one of the most essential primary macronutrients required in large quantities. It plays a crucial role in maintaining healthy plant development, improving productivity, and ensuring lush green growth.

🔬 Why Nitrogen is Important?
1️⃣ Key Component of Chlorophyll
Nitrogen is a vital part of chlorophyll—the pigment responsible for photosynthesis. Without enough nitrogen, plants cannot produce food efficiently, leading to poor growth.

2️⃣ Boosts Leaf & Stem Growth
Nitrogen promotes rapid vegetative growth, resulting in bigger, greener leaves and stronger stems. It is especially important during early growth stages.

3️⃣ Essential for Proteins & Enzymes
Nitrogen is a building block of amino acids, proteins, and nucleic acids (DNA & RNA), which are necessary for cell division and overall plant development.

4️⃣ Improves Yield & Quality
Adequate nitrogen supply increases biomass, enhances leaf size, and improves crop yield in cereals, vegetables, and fruit crops.

5️⃣ Supports Energy Transfer
Nitrogen is part of ATP (energy molecules), helping plants carry out metabolic activities and efficient nutrient utilization.

🌿 Forms Absorbed by Plants
Plants mainly absorb nitrogen in two forms:
✔️ Nitrate (NO₃⁻)
✔️ Ammonium (NH₄⁺)
⚠️ Deficiency Symptoms
• Yellowing of older leaves (chlorosis)
• Stunted growth
• Thin, weak stems
• Reduced yield

✅ Conclusion
Nitrogen is not just a nutrient—it is the driving force behind plant health, photosynthesis, and productivity. Balanced nitrogen management is key to achieving high-quality crops and sustainable farming.

🌾 Gulab Orchard | Organic Farming & Education

27/02/2026

🌧️ 𝗛𝗨𝗠𝗔𝗡𝗜𝗧𝗔𝗥𝗜𝗔𝗡 𝗕𝗥𝗜𝗘𝗙𝗜𝗡𝗚 𝗡𝗢𝗧𝗘

𝗥𝗮𝗶𝗻𝗳𝗮𝗹𝗹 𝗢𝘂𝘁𝗹𝗼𝗼𝗸 – 𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗰𝗵 𝘁𝗼 𝗠𝗮𝘆 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲 (𝗠𝗔𝗠 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲)

Issued by IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC) under Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD).

𝗙𝗼𝗰𝘂𝘀: 𝗕𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗻𝗮 𝗭𝗼𝗻𝗲 & 𝗘𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗕𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗻𝗮 𝗭𝗼𝗻𝗲 – 𝗢𝗿𝗼𝗺𝗶𝗮 𝗥𝗲𝗴𝗶𝗼𝗻, 𝗘𝘁𝗵𝗶𝗼𝗽𝗶𝗮.

🗓️ 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗣𝗲𝗿𝗶𝗼𝗱

March – May 2026 (Gu/Genna rainy season): This is the primary rainfall season for pastoral and agro-pastoral livelihoods in southern Ethiopia.

📊 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗦𝘂𝗺𝗺𝗮𝗿𝘆 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗦𝗼𝘂𝘁𝗵𝗲𝗿𝗻 𝗘𝘁𝗵𝗶𝗼𝗽𝗶𝗮

The probabilistic forecast indicates:

🟢 40–60% probability of Above-Normal Rainfall across much of Borena Zone
🟢 40–60% probability of Above-Normal Rainfall across East Borena Zone
🔵 Some localized pockets may receive Near-Normal rainfall
🟡 Very limited signals for below-normal rainfall in these zones

👉 This means rainfall is more likely than usual to be above the seasonal average, though not guaranteed.

📍𝗭𝗢𝗡𝗘-𝗦𝗣𝗘𝗖𝗜𝗙𝗜𝗖 𝗢𝗨𝗧𝗟𝗢𝗢𝗞
🐄 𝗕𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗻𝗮 𝗭𝗼𝗻𝗲
🌧️ 𝗥𝗮𝗶𝗻𝗳𝗮𝗹𝗹 𝗢𝘂𝘁𝗹𝗼𝗼𝗸: Increased likelihood of above-average seasonal rainfall. Good spatial coverage expected.

🌿 𝗣𝗼𝘁𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗶𝗮𝗹 𝗣𝗼𝘀𝗶𝘁𝗶𝘃𝗲 𝗜𝗺𝗽𝗮𝗰𝘁𝘀:

✅ Regeneration of pasture and browse
✅ Replenishment of surface water points (ponds, berkads)
✅ Livestock body condition improvement
✅ Opportunity for herd recovery following drought cycles
✅ Improved crop performance in agro-pastoral areas

⚠️ 𝗛𝘂𝗺𝗮𝗻𝗶𝘁𝗮𝗿𝗶𝗮𝗻 𝗥𝗶𝘀𝗸 𝗖𝗼𝗻𝘀𝗶𝗱𝗲𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀:

🛑 Flooding in low-lying kebeles
🛑 Waterlogging of roads affecting access
🛑 Increased livestock disease outbreaks (CBPP, FMD, PPR risks)
🛑 Malaria risk due to stagnant water
🛑 Possible displacement in flood-prone settlements

🐪 𝗘𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗕𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗻𝗮 𝗭𝗼𝗻𝗲
🌧️ 𝗥𝗮𝗶𝗻𝗳𝗮𝗹𝗹 𝗢𝘂𝘁𝗹𝗼𝗼𝗸: Above-normal rainfall more likely. Moderate to strong probability (40–60%)

🌿 𝗣𝗼𝘁