GEAB - Global Europe Anticipation Bulletin

05/09/2025

https://geab.eu/tempete-sur-les-bourses-2025-2030-les-marches-ne-font-plus-la-loi/

05/09/2025

Pour ce week-end, notre sélection d’articles vous accompagne dans votre réflexion stratégique :
https://geab.eu/outlook-2025-ce-que-disent-les-geants-financiers-face-a-lincertitude-mondiale/

05/09/2025

https://geab.eu/en/recommendations-your-reference-points-for-investing-and-making-decisions-in-chaos/

Your reference points for investing and making decisions in chaos
RECOMMENDATIONS

Invest in Bitcoin

Like Donald, invest some of your money in BTC. You’ve been doing it for a long time if you listen to our recommendations. If we are right, with the arrival of a bond and currency implosion, Bitcoin will play its full role as a hedge against inflation. Pay particular attention to the platform you choose ... read more

RECOMMENDATIONS Invest in Bitcoin Like Donald, invest some of your money in BTC. You’ve been doing it for a long time if you listen to our recommendations. If we are right, with the arrival of a bond and currency implosion, Bitcoin will play its full role as a hedge against inflation. Pay particul...

05/09/2025

https://geab.eu/en/towards-a-new-feudalism-technology-the-five-castes-of-post-industrial-society-according-to-the-geab/

After almost 20 years of anticipating the collapse of the Western-centric system, the GEAB now feels it has a duty to continue to identify the crises in the making, but also to describe the emerging model. If anticipation is the history of the short- to medium-term future, this article is a sociology exercise of the medium- to long-term future.

For some time now, and particularly since the arrival of generative AI in the form of ChatGPT / DeepSeek, our team has been seeing the emergence of a global society in which we can distinguish a very specific caste system that we have decided to put forward for your consideration... read more

After almost 20 years of anticipating the collapse of the Western-centric system, the GEAB now feels it has a duty to continue to identify the crises in the making, but also to describe the emerging model. If anticipation is the history of the short- to medium-term future, this article is a sociolog...

05/09/2025

https://geab.eu/en/the-final-crash-of-the-old-world/
35,500 billion euros is the total amount of European savings. It’s also the level of US federal debt. In twenty years, that debt has gone from 5% to 123% of GDP, generating an interest burden of 881 billion dollars – or 100 million every hour!

Meanwhile, a tech bubble has masked the systemic cracks. Since 2010, the ‘Magnificent 7’ (Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, Tesla, Nvidia) have accounted for 40% of the US stock market’s performance, with a stock growth of over 27,000%!

Above-ground growth, disconnected from any real utility... read more

35,500 billion euros is the total amount of European savings. It’s also the level of US federal debt. In twenty years, that debt has gone from 5% to 123% of GDP, generating an interest burden of 881 billion dollars – or 100 million every hour! Meanwhile, a tech bubble has masked the systemic cra...

05/09/2025

https://geab.eu/en/global-anorexia-2030-from-ozempic-to-the-great-disincarnation-of-the-human-gdh/

In 2024, the WHO estimated that 43% of adults worldwide were overweight, including 16% who were obese. In the United States, 23% of young people are obese. Obesity is rising sharply in sub-Saharan Africa and South-East Asia: +50% in 10 years[3].

In 2023, the global cost of care related to overweight and obesity is estimated at around 2,000 billion dollars per year. If current trends continue, this figure could rise to 4,320 billion dollars by 2035, or almost 3% of global GDP, an impact comparable to that of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020.[4] That said, if we had to pay for GLP-1 treatments for the one billion obese people in the world today, according to the WHO[5], we would have to spend not 2,000 billion dollars but 105,000 billion dollars a year (11% of GDP), given current prices (more than 1,000 dollars a month...Ongoing

TREND At the intersection of medicine, technology and economics, GLP-1-based anti-obesity treatments are profoundly reconfiguring our relationship with the body. Behind the promise of a miracle solution lies a society that is literally becoming increasingly ‘disembodied’, guided by virtual stand...

05/09/2025

https://geab.eu/en/asia-2025-pathways-to-geopolitical-stability/

Asia 2025: Pathways to geopolitical stability

Until now, it has been a question of preventing China from overtaking the United States in terms of technology. In 2025, not only will the West realise that China has already overtaken it, but above all that it is not China but the whole of Asia that has overtaken it: not just in terms of growth rate, production capacity or the application of new technologies, but also in terms of capacity for innovation and leadership.

English is disappearing from language learning in Asia in favour of Chinese[1]; in ASEAN, Japanese car factories are being replaced by Chinese factories[2], strategies to bypass the Chinese production force via the ASEAN countries (China+1) are simply weaving China’s commercial and diplomatic network, which ASEAN so badly needs in order to build the factories and supply the raw materials to meet demand. The Silk Roads are at work throughout Asia, generating development, income and all the connectivity that ASEAN needs[3],… in open source[4],… From now on, the more we force this region of the world to choose between China and us, the more we will lock them into a growing dependence on China....

Until now, it has been a question of preventing China from overtaking the United States in terms of technology. In 2025, not only will the West realise that China has already overtaken it, but above all that it is not China but the whole of Asia that has overtaken it: not just in terms of […]

30/07/2025

🔍 Global Anorexia 2030: From Ozempic to the disincarnation of the human
The latest GEAB article explores a striking trend shaping our future: global anorexia — not just as a health issue, but as a deep indicator of civilizational transformation.

💉 From weight-loss drugs to transhumanism
🧠 From appetite loss to disconnection from the physical self
🌍 From overconsumption to disengagement from material life

Are we witnessing the gradual "disincarnation" of humanity?
This piece offers a bold, systemic lens on how global trends in medicine, AI, and culture might be converging toward a redefinition of what it means to be human.

📖 Register and read the full article 👉 https://geab.eu/en/global-anorexia-2030-from-ozempic-to-the-great-disincarnation-of-the-human-gdh/


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TREND At the intersection of medicine, technology and economics, GLP-1-based anti-obesity treatments are profoundly reconfiguring our relationship with the body. Behind the promise of a miracle solution lies a society that is literally becoming increasingly ‘disembodied’, guided by virtual stand...

30/07/2025

🌐 The future of social media
Big Tech and opaque algorithms have shaped digital life for over a decade — but that paradigm may be shifting.

In its latest SIGNALS report, the GEAB (in partnership with l'Aube du Futur - AADF) identifies emerging signs of a new digital era: one where individual creators, independent curators, and the “commoners” begin to reclaim control over the platforms, data and revenue models of the Internet.
⚙️ DIY algorithms: Apps like SURF and Skylight let users curate their own feeds and control how content reaches them
🎶 Artist rebellion: SoundCloud and music giants are pushing back against AI misuse of their work
💡 Creator economy 2.0: Tools like Captiv8 and open-source models are redirecting value to smaller, independent voices.

Could we be entering an era of re-decentralisation — a new form of online empowerment?

📖 Sign in and explore the full article here 👉 https://geab.eu/en/the-future-of-social-networks-the-commoners-reclaim-power/

SIGNALS Analyses of the techno-social landscape generally promise us a future increasingly influenced by the major technological powers, via their algorithms which today govern life online. This projection is based on the assumption of a linear and indefinite continuity in the evolution of the life....

23/07/2025

https://geab.eu/2029-choc-des-dettes-africaines-apres-le-fmi-et-la-banque-mondiale-comment-seront-financees-les-economies-africaines/

Le continent africain se retrouvera plus que jamais livré à lui-même dans les prochaines années. Ses relations avec le système global et les pays occidentaux ont atteint un niveau de dysfonctionnement indépassable, elles ne peuvent qu’être remises en question. Paradoxalement, cette situatio...

23/07/2025

Chine 2030 : L’équation de la dette publique mondiale et de la créance chinoise


Avec la crise des subprimes (2007/2009) les plans de sauvetage des banques et institutions financières ont culminé à des hauteurs tellement vertigineuses qu’on ne pensait pas revoir de sitôt. Or, l’horloge mondiale de la dette continue depuis d’aligner des chiffres tout aussi fous… Entre les crises, Covid (2020/2021), débâcle afghane (2021), conflit russo-ukrainienne (2022), crise de l’énergie (2022), inflation (2022) et maintenant la guerre Hamas-Israël … depuis 15 ans les plans de sauvetage du monde d’avant (lancement du green deal en 2019, aides Covid, paquets énergie, subventions aux états, soutiens à l’Ukraine…) ont coûté cher à notre monde d’aujourd’hui... lire la suite

Avec la crise des subprimes (2007/2009) les plans de sauvetage des banques et institutions financières ont culminé à des hauteurs tellement vertigineuses qu’on ne pensait pas revoir de sitôt. Or, l’horloge mondiale de la dette continue depuis d’aligner des chiffres tout aussi fous… Entre...

23/07/2025

Les perspectives économiques paraissent sombres pour les pays occidentaux à en juger par différents indicateurs. Après la décision de baisser légèrement les taux directeurs, et avec les deux pays moteurs en difficulté, les économies européennes apparaissent comme les plus faibles et risquent de s’exposer à une attitude agressive de pays en meilleure santé financière. Nous avons évoqué la stratégie d’investissement de l’Arabie Saoudite dans un autre article, ici nous nous pencherons entre autres sur celle des Etats-Unis, qui chercheront de nouveaux débouchés pour maintenir la perfusion de dette à travers leur dollar international qui trouve de moins en moins de preneurs dans le reste du monde. Ce constat a encouragé notre équipe à effectuer un point d’étape à mi-parcours de l’année 2024 en repartant des grandes tendances de l’année, publiées dans notre bulletin du mois de janvier, dans lesquelles nous voyions le continent européen parti pour « traverser des eaux particulièrement dangereuses »...
@://geab.eu/2025-2029-le-dollar-prend-le-dessus-sur-un-euro-affaibli/

Les perspectives économiques paraissent sombres pour les pays occidentaux à en juger par différents indicateurs. Après la décision de baisser légèrement les taux directeurs, et avec les deux pays moteurs en difficulté, les économies européennes apparaissent comme les plus faibles et risque...